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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 26 congressional districts. The elections coincided with elections for governor, U.S. Senate, attorney general, comptroller, state senate, and assembly, and various other state and local elections.
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All 26 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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  Democratic hold Republican hold Republican gain
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Following the 2020 census, New York lost one seat in the U.S. House. Incumbent representatives Lee Zeldin (R), Thomas Suozzi (D), Kathleen Rice (D), John Katko (R), Chris Jacobs (R), and Joe Sempolinski (R) retired. Representatives Carolyn Maloney (D) and Mondaire Jones (D) lost renomination in their primary contests. The primary elections were set to happen on June 28, but due to a court-ordered redraw of the state's Congressional maps, they were held on August 23.[1] Due in part to Kathy Hochul's relatively weak performance in the governor's race and heavy pro-Republican turnout, the Democratic Party lost four seats.
With 11 seats held this is the most seats won by Republicans since 2000 and the best performance in the popular vote since 2002.
Following the 2020 census, New York lost one Congressional seat and its Independent Redistricting Commission (I.R.C.) attempted to draw a new map. However they could not reach an agreement on the map, and the Democratic-dominated New York State Legislature drew their own new Congressional map. In April 2022, in the lead-up to the 2022 midterms, the New York State Court of Appeals struck down the map, known infamously as the "Hochulmander" (named after New York State Governor Kathy Hochul) as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander that failed to follow the proper procedures.[2] The court then assigned an Independent Special Master to create a new map. In the 2022 House election in New York, under the new map, the Republican Party flipped 3 seats, bringing the new seat count of 15 for the Democrats and 11 held by Republicans.[3] The court-drawn map is often credited with helping the Republican Party win back control of the House, due to the narrow margin of the Republican majority.[4]
In some races, candidates appeared on multiple ballot lines, with Democratic candidates often appearing on the Working Families line and Republican candidates often appearing on the Conservative line. However, they all caucus with either the Democrats or the Republicans.
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 3,028,115 | 52.61% | 15 |  4 | |
| Republican | 2,233,120 | 38.80% | 11 |  3 | |
| Conservative | 320,049 | 5.56% | 0 | ||
| Working Families | 167,605 | 2.91% | 0 | ||
| Independent | 6,749 | 0.12% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 5,755,638 | 100.00% | 26 | ||
Candidates on multiple ballot lines are marked as the party they caucus with.
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 141,907 | 44.49% | 177,040 | 55.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 318,947 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 97,774 | 39.27% | 151,178 | 60.73% | 0 | 0.00% | 248,952 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 125,404 | 46.24% | 145,824 | 53.76% | 0 | 0.00% | 271,228 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 4 | 130,871 | 48.20% | 140,622 | 51.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 271,493 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 5 | 104,396 | 75.21% | 34,407 | 24.79% | 0 | 0.00% | 138,803 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 85,049 | 63.95% | 47,935 | 36.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 132,984 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 7 | 119,473 | 80.69% | 28,597 | 19.31% | 0 | 0.00% | 148,070 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 99,079 | 71.72% | 39,060 | 28.28% | 0 | 0.00% | 138,139 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 9 | 116,970 | 81.52% | 0 | 0.00% | 26,521 | 18.48% | 143,491 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | 160,582 | 84.04% | 29,058 | 15.21% | 1,447 | 0.76% | 191,087 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 71,801 | 38.23% | 115,992 | 61.77% | 0 | 0.00% | 187,793 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 200,890 | 81.76% | 44,173 | 17.98% | 631 | 0.26% | 245,694 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 13 | 116,589 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 116,589 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | 82,453 | 70.72% | 31,935 | 27.39% | 2,208 | 1.89% | 116,596 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 76,406 | 82.79% | 15,882 | 17.21% | 0 | 0.00% | 92,288 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 16 | 133,567 | 64.30% | 74,156 | 35.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 207,723 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 17 | 141,730 | 49.68% | 143,550 | 50.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 285,280 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 18 | 135,245 | 50.67% | 131,653 | 49.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,898 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 19 | 141,509 | 49.22% | 146,004 | 50.78% | 0 | 0.00% | 287,513 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 20 | 160,420 | 55.07% | 130,869 | 44.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,289 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 21 | 116,421 | 40.85% | 168,579 | 59.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 285,000 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 22 | 132,913 | 49.51% | 135,544 | 50.49% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,457 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 23 | 104,114 | 35.08% | 192,694 | 64.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,808 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 24 | 95,028 | 34.30% | 182,054 | 65.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 277,082 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 25 | 152,022 | 53.87% | 130,190 | 46.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 282,212 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 26 | 156,883 | 63.98% | 88,339 | 36.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 245,222 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 3,199,496 | 55.59% | 2,525,335 | 43.88% | 30,807 | 0.54% | 5,755,638 | 100.0% | |
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 County results LaLota: 50-60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based on the eastern end and North Shore of Long Island, including the Hamptons, the North Fork, Riverhead, Port Jefferson, Smithtown, and Huntington, all in Suffolk County. Due to redistricting, the district lost most of Brookhaven to the 2nd district and picked up Huntington from the 3rd district. The district has a PVI of R+4 but voted for Joe Biden by 0.2 points in 2020. The incumbent was Republican Lee Zeldin, who was reelected with 54.8% of the vote in 2020.[6] He was retiring to run for governor.[7]
Republicans chose their nominee, Nick LaLota, to succeed Zeldin in a three-way primary in late August, the endorsed candidate of their county committee. The primary looked to be a race between him and Anthony Figliola, a former Brookhaven deputy supervisor who argued his independence from the county party leadership made him the better choice, until Michelle Bond, head of the Association for Digital Asset Marketing, a cryptocurrency trade group, filed petitions to run right before the deadline. Ultimately LaLota won the primary with 47 percent of the vote. Bond finished with 28 percent to Figliola's 25 percent.
