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In mathematical economics, the Arrow–Debreu model is a theoretical general equilibrium model. It posits that under certain economic assumptions (convex preferences, perfect competition, and demand independence), there must be a set of prices such that aggregate supplies will equal aggregate demands for every commodity in the economy.[1]
The model is central to the theory of general (economic) equilibrium, and it is used as a general reference for other microeconomic models. It was proposed by Kenneth Arrow, Gérard Debreu in 1954,[1] and Lionel W. McKenzie independently in 1954,[2] with later improvements in 1959.[3][4]
The A-D model is one of the most general models of competitive economy and is a crucial part of general equilibrium theory, as it can be used to prove the existence of general equilibrium (or Walrasian equilibrium) of an economy. In general, there may be many equilibria.
Arrow (1972) and Debreu (1983) were separately awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for their development of the model. McKenzie, however, did not receive the award.[5]
The contents of both theorems [fundamental theorems of welfare economics] are old beliefs in economics. Arrow and Debreu have recently treated this question with techniques permitting proofs.
— Gérard Debreu, Valuation equilibrium and Pareto optimum (1954)
This statement is precisely correct; once there were beliefs, now there was knowledge. The Arrow-Debreu model, as communicated in the Theory of Value, changed basic thinking and quickly became the standard model of price theory. It is the "benchmark” model in Finance, International Trade, Public Finance, Transportation, and even macroeconomics... In rather short order, it was no longer "as it is" in Marshall, Hicks, and Samuelson; rather, it became "as it is" in Theory of Value.
— Hugo Sonnenschein, remarks at the Debreu conference, Berkeley, 2005
This section follows the presentation in,[6] which is based on.[7]
The Arrow–Debreu model models an economy as a combination of three kinds of agents: the households, the producers, and the market. The households and producers transact with the market but not with each other directly.
The households possess endowments (bundles of commodities they begin with), one may think of as "inheritance." For mathematical clarity, all households must sell all their endowment to the market at the beginning. If they wish to retain some of the endowments, they would have to repurchase them from the market later. The endowments may be working hours, land use, tons of corn, etc.
The households possess proportional ownerships of producers, which can be thought of as joint-stock companies. The profit made by producer is divided among the households in proportion to how much stock each household holds for the producer . Ownership is imposed initially, and the households may not sell, buy, create, or discard them.
The households receive a budget, income from selling endowments, and dividend from producer profits. The households possess preferences over bundles of commodities, which, under the assumptions given, makes them utility maximizers. The households choose the consumption plan with the highest utility they can afford using their budget.
The producers can transform bundles of commodities into other bundles of commodities. The producers have no separate utility functions. Instead, they are all purely profit maximizers.
The market is only capable of "choosing" a market price vector, which is a list of prices for each commodity, which every producer and household takes (there is no bargaining behavior—every producer and household is a price taker). The market has no utility or profit. Instead, the market aims to choose a market price vector such that, even though each household and producer is maximizing their utility and profit, their consumption and production plans "harmonize." That is, "the market clears". In other words, the market is playing the role of a "Walrasian auctioneer."
households | producers |
---|---|
receive endowment and ownership of producers | |
sell all endowment to the market | |
plan production to maximize profit | |
enter purchase agreements between the market and each other | |
perform production plan | |
sell everything to the market | |
send all profits to households in proportion to ownership | |
plan consumption to maximize utility under budget constraint | |
buy the planned consumption from the market |
In general, we write indices of agents as superscripts and vector coordinate indices as subscripts.
