2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

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2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 
TurnoutTBD
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 418,488 395,523
Percentage 50.65% 47.87%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Close

New Hampshire was considered a potential battleground state due to the closeness of previous elections. In recent years, the state has shown a much more pronounced Democratic lean at the federal level, as New Hampshire's congressional delegation was held by Democrats. As such, most news organizations generally considered the state to be leaning toward Kamala Harris.

However, on election night, New Hampshire was seriously contested by both candidates, and was one of the last states called in favor of Harris.[1] She won the state by about 2.8%, a significantly lower margin than Biden in 2020, though slightly better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. This was Harris' narrowest victory in any state.

New Hampshire had the closest presidential race out of any state in terms of the margin of raw votes, although the state closest in difference of percentage was Wisconsin. Trump became the first Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying New Hampshire at least once.

Primary elections

Summarize
Perspective

New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date.

Primary elections for both the Democratic and Republican parties were held on January 23, 2024.[2]

Democratic primary

On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) approved a new 2024 primary calendar, in which the South Carolina Democratic primary would be held first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu, Democratic senators Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen, and the state legislature vowed to continue holding the "first-in-the-nation" primary (as New Hampshire state law establishes)[3] and ultimately did set an earlier date of January 23.[2][4][5]

Showing solidarity with the DNC, Biden declined to appear on the state's primary ballot.[6] Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats nevertheless launched a formal write-in campaign for him, but none of the state's delegates to the Democratic National Convention will still be binding.[7]

Popular vote share by county
  Biden
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
More information Candidate, Votes ...
New Hampshire Democratic primary, January 23, 2024[8]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in) 79,100 63.8%
Dean Phillips 24,377 19.7%
Marianne Williamson 5,016 4.0%
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican) 4,760 3.8%
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican) 2,079 1.7%
Derek Nadeau 1,616 1.3%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)[9] 1,512 1.2%
Vermin Supreme 912 0.7%
John Vail 685 0.6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent) 439 0.4%
Donald Picard 371 0.3%
Paperboy Prince 326 0.3%
Paul V. LaCava 176 0.1%
Jason Michael Palmer 142 0.1%
President R. Boddie 136 0.1%
Mark Stewart Greenstein 133 0.1%
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent) 125 0.1%
Terrisa Bukovinac 101 <0.1%
Gabriel Cornejo 86 <0.1%
Stephen P. Lyons 80 <0.1%
Frankie Lozada 73 <0.1%
Tom Koos 71 <0.1%
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato 68 <0.1%
Star Locke 59 <0.1%
Raymond Michael Moroz 52 <0.1%
Eban Cambridge 47 <0.1%
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican) 41 <0.1%
Richard Rist 37 <0.1%
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican) 33 <0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican) 2 <0.1%
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter". 1,341 1.1%
Total: 123,996 100.00%
Close

No delegates were awarded from the January New Hampshire primary.

Republican primary

The New Hampshire Republican primary was held on January 23, 2024, as the second contest of the Republican primaries, held about a week after the Iowa caucuses. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote. The primary was won by Donald Trump, defeating Nikki Haley by eleven points.

Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Haley
  •   50–60%
More information Candidate, Votes ...
New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024[10][11]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegate count[12]
Donald Trump 176,391 54.35% 13
Nikki Haley 140,491 43.28% 9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,241 0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,493 0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 833 0.26%
Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat) 497 0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn) 404 0.12%
Ryan Binkley 315 0.10%
Mary Maxwell 287 0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent) 205 0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 196 0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) 180 0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 108 0.03%
Rachel Swift 105 0.03%
Scott Ayers 80 0.02%
Dean Phillips (Write-In) (Democrat) 79 0.02%
Darius Mitchell 74 0.02%
Glenn McPeters 49 0.02%
"Ceasefire" (Write-In) 34 0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) 26 0.01%
Peter Jedick 25 0.01%
David Stuckenberg 25 0.01%
Donald Kjornes 23 0.01%
Scott Merrell 21 0.01%
John Anthony Castro 19 0.01%
Robert Carney 15 <0.01%
Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat) 14 <0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) 9 <0.01%
Sam Sloan 7 <0.01%
Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat) 3 <0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat) 1 <0.01%
Other write-in votes 325 0.10%
Total: 324,575 100.00% 22
Close

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[13] Likely D August 27, 2024
Inside Elections[14] Lean D May 8, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely D August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16] Likely D November 5, 2024
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 4, 2024
CNN[18] Lean D August 27, 2024
The Economist[19] Likely D October 21, 2024
538[20] Likely D September 12, 2024
YouGov[21] Safe D November 1, 2024
Split Ticket[22] Likely D November 1, 2024
Close