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Michelle Bond | Anthony Figliola | Nick LaLota | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 1, 2022 | Schneps Media | Jane Hanson Stephen Witt |
[24] | N | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nick LaLota | 12,368 | 47.2 | |
| Republican | Michelle Bond | 7,289 | 27.8 | |
| Republican | Anthony Figliola | 6,569 | 25.0 | |
| Total votes | 26,226 | 100.0 | ||
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Lean R | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Lean R | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Lean R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Lean R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Likely R | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Lean R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nick LaLota | 154,046 | 48.29% | |
| Conservative | Nick LaLota | 22,994 | 7.21% | |
| Total | Nick LaLota | 177,040 | 55.50% | |
| Democratic | Bridget Fleming | 135,170 | 42.37% | |
| Working Families | Bridget Fleming | 6,737 | 2.11% | |
| Total | Bridget Fleming | 141,907 | 44.49% | |
| Write-in | 48 | 0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 318,995 | 100% | ||
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  Garbarino: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Gordon: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based on the South Shore of Suffolk County, including the towns of Babylon, Islip, and most of Brookhaven all in Suffolk County, and a small part of Oyster Bay in Nassau County. Due to redistricting, the district lost portions of Nassau County and now stretches farther east along the South Shore. The district has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 1.5 points in 2020. The incumbent was Republican Andrew Garbarino, who was elected with 52.9% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Robert Cornicelli | Cait Corrigan | Andrew Garbarino | Mike Rakebrandt | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 29, 2022 | Schneps Media | Jane Hanson Stephen Witt |
[62] | P | N | A | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Garbarino (incumbent) | 10,425 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Robert Cornicelli | 7,302 | 37.6 | |
| Republican | Mike Rakebrandt | 1,679 | 8.7 | |
| Total votes | 19,406 | 100.0 | ||
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Likely R | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Lean R | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Likely R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Likely R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Likely R | August 24, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Garbarino | 130,798 | 52.52% | |
| Conservative | Andrew Garbarino | 20,380 | 8.18% | |
| Total | Andrew Garbarino (incumbent) | 151,178 | 60.71% | |
| Democratic | Jackie Gordon | 93,299 | 37.46% | |
| Working Families | Jackie Gordon | 4,475 | 1.80% | |
| Total | Jackie Gordon | 97,774 | 39.26% | |
| Write-in | 80 | 0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 249,032 | 100% | ||
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  Santos: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Zimmerman: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Nassau County, including all of the towns of North Hempstead and Glen Cove, most of the town of Oyster Bay, and a small part of Hempstead, and parts of Northeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Whitestone, Beechhurst, Little Neck, and Douglaston. Due to redistricting, the district lost Huntington to the 1st district. It has a PVI of D+2 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Tom Suozzi, who was reelected with 55.9% of the vote in 2020.[6] Suozzi declined to run for reelection, instead opting to run for governor.[73]
In the general election, Republican George Santos defeated Democrat Robert Zimmerman by 7%, considered an upset in this Democratic-leaning district. On December 19, 2022, The New York Times published an article reporting that Santos had allegedly misrepresented many aspects of his life and career, including his education and employment history.[74] An attorney for Santos said the report was a "smear" and "defamatory" but did not address the report's substance. Santos did not produce any documents to substantiate his claims, despite several requests from the Times to do so.[74] Other news organizations confirmed and elaborated on the Times's reporting.[75][76][77] Gerard Kassar, chair of the Conservative Party of New York State, said: "I've never seen anything like this. His entire life seems to be made up. Everything about him is fraudulent."[77]
In the wake of the disclosures about Santos, commentators expressed amazement that no one, save the local North Shore Leader and opposition research by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, had raised questions about Santos's background during the campaign. It was speculated that if what the Times reported had been public knowledge before the election, Santos would have lost. But FiveThirtyEight said that was "unclear", noting that the other two Republican candidates on the ballot district-wide, Lee Zeldin and Joe Pinion, had also carried the district. Zeldin carried the 3rd District by 12 points in the 2022 New York gubernatorial election. Pinion carried the district by 4 points in the 2022 United States Senate election in New York, despite his campaign having been minimally funded. The site has found that pre-election scandals have on average cost candidates about 9 percentage points of the vote that they might otherwise have received, and while that might have been enough to throw the election to Zimmerman, "a scandal's impact varies quite a bit from election to election. So we can't just subtract 9 points from that margin and assume that would have been the result if voters had been aware of his deceptions." Nathaniel Rakich observed that "in this era of high partisan polarization, scandals may hurt candidates less than they used to."[78]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Melanie D'Arrigo | John Kaiman | Josh Lafazan | Reema Rasool | Robert Zimmerman | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 5, 2022 | Schneps Media | Robert Pozarycki Stephen Witt |
[118] | P | P | P | N | P |
| 2 | Aug. 11, 2022 | Leagues of Women Voters of Great Neck, NYC, East Nassau & Port Washington-Manhasset |
Nancy Rosenthal | [119] | P | P | P | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Melanie D'Arrigo |
Jon Kaiman |
Josh Lafazan |
Reema Rasool |
Robert Zimmerman |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[120][B] | July 20–24, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 17% | 48% |
| The Mellman Group (D)[121][C] | June 12–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 20% | 20% | 4% | 10% | 43% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Robert Zimmerman | 9,482 | 35.8 | |
| Democratic | Jon Kaiman | 6,884 | 26.0 | |
| Democratic | Josh Lafazan | 5,296 | 20.0 | |
| Democratic | Melanie D'Arrigo | 4,197 | 15.8 | |
| Democratic | Reema Rasool | 661 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 26,520 | 100.0 | ||
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| George Santos | Robert Zimmerman | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Port Washington-Manhasset Women's Group at the Unitarian Universalist Congregation at Shelter Rock |
Lisa Scott | [125] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tilt D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Lean D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Lean D | August 10, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Lean D | September 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Lean D | September 28, 2022 |