assumption | explanation | can we relax it? |
---|---|---|
is closed | Technical assumption necessary for proofs to work. | No. It is necessary for the existence of demand functions. |
local nonsatiation: | Households always want to consume a little more. | No. It is necessary for Walras's law to hold. |
is strictly convex | strictly diminishing marginal utility | Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See next section. |
is convex | diminishing marginal utility | Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma. |
continuity: is closed. | Technical assumption necessary for the existence of utility functions by the Debreu theorems. | No. If the preference is not continuous, then the excess demand function may not be continuous. |
is strictly convex. | For two consumption bundles, any bundle between them is better than the lesser. | Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See the next section. |
is convex. | For two consumption bundles, any bundle between them is no worse than the lesser. | Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma. |
The household always has at least one feasible consumption plan. | no bankruptcy | No. It is necessary for the existence of demand functions. |
assumption | explanation | can we relax it? |
---|---|---|
is strictly convex | diseconomies of scale | Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See next section. |
is convex | no economies of scale | Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma. |
contains 0. | Producers can close down for free. | |
is a closed set | Technical assumption necessary for proofs to work. | No. It is necessary for the existence of supply functions. |
is bounded | There is no arbitrarily large "free lunch". | No. Economy needs scarcity. |
is bounded | The economy cannot reverse arbitrarily large transformations. |
The functions are not necessarily well-defined for all price vectors . For example, if producer 1 is capable of transforming units of commodity 1 into units of commodity 2, and we have , then the producer can create plans with infinite profit, thus , and is undefined.
Consequently, we define "restricted market" to be the same market, except there is a universal upper bound , such that every producer is required to use a production plan . Each household is required to use a consumption plan . Denote the corresponding quantities on the restricted market with a tilde. So, for example, is the excess demand function on the restricted market.[8]
is chosen to be "large enough" for the economy so that the restriction is not in effect under equilibrium conditions (see next section). In detail, is chosen to be large enough such that:
Each requirement is satisfiable.
The two requirements together imply that the restriction is not a real restriction when the production plans and consumption plans are "interior" to the restriction.
These two propositions imply that equilibria for the restricted market are equilibria for the unrestricted market:
Theorem — If is an equilibrium price vector for the restricted market, then it is also an equilibrium price vector for the unrestricted market. Furthermore, we have .
As the last piece of the construction, we define Walras's law:
Walras's law can be interpreted on both sides:
Theorem — satisfies weak Walras's law: For all , and if , then for some .
If total excess demand value is exactly zero, then every household has spent all their budget. Else, some household is restricted to spend only part of their budget. Therefore, that household's consumption bundle is on the boundary of the restriction, that is, . We have chosen (in the previous section) to be so large that even if all the producers coordinate, they would still fall short of meeting the demand. Consequently there exists some commodity such that
Theorem — An equilibrium price vector exists for the restricted market, at which point the restricted market satisfies Walras's law.
By definition of equilibrium, if is an equilibrium price vector for the restricted market, then at that point, the restricted market satisfies Walras's law.
is continuous since all are continuous.
Define a function on the price simplex, where is a fixed positive constant.
By the weak Walras law, this function is well-defined. By Brouwer's fixed-point theorem, it has a fixed point. By the weak Walras law, this fixed point is a market equilibrium.
Note that the above proof does not give an iterative algorithm for finding any equilibrium, as there is no guarantee that the function is a contraction. This is unsurprising, as there is no guarantee (without further assumptions) that any market equilibrium is a stable equilibrium.
Corollary — An equilibrium price vector exists for the unrestricted market, at which point the unrestricted market satisfies Walras's law.
In 1954, McKenzie and the pair Arrow and Debreu independently proved the existence of general equilibria by invoking the Kakutani fixed-point theorem on the fixed points of a continuous function from a compact, convex set into itself. In the Arrow–Debreu approach, convexity is essential, because such fixed-point theorems are inapplicable to non-convex sets. For example, the rotation of the unit circle by 90 degrees lacks fixed points, although this rotation is a continuous transformation of a compact set into itself; although compact, the unit circle is non-convex. In contrast, the same rotation applied to the convex hull of the unit circle leaves the point (0,0) fixed. Notice that the Kakutani theorem does not assert that there exists exactly one fixed point. Reflecting the unit disk across the y-axis leaves a vertical segment fixed, so that this reflection has an infinite number of fixed points.
