2025 Bolivian general election
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. Voters will elect the President of Bolivia and Vice President of Bolivia, 130 members of the Chamber of Deputies, and 36 members of the Chamber of Senators.
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Presidential election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 36 seats in the Chamber of Senators All 130 seats in the Chamber of Deputies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The election is being held amid a schism within the ruling Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) between incumbent president Luis Arce and one of his predecessors, Evo Morales. The former allies fell out following Arce's election in 2020, when Morales, who had been in exile following political unrest caused by his reelection bid in 2019, returned from Mexico and tried to regain control of the party's leadership.[1]
Right-leaning political parties formed a Unity Bloc to oppose Arce. Its candidates included Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga. Meanwhile, Morales announced his intention to run under the Front for Victory (FPV) despite a ban on him running again for president by the Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal.[2]
Potential candidates
Movement for Socialism
- Luis Arce (MAS-IPSP), president of Bolivia (2020–present)[3][4]
- Andrónico Rodríguez (MAS-IPSP), president of the Chamber of Senators (as Evo Morales running mate)[5][6]
Opposition bloc
- Jorge Quiroga (FRI), former president of Bolivia (2001–2002)[7]
- Samuel Doria Medina (UN), former minister of Planning and Coordination (1991–1993)[8]
- Amparo Ballivián, former minister of Housing.[9]
Former Minister of Planning and Coordination
Samuel Doria Medina
Conservative bloc
- Manfred Reyes Villa (APB Súmate), mayor of Cochabamba[10]
- Chi Hyun Chung, evangelical pastor, 2019 and 2020 presidential candidate[11][12]
Former presidential candidate
Chi Hyun Chung
Others
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira (CC), member of the Chamber of Senators[13]
- Eduardo Sicher, independent candidate
- Gabriel Hillman, democratic party
Declined and disqualified candidates
Declined
- Rubén Costas (MDS), governor of the department of Santa Cruz (2015–2021)[14]
- Luis Fernando Camacho (Creemos), Governor of Santa Cruz (2021–2024)[15]
- Carlos Mesa (CC), former president of Bolivia (2003–2005)[16][17]
- Branko Marinković, former minister of Economy and Public Finance (2020)[18]
- Jaime Soliz (PDC), former prosecutor of the department of Santa Cruz (2005–2010)[19]
- Vicente Cuéllar (Cambio25), rector of the Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University[20]
Barred from running
The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy or have declared their interest, but have been declared ineligible by the TCP.
- Evo Morales (MAS-IPSP, later FPV[21]), former president of Bolivia (2006–2019)
Opinion polls
2025
| Source | Date | Sample | Link | Morales FPV |
Quiroga FRI |
Reyes Villa APB Súmate |
Rodríguez MAS |
Doria Medina FUN |
Chung AMAR |
Arce MAS |
Choquehuanca MAS |
Cuellar Cambio25 |
Others | Null Blank | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panterra | 30 Mar 2025 | 5,000 | [22] | – | 15% | 11% | 25% | 16% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 9% |
| Captura Consulting | 27 Mar 2025 | 1,500 | [23] | – | 16% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 14% | 1% |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Vicente Cuellar withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Doria Medina.[24] | |||||||||||||||
| 26 Feb 2025 | Luis Arce announces his candidacy pending final decision from MAS.[4] | |||||||||||||||
| 20 Feb 2025 | Evo Morales announces his candidacy.[25] | |||||||||||||||
| UAGRM | 14 Feb 2025 | 2,200 | [26] | 14% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 2% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 1% |
| Bolivia360 | 5-21 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | [27] | – | 9% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 2% | – | 2% | 7% | _ | 8% | 1% |
| Diagnosis | 11-12 Jan 2025 | 1,800 | [28] | 9% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 10/ | 2% |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Manfred Reyes Villa announces his candidacy.[29] | |||||||||||||||
Before the applications
| Date | Polling firm | Sample | +/- | Evo Morales MAS |
Carlos Mesa CC |
Andrónico Rodríguez MAS |
Maria Galindo Ind. |
Reyes Villa Súmate |
Luis Arce MAS |
Chi Hyun Ind. |
Fernabdo Camacho Creemos |
Jorge Quiroga Libre 21 |
Eva Copa Ind. |
Doria Medina FUN |
Vicente Cuellar Cambio25 |
Jsime Soliz PDC |
Marcelo Claure Ind. |
Edman Lara NIL |
Rodrigo Paz CC |
David Choquehuanca MAS |
Others | Null Blank | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2024 | Consultora Morris | - | 1% | 25% | - | 35% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 14% | - | 2% | 0.8% | - | - | - | 0.2% | - | - | - | 10% | |||
| 2-15 Nov 2024 | Panterra | 17% | 6% | - | - | 18% | 4% | - | 9% | 9% | - | 13% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21% | 1% | ||||
| Sep 2024 | Diagonsis | 10% | 8% | 10% | - | 10% | 16% | - | 4% | - | - | 4% | 9% | - | - | - | 3% | - | 9% | 6% | ||||
| Jun 2024 | Captura Consulting | - | 6% | 13% | 10% | 13% | - | 6% | 10% | 4% | - | 9% | 5% | - | - | 3% | - | - | 19% | 0 | ||||
| May 2024 | Diagnosis | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 19% | - | 3% | - | - | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | ||||
| Apr 2024 | Coolosa Comunicaciones | 7.73% | 7.52% | 0.79% | 5.80% | 11.06% | 8.79% | - | 1.71% | 3.86% | 1.25% | 5.95% | 10.77% | 1.29% | - | 5.04% | 2.82% | - | - | 4.22% | 0.83% | |||
| 16-17 Mar 2024 | Diagnosis | 12% | 10% | 7% | - | 2% | 17% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | ||||
| 15 Mar 2024 | Captura Consulting | - | 8% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 2% | 7% | - | - | 9% | 3% | - | 7% | - | - | - | 18% | 4% | ||||
| Nov 2023 | Diagnosis | 11% | 12% | - | - | 3% | 21% | - | 4% | - | - | 5% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | 12% | 9% | ||||
| 9-10 Sep 2023 | Diagnosis | 9% | 11% | - | - | 4% | 18% | - | 4% | - | - | 6% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | 14% | 7% | ||||
| 19-20 Aug 2023 | Diagnosis | 10% | 13% | 3% | - | 3% | 14% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | 18% | 1% | ||||
| Aug 2023 | Poder y Placer | 11% | 10% | - | 6% | 8% | 12% | - | 9% | - | 2% | 9% | 3% | - | 4% | - | 1% | - | 24% | 1% | ||||
| 8-9 Jul 2023 | Diagnosis | 9% | 13% | - | - | 3% | 14% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | ||||
| 22 May-22 Jun 2023 | Poder y Placer | 12% | 13% | - | 10% | 4% | 17% | - | 1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 1% | - | 3% | 1% | 2% | - | - | 4% | ||||
| 29 Dec 2022-19 Jan 2023 | Poder y Placer | 11% | 19% | - | 2% | 9% | 21% | - | 13% | - | - | 19% | - | - | 13% | - | - | - | 7% | 2% | ||||
| Jul 2022 | Captura Consulting | 11% | 11% | - | - | - | 18% | - | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | |||||
| 9-19 Apr 2022 | Captura Consulting | 11% | 11% | - | - | 10% | 17% | - | 15% | 7% | 5% | 4% | - | 3% | - | - | - | - | 20% | 2% | ||||
| Dec 2021 | Captura Consulting | - | 13% | - | - | 12% | 23% | - | 15% | 3% | - | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8,% | |||||
See also
References
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