Josh Lafazan vs. George Santos vs. Melanie D'Arrigo
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Santos | 133,859 | 49.33% | |
| Conservative | George Santos | 11,965 | 4.41% | |
| Total | George Santos | 145,824 | 53.74% | |
| Democratic | Robert Zimmerman | 120,045 | 44.24% | |
| Working Families | Robert Zimmerman | 5,359 | 1.98% | |
| Total | Robert Zimmerman | 125,404 | 46.22% | |
| Write-in | 103 | 0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 271,331 | 100% | ||
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  D'Esposito: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Gillen: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based on the South Shore of Nassau County and is entirely within the town of Hempstead. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Kathleen Rice, who was reelected with 56.1% of the vote in 2020.[6] On February 15, 2022, Rice announced that she would retire at the end of her term.[129]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Keith Corbett | Laura Gillen | Muzibul Huq | Carrié Solages | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 1, 2022 | Schneps Media | Jane Hanson Stephen Witt |
[24] | P | N | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Laura Gillen | 12,432 | 63.1 | |
| Democratic | Carrié Solages | 4,811 | 24.4 | |
| Democratic | Keith Corbett | 2,169 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Muzibul Huq | 297 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 19,784 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean D | October 19, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Lean D | October 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Anthony D'Esposito | 129,353 | 47.63% | |
| Conservative | Anthony D'Esposito | 11,269 | 4.15% | |
| Total | Anthony D'Esposito | 140,622 | 51.78% | |
| Democratic | Laura Gillen | 130,871 | 48.19% | |
| Write-in | 67 | 0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 271,560 | 100% | ||
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  Meeks: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% King: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in Southeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Jamaica, Hollis, Laurelton, Richmond Hill, Ozone Park, Howard Beach, and the Rockaways. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+32 and voted for Joe Biden by 63 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was reelected unopposed with 99.3% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gregory Meeks (incumbent) | 104,396 | 75.11% | |
| Republican | Paul King | 31,405 | 22.60% | |
| Conservative | Paul King | 3,002 | 2.16% | |
| Total | Paul King | 34,407 | 24.76% | |
| Write-in | 184 | 0.13% | ||
| Total votes | 138,987 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Meng: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Zmich: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in Central and Eastern Queens, including the neighborhoods of Woodside, Jackson Heights, Elmhurst, Kew Gardens, Flushing, Bayside, and Fresh Meadows. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+17 and voted for Joe Biden by 31 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Grace Meng, who was reelected with 67.9% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Meng (incumbent) | 85,049 | 63.89% | |
| Republican | Tom Zmich | 44,264 | 33.25% | |
| Conservative | Tom Zmich | 3,240 | 2.43% | |
| Medical Freedom Party | Tom Zmich | 431 | 0.32% | |
| Total | Tom Zmich | 47,935 | 36.01% | |
| Write-in | 130 | 0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 133,114 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Velázquez: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Pagan: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based in parts of Brooklyn and Queens, including the neighborhoods of Clinton Hill, Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Woodhaven, Fresh Pond, Maspeth, Sunnyside, and Long Island City. The seat was significantly altered due to redistricting, losing all of its previous territory in Manhattan and South Brooklyn in exchange for parts of Queens formerly in the 12th district. The district has a PVI of D+32 and voted for Joe Biden by 60 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was re-elected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.[6]
Nominal challenger Paperboy Prince became notable for both their flamboyant 2021 run for New York City Mayor,[162] and their attempt to get on the ballots in 11 congressional districts simultaneously.[163] They only succeeded in this one.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) | 21,470 | 84.3 | |
| Democratic | Paperboy Prince | 4,006 | 15.7 | |
| Total votes | 25,476 | 100.0 | ||
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nydia Velázquez | 95,645 | 64.49% | |
| Working Families | Nydia Velázquez | 23,828 | 16.07% | |
| Total | Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) | 119,473 | 80.56% | |
| Republican | Juan Pagan | 26,351 | 17.77% | |
| Conservative | Juan Pagan | 2,246 | 1.51% | |
| Total | Juan Pagan | 28,597 | 19.28% | |
| Write-in | 234 | 0.16% | ||
| Total votes | 148,304 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Jeffries: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Dashevsky: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in Southern and Eastern Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Bed-Stuy, Brownsville, East New York, Canarsie, Bergen Beach, Sheepshead Bay, Gravesend, and Coney Island. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+25 and voted for Joe Biden by 49 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was reelected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent) | 22,196 | 87.4 | |
| Democratic | Queen Johnson | 3,214 | 12.6 | |
| Total votes | 25,410 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hakeem Jeffries (incumbent) | 99,079 | 71.63% | |
| Republican | Yuri Dashevsky | 36,776 | 26.59% | |
| Conservative | Yuri Dashevsky | 2,284 | 1.65% | |
| Total | Yuri Dashevsky | 39,060 | 28.24% | |
| Write-in | 191 | 0.14% | ||
| Total votes | 138,330 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Clarke: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Raitport: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in South and Central Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Prospect Heights, Crown Heights, Midwood, and Borough Park. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+27 and voted for Joe Biden by 52 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was reelected with 83% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvette Clarke | 99,771 | 69.36% | |
| Working Families | Yvette Clarke | 17,199 | 11.96% | |
| Total | Yvette Clarke (incumbent) | 116,970 | 81.31% | |
| Conservative | Menachem Raitport | 26,521 | 18.44% | |
| Write-in | 362 | 0.25% | ||
| Total votes | 143,853 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Goldman: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Hamdan: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Tie: 40-50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The newly-drawn 10th district was based in Lower Manhattan and Brownstone Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Park Slope, Windsor Terrace, Gowanus, Brooklyn Heights, Cobble Hill, Red Hook, Sunset Park, the Lower East Side, Greenwich Village, and the Financial District. The district was significantly altered due to redistricting, resembling the previous 10th very little. It had a PVI of D+36 and voted for Joe Biden by 71 points in 2020. Rep. Mondaire Jones, the incumbent from the Rockland and Westchester-based 17th district, was defeated by attorney Dan Goldman in the Democratic primary. Goldman went on to win the general election by a wide margin.