The assumption of convexity precluded many applications, which were discussed in the Journal of Political Economy from 1959 to 1961 by Francis M. Bator, M. J. Farrell, Tjalling Koopmans, and Thomas J. Rothenberg.[9] Ross M. Starr (1969) proved the existence of economic equilibria when some consumer preferences need not be convex.[9] In his paper, Starr proved that a "convexified" economy has general equilibria that are closely approximated by "quasi-equilbria" of the original economy; Starr's proof used the Shapley–Folkman theorem.[10]
(Uzawa, 1962)[11] showed that the existence of general equilibrium in an economy characterized by a continuous excess demand function fulfilling Walras's Law is equivalent to Brouwer fixed-Point theorem. Thus, the use of Brouwer's fixed-point theorem is essential for showing that the equilibrium exists in general.[12]
In welfare economics, one possible concern is finding a Pareto-optimal plan for the economy.
Intuitively, one can consider the problem of welfare economics to be the problem faced by a master planner for the whole economy: given starting endowment for the entire society, the planner must pick a feasible master plan of production and consumption plans . The master planner has a wide freedom in choosing the master plan, but any reasonable planner should agree that, if someone's utility can be increased, while everyone else's is not decreased, then it is a better plan. That is, the Pareto ordering should be followed.
Define the Pareto ordering on the set of all plans by iff for all .
Then, we say that a plan is Pareto-efficient with respect to a starting endowment , iff it is feasible, and there does not exist another feasible plan that is strictly better in Pareto ordering.
In general, there are a whole continuum of Pareto-efficient plans for each starting endowment .
With the set up, we have two fundamental theorems of welfare economics:[13]
First fundamental theorem of welfare economics — Any market equilibrium state is Pareto-efficient.
The price hyperplane separates the attainable productions and the Pareto-better consumptions. That is, the hyperplane separates and , where is the set of all , such that , and . That is, it is the set of aggregates of all possible consumption plans that are strictly Pareto-better.
The attainable productions are on the lower side of the price hyperplane, while the Pareto-better consumptions are strictly on the upper side of the price hyperplane. Thus any Pareto-better plan is not attainable.
Second fundamental theorem of welfare economics — For any total endowment , and any Pareto-efficient state achievable using that endowment, there exists a distribution of endowments and private ownerships of the producers, such that the given state is a market equilibrium state for some price vector .
Proof idea: any Pareto-optimal consumption plan is separated by a hyperplane from the set of attainable consumption plans. The slope of the hyperplane would be the equilibrium prices. Verify that under such prices, each producer and household would find the given state optimal. Verify that Walras's law holds, and so the expenditures match income plus profit, and so it is possible to provide each household with exactly the necessary budget.
Since the state is attainable, we have . The equality does not necessarily hold, so we define the set of attainable aggregate consumptions . Any aggregate consumption bundle in is attainable, and any outside is not.
Find the market price .
Claim: .
We have by construction , and . Now we claim: .
Claim (Walras's law):
Claim: at price , each producer maximizes profit at ,
Claim: at price and budget , household maximizes utility at .
By Walras's law, the aggregate endowment income and profit exactly equals aggregate expenditure. It remains to distribute them such that each household obtains exactly as its budget. This is trivial.
The assumptions of strict convexity can be relaxed to convexity. This modification changes supply and demand functions from point-valued functions into set-valued functions (or "correspondences"), and the application of Brouwer's fixed-point theorem into Kakutani's fixed-point theorem.
This modification is similar to the generalization of the minimax theorem to the existence of Nash equilibria.