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270ToWin[23] October 24 – November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 50.5% 45.5% 4.0% Harris +5.0%
538[24] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.3% 45.4% 4.3% Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin[25] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 50.9% 46.3% 2.8% Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ[26] through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 53.3% 42.5% 4.2% Harris +10.8%
Average 51.3% 44.9% 3.8% Harris +6.4%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Dartmouth College[27] November 1–3, 2024 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 62% 34% 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[28][A] October 24–28, 2024 901 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 47% 5%[c]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[29] October 24–26, 2024 622 (RV) 50% 50%
CES/YouGov[30] October 1–25, 2024 380 (A) 52% 45% 3%
375 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College[31][B] October 21–23, 2024 915 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[d]
51%[e] 47% 2%[d]
Dartmouth College[32] October 5–18, 2024 2,211 (RV) ± 2.1% 59% 38% 3%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[33] August 15–19, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.2% 52% 47% 1%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[34] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
52%[e] 48%
University of New Hampshire[35] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 53% 46% 1%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[36] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Close

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[37] October 29 – November 2, 2024 2,814 (LV) ± 1.9% 51% 46% 0% 1% 2%[f]
Saint Anselm College[38] October 28–29, 2024 2,791 (LV) ± 2.6% 51% 46% 0% 0% 1% 2%[g]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[39] October 10–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 1% 1% 5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[40] October 2–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 41% 1% 1% 7%
Saint Anselm College[41] October 1–2, 2024 2,104 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 44% 0% 1% 1% 3%[g]
University of New Hampshire[42] September 12–16, 2024 1,695 (LV) ± 2.4% 54% 43% 0% 1% 2%[f]
Saint Anselm College[43] September 11–12, 2024 2,241 (LV) ± 2.1% 51% 43% 0% 1% 1% 4%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[33] August 15–19, 2024 2,048 (LV) ± 2.2% 50% 43% 4% 0% 0% 3%[f]
Emerson College[34] July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 6% 0% 1% 4%
Saint Anselm College[44] July 24–25, 2024 2,083 (RV) ± 2.1% 50% 44% 3% 0% 0% 0% 3%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[35] July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 49% 43% 4% 8%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[45] July 19–21, 2024 601 (V) 39% 40% 21%
Close
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[46] May 16–20, 2024 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 48%
John Zogby Strategies[47][C] April 13–21, 2024 515 (LV) 48% 44% 8%
Marist College[48] January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 42% 11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,108 (LV) ± 2.2% 52% 40% 8%
Emerson College[51] August 9–11, 2023 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 11%
American Pulse Research & Polling[52] July 5−11, 2023 895 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 40% 8%
Saint Anselm College[53] June 21–23, 2023 1,065 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College[54] March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 38% 20%[h]
co/efficient (R)[55][D] January 25–26, 2023 1,179 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 39% 21%
Emerson College[56] October 30 – November 1, 2022 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 41% 14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[57] October 14–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 49% 43% 8%
Emerson College[58] October 18–19, 2022 727 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College[59] September 14–15, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 11%
University of New Hampshire[60] June 16–20, 2022 845 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 43% 8%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[36] December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Saint Anselm College[61][E] May 7–10, 2021 1,267 (RV) ± 2.8% 50% 43% 7%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Saint Anselm College[62] June 28–29, 2024 1,746 (RV) ± 2.3% 42% 44% 4% 1% 1% 8%
University of New Hampshire[46] May 16–20, 2024 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 41% 3% 1% 2% 9%
Suffolk University/USA Today/Boston Globe[63] January 3–7, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 34% 8% 1% 1% 14%[i]
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[45] July 19–21, 2024 601 (V) 39% 40% 21%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[64] May 15–20, 2024 862 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 37% 15% 11%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[65] May 6–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 5.2% 42% 36% 11% 11%
Marist College[48] January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 41% 12% 3%
Saint Anselm College[66] December 18–19, 2023 1,711 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 39% 8% 4%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 37% 8% 1% 14%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[51] August 9–11, 2023 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 39% 5% 13%
Close
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[47][C] April 13–21, 2024 515 (LV) 41% 47% 12%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[47][C] April 13–21, 2024 515 (LV) 45% 40% 15%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Bernie
Sanders
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 43% 9%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 43% 12%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Marist College[48] January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 39% 45% 16%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Marist College[48] January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 42% 7%
Emerson College[49] November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 38% 16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,108 (LV) ± 2.2% 50% 33% 17%[j]
Saint Anselm College[53] June 21–23, 2023 1,065 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%[k]
Emerson College[54] March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 37% 7%[l]
University of New Hampshire[60] June 16–20, 2022 845 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 47% 7%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 49% 20% 31%[m]
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Tim
Scott
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 34% 19%[n]
American Pulse Research & Polling[52] July 5−11, 2023 895 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 41% 13%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Chris
Christie
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 44% 20% 36%[o]
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN[50] September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 49% 20% 31%[p]
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Chris
Sununu
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Emerson College[54] March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 44% 6%[l]
co/efficient (R)[55] January 25–26, 2023 1,179 (LV) ± 3.15% 36% 48% 16%
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[67] April 14–16, 2022 503 (RV) ± 4.6% 36% 53% 12%
Close
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump

Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott

Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire[68]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic 418,488 50.65% −2.13%
Republican 395,523 47.87% +2.45%
Libertarian 4,425 0.54% −1.10%
Green 3,680 0.45% +0.42%
Write-in 4,073 0.49% +0.37%
Total votes 826,189 100.00% N/A
Close

By county

More information County, Kamala Harris Democratic ...
County Kamala Harris
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
#  % #  % #  % #  %
Belknap 17,469 42.95% 22,765 55.97% 442 1.09% -5,296 -13.02% 40,676
Carroll 16,822 48.54% 17,426 50.28% 410 1.18% -604 -1.74% 34,658
Cheshire 24,579 54.15% 20,083 44.25% 727 1.60% 4,496 9.90% 45,389
Coos 7,367 42.53% 9,734 56.19% 221 1.28% -2,367 -13.66% 17,322
Grafton 32,993 59.03% 21,909 39.20% 993 1.78% 11,084 19.83% 55,895
Hillsborough 118,776 50.66% 112,057 47.80% 3,607 1.54% 6,719 2.86% 234,440
Merrimack 48,181 51.82% 43,364 46.64% 1,433 1.54% 4,817 5.18% 92,978
Rockingham 97,611 48.10% 102,539 50.53% 2,772 1.37% -4,928 -2.43% 202,922
Strafford 42,373 55.25% 33,162 43.24% 1,153 1.50% 9,211 12.01% 76,688
Sullivan 12,317 48.84% 12,484 49.50% 420 1.67% -167 -0.66% 25,221
Totals418,48850.65%395,52347.87%12,1781.47%22,9652.78%826,189
Close

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Thumb
Thumb

By congressional district

Harris won both congressional districts.[70][user-generated source]

More information District, Harris ...
District Harris Trump Representative
1st 50.27% 48.28% Chris Pappas
2nd 51.04% 47.46% Maggie Goodlander
Close

Analysis

Summarize
Perspective

A rural New England state with a libertarian streak dominated by moderate voters, New Hampshire had backed Republicans in most presidential elections since the party's formation up until 1988, except for Woodrow Wilson in 1912 and 1916; Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, 1940 and 1944; and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Since the early 1990s, however, the state has begun to lean toward the Democrats at the federal level, with Democrats carrying the state by single digits in every presidential election since 1992 with the exception of George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2000.

A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that New Hampshire is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and Alabama) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.[71] By tradition, since 1960, all eligible voters of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their votes at midnight on Election Day.

Harris suffered a setback, earning 2.35% of the vote less than Biden did in 2020. She ceded ground in every county across the state, while Trump flipped three counties: Carroll, Rockingham and Sullivan.[72] He nonetheless became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Richard Nixon in 1968. This is the first time since 2016 in which the state winner did not win a majority of the counties, Harris and Trump both won 5.

Notably, Republicans won the open governor race, as well as expanded their majorities in the state legislature on the same ballot.

Donald Trump flipped the following towns that voted for Joe Biden, were tied, or recorded no votes in 2020:[73][74]

Acworth, Berlin, Claremont, Francestown, Freedom, Greenfield, Hart's Location, Jaffrey, Langdon, Littleton, Lyndeborough, Martin's Location, Nottingham, Pembroke, Shelburne, Springfield, Stratford, Sullivan, Swanzey, Tamworth, and Temple.

Kamala Harris flipped the following towns that voted for Donald Trump, were tied, or recorded no votes in 2020:[73][74]

Success and Wolfeboro.

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Other" with 3%
  4. "Someone else" with 2%
  5. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. "Another candidate" with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 16%
  9. Joe Manchin (I) with 2%; Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  10. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  11. "Other" with 10%
  12. "Someone else" with 14%
  13. Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  14. Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  15. Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
  16. Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
  17. The Libertarian Party of New Hampshire released a statement acknowledging the nomination of Oliver by the national Libertarian Party, choosing to endorse Trump instead.[69]

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  2. Poll sponsored by WHDH
  3. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  4. Poll conducted for the New Hampshire Journal
  5. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC

References

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