A last-minute, court-ordered redistricting turned what was a nominal race between safe incumbent Jerry Nadler and two non-notable challengers[183][failed verification] into a free-for-all of 13 candidates, several of whom were notable.
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Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bill de Blasio |
Daniel Goldman |
Elizabeth Holtzman |
Mondaire Jones |
Yuh-Line Niou |
Carlina Rivera |
Jo Anne Simon |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[240] | August 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 5%[b] | 17% |
| Impact Research (D)[241][G] | ~August 7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 23% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 9% | – | – |
| Impact Research (D)[242][G] | July 22–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 18% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 18% |
| Change Research (D)[243][H] | July 19–23, 2022 | 437 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 3%[c] | 30% |
| Justice Research Group (WFP)[244][I] | July 1–11, 2022 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 16% | 6% | 2%[d] | 40% |
| Data for Progress (D)[245] | July 7–10, 2022 | 533 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 1%[e] | 27% |
| Impact Research (D)[242][G] | Late June 2022 | – (LV) | – | – | 10% | – | 9% | 14% | 12% | – | – | – |
| Emerson College[246] | May 24–25, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 6% | – | – | 7% | 5% | 3% | – | 3%[f] | 77% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||||||||||
| Quanda Francis | Peter Gleason | Dan Goldman | Elizabeth Holtzman | Mondaire Jones | Jimmy Li | Maud Maron | Yuh-Line Niou | Carlina Rivera | Brian Robinson | Jo Anne Simon | Yan Xiong | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 2, 2022 | Schneps Media | Jane Hanson Ethan Stark-Miller Stephen Witt |
[247] | P | N | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| 2 | Jul. 19, 2022 | New York League of Conservation Voters Education Fund The Cooper Union |
Danielle Muoio Dunn | [248] | P | P | P | P | N | N | N | P | P | N | P | N |
| 3 | Jul. 26, 2022 | Congregation Beth Elohim | Jacob Kornbluh Rachel Timoner |
[249] | N | N | P | P | P | N | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Goldman | 16,686 | 25.8 | |
| Democratic | Yuh-Line Niou | 15,380 | 23.7 | |
| Democratic | Mondaire Jones (incumbent)[g] | 11,777 | 18.2 | |
| Democratic | Carlina Rivera | 10,985 | 17.0 | |
| Democratic | Jo Anne Simon | 3,991 | 6.2 | |
| Democratic | Elizabeth Holtzman | 2,845 | 4.4 | |
| Democratic | Jimmy Li | 777 | 1.2 | |
| Democratic | Yan Xiong | 686 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Maud Maron | 578 | 0.9 | |
| Democratic | Bill de Blasio (withdrawn) | 477 | 0.7 | |
| Democratic | Brian Robinson | 322 | 0.5 | |
| Democratic | Peter Gleason | 147 | 0.2 | |
| Democratic | Quanda Francis | 121 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 64,772 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Goldman | 160,582 | 83.49% | |
| Republican | Benine Hamdan | 26,711 | 13.89% | |
| Conservative | Benine Hamdan | 2,347 | 1.22% | |
| Total | Benine Hamdan | 29,058 | 15.11% | |
| Medical Freedom Party | Steve Speer | 1,447 | 0.75% | |
| Write-in | 1,260 | 0.66% | ||
| Total votes | 192,347 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Malliotakis: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Rose: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district includes all of Staten Island and the neighborhoods of Bay Ridge, Fort Hamilton, Dyker Heights, Bath Beach, and Bensonhurst in Brooklyn. The seat was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 8 points in 2020, making it the only Republican-leaning district in New York City. The incumbent was Republican Nicole Malliotakis, who was elected with 53% of the vote in 2020 over then-incumbent Max Rose, who ran again for his former seat, but lost by a landslide margin of 23.5%.[6][216]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nicole Malliotakis (incumbent) | 12,212 | 78.5 | |
| Republican | John Matland | 3,348 | 21.5 | |
| Total votes | 15,560 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Max Rose | 15,871 | 75.0 | |
| Democratic | Brittany Ramos DeBarros | 4,399 | 20.8 | |
| Democratic | Komi Agoda-Koussema | 899 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 21,169 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Likely R | August 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Likely R | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Likely R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Likely R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Likely R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid R | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nicole Malliotakis | 107,989 | 57.41% | |
| Conservative | Nicole Malliotakis | 8,003 | 4.25% | |
| Total | Nicole Malliotakis (incumbent) | 115,992 | 61.67% | |
| Democratic | Max Rose | 71,801 | 38.17% | |
| Write-in | 306 | 0.16% | ||
| Total votes | 188,099 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Nadler: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is entirely based in Manhattan, comprising the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, Midtown, Hell's Kitchen, Chelsea, Murray Hill, and Gramercy. The district was significantly altered by redistricting, losing all previous territory in Queens and now including both the west and east sides of Manhattan. The district was altered so significantly in redistricting as to be a new seat, combining the Manhattan parts of the old 10th and 12th districts. The district has a PVI of D+35 and voted for Joe Biden by 71 points in 2020. The incumbents are Democrats Carolyn Maloney and Jerry Nadler. Maloney was reelected with 82.1% of the vote in 2020 (in the old 12th district), and Nadler was reelected with 74.5% of the vote in 2020 (in the old 10th district).[6]
Nadler and Maloney both chose to run in the new 12th, and Nadler defeated Maloney in the Democratic primary.[308]
This seat has the highest percentage of Jewish voters of any congressional district in the country.[309]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
| Jerry Nadler | Carolyn Maloney | Suraj Patel | Ashmi Sheth | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 29, 2022 | Schneps Media | Jane Hanson Stephen Witt |
[62] | A | A | P | N |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a][K] |
Margin of error |
Carolyn Maloney |
Jerry Nadler |
Suraj Patel |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[351] | August 12–17, 2022 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 24% | 43% | 14% | 1%[i] | 19% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[352][L] | August 3–5, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 27% | 29% | 20% | 5%[j] | 19% |
| Emerson College[353] | August 1–2, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 40% | 11% | 0%[k] | 17% |
| Whitman Insight Strategies (D)[354][M] | June 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 26% | 28% | 11% | – | 35% |
| Emerson College[246] | May 24–25, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 21% | 4% | 9%[l] | 36% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Nadler (incumbent) | 45,545 | 55.4 | |