The two fundamental theorems of welfare economics holds without modification.
strictly convex case | convex case |
---|---|
is strictly convex | is convex |
is strictly convex | is convex |
is strictly convex | is convex |
is point-valued | is set-valued |
is continuous | has closed graph ("upper hemicontinuous") |
for any | |
... | ... |
equilibrium exists by Brouwer's fixed-point theorem | equilibrium exists by Kakutani's fixed-point theorem |
The definition of market equilibrium assumes that every household performs utility maximization, subject to budget constraints. That is, The dual problem would be cost minimization subject to utility constraints. That is,for some real number . The duality gap between the two problems is nonnegative, and may be positive. Consequently, some authors study the dual problem and the properties of its "quasi-equilibrium"[14] (or "compensated equilibrium"[15]). Every equilibrium is a quasi-equilibrium, but the converse is not necessarily true.[15]
In the model, all producers and households are "price takers", meaning that they transact with the market using the price vector . In particular, behaviors such as cartel, monopoly, consumer coalition, etc are not modelled. Edgeworth's limit theorem shows that under certain stronger assumptions, the households can do no better than price-take at the limit of an infinitely large economy.
In detail, we continue with the economic model on the households and producers, but we consider a different method to design production and distribution of commodities than the market economy. It may be interpreted as a model of a "socialist" economy.
This economy is thus a cooperative game with each household being a player, and we have the following concepts from cooperative game theory:
Since we assumed that any nonempty subset of households may eliminate all other households, while retaining control of the producers, the only states that can be executed are the core states. A state that is not a core state would immediately be objected by a coalition of households.
We need one more assumption on , that it is a cone, that is, for any . This assumption rules out two ways for the economy to become trivial.
Proposition — Market equilibria are core states.
Define the price hyperplane . Since it's a supporting hyperplane of , and is a convex cone, the price hyperplane passes the origin. Thus .
Since is the total profit, and every producer can at least make zero profit (that is, ), this means that the profit is exactly zero for every producer. Consequently, every household's budget is exactly from selling endowment.
By utility maximization, every household is already doing as much as it could. Consequently, we have .
In particular, for any coalition , and any production plan that is Pareto-better, we have
and consequently, the point lies above the price hyperplane, making it unattainable.
In Debreu and Scarf's paper, they defined a particular way to approach an infinitely large economy, by "replicating households". That is, for any positive integer , define an economy where there are households that have exactly the same consumption possibility set and preference as household .
Let stand for the consumption plan of the -th replicate of household . Define a plan to be equitable iff for any and .
In general, a state would be quite complex, treating each replicate differently. However, core states are significantly simpler: they are equitable, treating every replicate equally.
Proposition — Any core state is equitable.
We use the "underdog coalition".
Consider a core state . Define average distributions .
It is attainable, so we have
Suppose there exist any inequality, that is, some , then by convexity of preferences, we have , where is the worst-treated household of type .
Now define the "underdog coalition" consisting of the worst-treated household of each type, and they propose to distribute according to . This is Pareto-better for the coalition, and since is conic, we also have , so the plan is attainable. Contradiction.
Consequently, when studying core states, it is sufficient to consider one consumption plan for each type of households. Now, define to be the set of all core states for the economy with replicates per household. It is clear that , so we may define the limit set of core states .
We have seen that contains the set of market equilibria for the original economy. The converse is true under minor additional assumption:[16]
(Debreu and Scarf, 1963) — If is a polygonal cone, or if every has nonempty interior with respect to , then is the set of market equilibria for the original economy.
The assumption that is a polygonal cone, or every has nonempty interior, is necessary to avoid the technical issue of "quasi-equilibrium". Without the assumption, we can only prove that is contained in the set of quasi-equilibria.
The assumption that production possibility sets are convex is a strong constraint, as it implies that there is no economy of scale. Similarly, we may consider nonconvex consumption possibility sets and nonconvex preferences. In such cases, the supply and demand functions may be discontinuous with respect to price vector, thus a general equilibrium may not exist.
However, we may "convexify" the economy, find an equilibrium for it, then by the Shapley–Folkman–Starr theorem, it is an approximate equilibrium for the original economy.