| Democratic | Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) | 20,038 | 24.4 | |
| Democratic | Suraj Patel | 15,744 | 19.2 | |
| Democratic | Ashmi Sheth | 832 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 82,159 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Nadler | 184,872 | 75.12% | |
| Working Families | Jerry Nadler | 16,018 | 6.51% | |
| Total | Jerry Nadler (incumbent) | 200,890 | 81.63% | |
| Republican | Michael Zumbluskas | 40,994 | 16.66% | |
| Conservative | Michael Zumbluskas | 2,715 | 1.10% | |
| Parent Party | Michael Zumbluskas | 464 | 0.19% | |
| Total | Michael Zumbluskas | 44,173 | 17.95% | |
| Itkis Campaign Party | Mikhail Itkis | 631 | 0.26% | |
| Write-in | 411 | 0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 246,105 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Espaillat: 90-100% No results: | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is based in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Harlem, Morningside Heights, Spanish Harlem, Hamilton Heights, Washington Heights, Inwood, Marble Hill, Fordham, Kingsbridge, and Bedford Park. The seat was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+40, making it the nation's most Democratic-leaning district, and voted for Joe Biden by 78 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who was reelected with 90.8% of the vote in 2020.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adriano Espaillat (incumbent) | 29,782 | 81.0 | |
| Democratic | Michael Hano | 4,709 | 12.8 | |
| Democratic | Francisco Spies | 2,286 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 36,777 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
According to the Board of Elections, only Espaillat was on the ballot.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adriano Espaillat (incumbent) | 116,589 | 98.93% | |
| Write-in | 1,257 | 1.07% | ||
| Total votes | 117,846 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Ocasio-Cortez: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Forte: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Tie: 40%-50% 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district is based in North Queens and the East Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Corona, East Elmhurst, Astoria, College Point, Hunts Point, Castle Hill, Throggs Neck, Parkchester, Middletown, Country Club, Co-Op City, and City Island. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+30 and voted for Joe Biden by 58 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was reelected with 71.6% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tina Forte | 1,530 | 67.9 | |
| Republican | Desi Cuellar | 722 | 32.1 | |
| Total votes | 2,252 | 100.0 | ||
All Libertarians were disqualified for all races due to new ballot restrictions.[373]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 74,050 | 63.40% | |
| Working Families | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8,403 | 7.19% | |
| Total | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (incumbent) | 82,453 | 70.60% | |
| Republican | Tina Forte | 31,935 | 27.34% | |
| Conservative | Desi Cuellar | 2,208 | 1.89% | |
| Write-in | 194 | 0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 116,790 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Torres: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Sapaskis: 50-60% 60-70% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | |||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is based in the West Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Mott Haven, Melrose, Morrisania, Highbridge, Tremont, West Farms, Belmont, Norwood, Woodlawn, Riverdale, and Spuyten Duyvil. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did add Riverdale and Spuyten Duyvil. The district has a PVI of D+37 and voted for Joe Biden by 70 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Ritchie Torres, who was elected with 88.7% of the vote in 2020.[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ritchie Torres (incumbent) | 76,406 | 82.70% | |
| Republican | Stylo Sapaskis | 15,882 | 17.19% | |
| Write-in | 102 | 0.11% | ||
| Total votes | 92,390 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Bowman: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Flisser: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 16th district is based in southern Westchester County, including Yonkers, White Plains, New Rochelle, and Rye. It also includes Wakefield in the Bronx. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Riverdale and Spuyten Devil to the 15th district. It has a PVI of D+21 and voted for Joe Biden by 44 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Jamaal Bowman, who was elected with 84% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jamaal Bowman (incumbent) | 21,643 | 54.2 | |
| Democratic | Vedat Gashi | 10,009 | 25.0 | |
| Democratic | Catherine Parker | 7,503 | 18.8 | |
| Democratic | Mark Jaffee | 608 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 39,961 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jamaal Bowman | 127,024 | 61.09% | |
| Working Families | Jamaal Bowman | 6,543 | 3.15% | |
| Total | Jamaal Bowman (incumbent) | 133,567 | 64.24% | |
| Republican | Miriam Flisser | 74,156 | 35.66% | |
| Write-in | 205 | 0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 207,928 | 100% | ||
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 County results Lawler: 50-60% 60-70% Maloney: 50-60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Prior to redistricting, the 17th district included all of Rockland County and portions of Westchester County.[387] Following redistricting, the 17th district includes all of Putnam and Rockland Counties, northern Westchester County, and a small part of Dutchess County.[388] The district voted for Joe Biden by 10 points in 2020.[389]
The incumbent in the 17th district was Democrat Mondaire Jones. However, the redrawn 17th district included the residence of Sean Patrick Maloney, the Democratic incumbent in the neighboring 18th district and chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[389] According to The Guardian, "Maloney decided to run in New York’s 17th congressional district rather than his longtime, more urban, 18th district, even though that meant booting out the newer Mondaire Jones, his fellow Democrat and the incumbent congressman in the 17th district".[390] When Maloney announced his intention to run in the redrawn 17th district, Jones opted not to challenge Maloney; instead, on May 20, 2022, Jones announced that he would seek election in the Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn-based 10th district.[citation needed] Jones finished third in the Democratic primary in the 10th district.[391] Jones had been elected to his 17th district seat with 59.3% of the vote in 2020, while Maloney had been reelected to the neighboring 18th district with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[6] Maloney's decision to seek election in the 17th district "angered many within his party" and "was considered controversial given Maloney’s role as the chair of the House Democrats’ campaign arm was to boost incumbents and protect the Democrats’ majority in the lower chamber".[392] According to The Hill, Maloney's decision "infuriated Jones and his allies, particularly those in the Congressional Black Caucus, who accused Maloney of putting his own political survival over the interests of the party".[393]
Displeased with Maloney's decision to seek election in the district represented by Jones, progressive[394] state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi opted to challenge Maloney in a Democratic primary.[395] Maloney defeated Biaggi by a wide margin.[396] Republican Assemblymember Mike Lawler easily defeated four other candidates in a Republican primary.[397]
Leading up to Election Day, Maloney "set off on a Europe trip, where he hung out on a balcony overlooking the Seine, and turned up in London, Paris, and Geneva, often alongside congressman Adam Schiff, for gatherings billed as DCCC fundraising events". Maloney also dismissed Republican campaign spending in the district as "'lighting [money] on fire'".[391] Maloney "spent the election cycle using funds and Washington knowhow to shore up vulnerable Democrats across the country", but "had to rush back to his own district for frantic campaigning when it emerged that he, too, was suddenly vulnerable".[390]
After running a campaign that focused on crime and inflation, Lawler narrowly defeated Maloney in the general election.[398][399] Lawler’s victory marked "the first general election defeat for a campaign chair of either party since 1980".[392] Maloney's defeat was "a major upset"[400] and "a humiliating loss for Democrats".[401] Maloney's loss, together with other Republican wins in New York districts, helped Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in 2022.[402]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Alessandra Biaggi |
Sean Patrick Maloney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[412][N] | July 11–14, 2022 | 233 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 18% | 52% | 30% |
| Justice Research Group (D)[413][O] | July 1–11, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 34% | 45% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[414][N] | May 26 – June 1, 2022 | 385 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 15% | 45% | 39% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sean Patrick Maloney (incumbent) | 21,525 | 66.7 | |
| Democratic | Alessandra Biaggi | 10,752 | 33.3 | |
| Total votes | 32,277 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Lawler | 11,603 | 75.8 | |
| Republican | William Faulkner | 1,772 | 11.6 | |
| Republican | Charles Falciglia | 1,310 | 8.6 | |
| Republican | Shoshana David | 444 | 2.9 | |
| Republican | Jack Schrepel | 176 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 15,305 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Mike Lawler | 1,049 | 87.9 | |
| Conservative | William Faulkner | 144 | 12.1 | |
| Total votes | 1,193 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Tossup | October 24, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Likely D | October 16, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Lean D | October 26, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Lean D | October 16, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Sean Patrick Maloney (D) |
Mike Lawler (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[418][P] | October 12–14, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[419][P] | September 6–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[420][P] | July 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Alessandra Biaggi vs. Mike Lawler
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Lawler | 125,738 | 44.05% | |
| Conservative | Mike Lawler | 17,812 | 6.24% | |
| Total | Mike Lawler | 143,550 | 50.29% | |
| Democratic | Sean Patrick Maloney | 133,457 | 46.76% | |
| Working Families | Sean Patrick Maloney | 8,273 | 2.90% | |
| Total | Sean Patrick Maloney (Incumbent) | 141,730 | 49.65% | |
| Write-in | 150 | 0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 285,430 | 100% | ||
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 County results Ryan: 50-60% Schmitt: 50-60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district is based in the mid Hudson Valley, including all of Orange County and most of Dutchess and Ulster Counties. The seat was modestly altered due to redistricting, losing all of Putnam County and parts of Westchester County to the 17th district while picking up the portions of Dutchess and Ulster Counties formerly in the 19th district. The district has a PVI of D+1 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020. The incumbents were Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney, who was reelected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020, and Democrat Pat Ryan, who was first elected in 2022 in a special election with 51.2% of the vote. Maloney ran for reelection in the neighboring 17th district instead, while Pat Ryan ran for reelection in this district.[6] In the general election Pat Ryan narrowly beat Schmitt, with Schmitt conceding defeat.[421] After the election, it became public that a Democrat-aligned group tried to request Schmitt's military records without authorization.[422]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pat Ryan | 29,400 | 84.1 | |
| Democratic | Aisha Mills | 4,603 | 13.2 | |
| Democratic | Moses Mugulusi | 966 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 34,969 | 100.0 | ||
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Lean D | August 24, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tilt D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean D | August 24, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Lean D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | August 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Tossup | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Likely D | October 21, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Lean D | September 22, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Lean D | September 28, 2022 |
Sean Patrick Maloney vs. Colin Schmitt
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pat Ryan | 123,168 | 46.12% | |
| Working Families | Pat Ryan | 12,077 | 4.52% | |
| Total | Pat Ryan (incumbent) | 135,245 | 50.64% | |
| Republican | Colin Schmitt | 116,972 | 43.80% | |
| Conservative | Colin Schmitt | 14,681 | 5.50% | |
| Total | Colin Schmitt | 131,653 | 49.30% | |
| Write-in | 155 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 267,053 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Molinaro: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Riley: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 19th district stretches from the Upper Hudson Valley across the Catskill Mountains to parts of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, including Hudson, Woodstock, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, and Ithaca. It includes all of Columbia, Greene, Sullivan, Delaware, Chenango, Cortland, Broome, Tioga, and Tompkins counties, and parts of Otsego and Ulster Counties. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing all of its territory in Dutchess County and most of its territory in Ulster County in exchange for Binghamton and Ithaca. The district has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Antonio Delgado, who was reelected with 54.8% of the vote in 2020.[6] But on May 3, 2022, Governor Kathy Hochul announced her intention to appoint Delgado to the vacant lieutenant governor position, triggering a special election that Democrat Pat Ryan won with 51.2% of the vote.[436] Ryan was then redistricted into the neighboring 18th district, leaving this seat open.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Riley | 30,538 | 63.5 | |