In detail, given any economy satisfying all the assumptions given, except convexity of and , we define the "convexified economy" to be the same economy, except that
where denotes the convex hull.
With this, any general equilibrium for the convexified economy is also an approximate equilibrium for the original economy. That is, if is an equilibrium price vector for the convexified economy, then[17]where is the Euclidean distance, and is any upper bound on the inner radii of all (see page on Shapley–Folkman–Starr theorem for the definition of inner radii).
The convexified economy may not satisfy the assumptions. For example, the set is closed, but its convex hull is not closed. Imposing the further assumption that the convexified economy also satisfies the assumptions, we find that the original economy always has an approximate equilibrium.
The commodities in the Arrow–Debreu model are entirely abstract. Thus, although it is typically represented as a static market, it can be used to model time, space, and uncertainty by splitting one commodity into several, each contingent on a certain time, place, and state of the world. For example, "apples" can be divided into "apples in New York in September if oranges are available" and "apples in Chicago in June if oranges are not available".
Given some base commodities, the Arrow–Debreu complete market is a market where there is a separate commodity for every future time, for every place of delivery, for every state of the world under consideration, for every base commodity.
In financial economics the term "Arrow–Debreu" most commonly refers to an Arrow–Debreu security. A canonical Arrow–Debreu security is a security that pays one unit of numeraire if a particular state of the world is reached and zero otherwise (the price of such a security being a so-called "state price"). As such, any derivatives contract whose settlement value is a function on an underlying whose value is uncertain at contract date can be decomposed as linear combination of Arrow–Debreu securities.
Since the work of Breeden and Lizenberger in 1978,[18] a large number of researchers have used options to extract Arrow–Debreu prices for a variety of applications in financial economics.[19]
No theory of money is offered here, and it is assumed that the economy works without the help of a good serving as medium of exchange.
— Gérard Debreu, Theory of value: An axiomatic analysis of economic equilibrium (1959)
To the pure theorist, at the present juncture the most interesting and challenging aspect of money is that it can find no place in an Arrow–Debreu economy. This circumstance should also be of considerable significance to macroeconomists, but it rarely is.
— Frank Hahn, The foundations of monetary theory (1987)
Typically, economists consider the functions of money to be as a unit of account, store of value, medium of exchange, and standard of deferred payment. This is however incompatible with the Arrow–Debreu complete market described above. In the complete market, there is only a one-time transaction at the market "at the beginning of time". After that, households and producers merely execute their planned productions, consumptions, and deliveries of commodities until the end of time. Consequently, there is no use for storage of value or medium of exchange. This applies not just to the Arrow–Debreu complete market, but also to models (such as those with markets of contingent commodities and Arrow insurance contracts) that differ in form, but are mathematically equivalent to it.[20]
Scarf (1967)[21] was the first algorithm that computes the general equilibrium. See Scarf (2018)[22] and Kubler (2012)[23] for reviews.
Certain economies at certain endowment vectors may have infinitely equilibrium price vectors. However, "generically", an economy has only finitely many equilibrium price vectors. Here, "generically" means "on all points, except a closed set of Lebesgue measure zero", as in Sard's theorem.[24][25]
There are many such genericity theorems. One example is the following:[26][27]
Genericity — For any strictly positive endowment distribution , and any strictly positive price vector , define the excess demand as before.
If on all ,
then for generically any endowment distribution , there are only finitely many equilibria .
Define the "equilibrium manifold" as the set of solutions to . By Walras's law, one of the constraints is redundant. By assumptions that has rank , no more constraints are redundant. Thus the equilibrium manifold has dimension , which is equal to the space of all distributions of strictly positive endowments .
By continuity of , the projection is closed. Thus by Sard's theorem, the projection from the equilibrium manifold to is critical on only a set of measure 0. It remains to check that the preimage of the projection is generically not just discrete, but also finite.
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