| Democratic | Jamie Cheney | 17,533 | 36.5 | |
| Total votes | 48,071 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Tossup | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Tossup | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | November 6, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Tossup | November 4, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Tossup | October 12, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Josh Riley (D) |
Marc Molinaro (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spectrum News/Siena[455] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 43% | 3%[m] | 6% |
| Spectrum News/Siena[456] | September 25–28, 2022 | 470 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 3%[m] | 11% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R)[457][R] | September 20–22, 2022 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 51% | – | 7% |
| RMG Research[458] | August 27 – September 2, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 41% | 1% | 13% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[459][S] | August 29 – September 1, 2022 | 403 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marc Molinaro | 129,960 | 45.18% | |
| Conservative | Marc Molinaro | 16,044 | 5.58% | |
| Total | Marc Molinaro | 146,004 | 50.76% | |
| Democratic | Josh Riley | 124,396 | 43.25% | |
| Working Families | Josh Riley | 17,113 | 5.95% | |
| Total | Josh Riley | 141,509 | 49.20% | |
| Write-in | 105 | 0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 287,618 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Tonko: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Joy: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is based in the Capital Region, including Albany, Troy, Schenectady, and Saratoga Springs. It includes all of Albany, Schenectady, and Saratoga counties and parts of Rensselaer County. Due to redistricting, the district lost Amsterdam to the 21st district. It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Paul Tonko, who was reelected with 61.2% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Paul Tonko | Rostov Rar | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 15, 2022 | Leagues of Women Voters of Albany, Saratoga and Schenectady counties |
Linda McKenney | [466] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Tonko (incumbent) | 17,846 | 88.3 | |
| Democratic | Rostov Rar | 2,358 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 20,204 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Paul Tonko | Liz Joy | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 27, 2022 | League of Women Voters Capital Region chapter Times Union WAMC WMHT (TV) |
Dan Clark | [469][n] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Likely D | October 18, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | September 1, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Tonko | 145,928 | 50.07% | |
| Working Families | Paul Tonko | 14,492 | 4.97% | |
| Total | Paul Tonko (incumbent) | 160,420 | 55.05% | |
| Republican | Liz Joy | 110,903 | 38.05% | |
| Conservative | Liz Joy | 19,966 | 6.85% | |
| Total | Liz Joy | 130,869 | 44.91% | |
| Write-in | 144 | 0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 291,433 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Stefanik: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Castelli: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is based in the North Country and Adirondack Mountains, including Glens Falls, Lake George, Plattsburgh, Potsdam, Amsterdam, and Cooperstown. Redistricting added parts of the Mohawk Valley to the district while removing Watertown. The district has a PVI of R+9 and voted for Donald Trump by 12 points in 2020. The incumbent was Republican Elise Stefanik, who was reelected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[6]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Castelli | 18,949 | 81.1 | |
| Democratic | Matt Putorti | 4,407 | 18.9 | |
| Total votes | 23,356 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid R | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid R | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Elise Stefanik | 150,595 | 52.82% | |
| Conservative | Elise Stefanik | 17,984 | 6.31% | |
| Total | Elise Stefanik (Incumbent) | 168,579 | 59.13% | |
| Democratic | Matt Castelli | 112,645 | 39.51% | |
| Moderate Party | Matt Castelli | 3,776 | 1.32% | |
| Total | Matt Castelli | 116,421 | 40.84% | |
| Write-in | 95 | 0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 285,095 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Williams: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Conole: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 40-50% 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is based in Central New York and the Mohawk Valley, including Syracuse and Utica. It includes all of Onondaga, Oneida, and Madison Counties and a small sliver of Oswego County. The district was significantly altered by redistricting, losing all of its previous territory in the Southern Tier while keeping Syracuse and also adding Utica. The district has a PVI of D+1 and voted for Joe Biden by 8 points in 2020, similar to the partisanship of the old 24th district. The incumbent was Republican John Katko of the 24th district, who was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2020.[6] Katko decided to retire instead of running for re-election.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brandon Williams | 14,129 | 57.7 | |
| Republican | Steve Wells | 10,351 | 42.3 | |
| Total votes | 24,480 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Francis Conole |
Steven Holden |
Sarah Klee Hood |
Chol Majok |
Josh Riley |
Sam Roberts |
Vanessa Fajans-Turner |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[499][T] | March 10–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 65% |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Francis Conole | 10,644 | 39.1 | |
| Democratic | Sarah Klee Hood | 9,562 | 35.5 | |
| Democratic | Sam Roberts | 3,543 | 13.2 | |
| Democratic | Chol Majok | 3,186 | 11.8 | |
| Total votes | 26,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Tossup | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Tossup | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Lean R | October 4, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Lean R | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Tossup | October 29, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Lean R | November 4, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Brandon Williams (R) |
Francis Conole (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spectrum News/Siena[506] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 432 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 46% | 2%[o] | 9% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[507][T] | October 24–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 45% | - | 13% |
| Spectrum News/Siena[508] | September 22–28, 2022 | 453 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 40% | 2%[o] | 13% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[509][T] | September 15–19, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
| RMG Research[510] | August 27 – September 2, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 40% | 3% | 14% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brandon Williams | 116,529 | 43.38% | |
| Conservative | Brandon Williams | 19,015 | 7.08% | |
| Total | Brandon Williams | 135,544 | 50.46% | |
| Democratic | Francis Conole | 132,913 | 49.48% | |
| Write-in | 151 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 268,608 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Langworthy: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Della Pia: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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District 23 is based in the Southern Tier and Western New York, including Elmira, Corning, Jamestown, and outer Erie County. Due to redistricting, the district lost parts of the Finger Lakes such as Ithaca while picking up parts of Erie County formerly in the 27th district. The district has a PVI of R+12 and voted for Donald Trump by 17 points in 2020. The district's two incumbents, both Republicans, both declined to run for reelection: Joe Sempolinski, who was elected in August 2022 to fulfill the remaining term caused by Tom Reed's resignation, specifically ran for the seat as a placeholder and not as a permanent representative;[512] and Chris Jacobs, of the old 27th district, announced that he would no longer seek election to the seat after his comments in support of gun control in the wake of the Robb Elementary School shooting upset many other Republicans and drew threats of primary challengers.[513]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nick Langworthy | 24,275 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Carl Paladino | 22,283 | 47.9 | |
| Total votes | 46,558 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid R | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid R | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nick Langworthy | 163,000 | 54.87% | |
| Conservative | Nick Langworthy | 29,694 | 10.00% | |
| Total | Nick Langworthy | 192,694 | 64.87% | |
| Democratic | Max Della Pia | 104,114 | 35.05% | |
| Write-in | 233 | 0.08% | ||
| Total votes | 297,041 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Tenney: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Holden: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Tie: 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district is based along the Lake Ontario coast (minus Rochester) and the upper Finger Lakes, including Watertown, Oswego, Auburn, Seneca Falls, and Batavia. It was significantly altered by redistricting, taking in all of the old 27th district outside of Erie County while only retaining the rural parts of the old 24th district. The district has a PVI of R+12 and voted for Donald Trump by 17 points in 2020. Republican Claudia Tenney, the incumbent of the old 22nd district, ran in this district and won. In 2020 she was narrowly elected in the old 22nd with 47.8% of the vote.[6]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Mario Fratto |
George Phillips |
Claudia Tenney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[547][W] | July 24–26, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 6% | 6% | 52% | 36% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Claudia Tenney (incumbent) | 17,470 | 53.9 | |
| Republican | Mario Fratto | 13,025 | 40.2 | |
| Republican | George Phillips | 1,939 | 6.0 | |
| Total votes | 32,434 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid R | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid R | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe R | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid R | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Local officials
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Claudia Tenney | 156,347 | 56.39% | |
| Conservative | Claudia Tenney | 25,707 | 9.27% | |
| Total | Claudia Tenney (incumbent) | 182,054 | 65.66% | |
| Democratic | Steven Holden | 95,028 | 34.27% | |
| Write-in | 171 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 277,253 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Morelle: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Singletary: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Tie: 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 25th district is based in the Rochester area, including all of Monroe County and part of Orleans County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 21 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Joseph Morelle, who was reelected with 59.3% of the vote in 2020.[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Likely D | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Likely D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joseph Morelle (D) | La'Ron Singletary (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrance Group (R)[552][X] | October 11–13, 2022 | 465 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Joseph Morelle | La'Ron Singletary | |||||
| 1[553] | Oct. 3, 2022 | League of Women Voters Rochester Metropolitan Area WROC-TV |
Adam Chodak | [554] | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 28, 2022 | WXXI-TV | Evan Dawson | [555] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Morelle | 139,875 | 49.54% | |
| Working Families | Joseph Morelle | 12,147 | 4.30% | |
| Total | Joseph Morelle (incumbent) | 152,022 | 53.84% | |
| Republican | La'Ron Singletary | 108,010 | 38.25% | |
| Conservative | La'Ron Singletary | 22,180 | 7.86% | |
| Total | La'Ron Singletary | 130,190 | 46.11% | |
| Write-in | 132 | 0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 282,344 | 100% | ||
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 Precinct results Higgins: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Sams: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Tie: 40-50% 50% No results: | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 26th district is based in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, including the more urban parts of Erie County and western Niagara County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 26 points in 2020. The incumbent was Democrat Brian Higgins, who was reelected with 69.8% of the vote in 2020.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Higgins (incumbent) | 27,598 | 91.3 | |
| Democratic | Emin Egriu | 2,628 | 8.7 | |
| Total votes | 30,226 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Solid D | May 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[44] | Solid D | May 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Safe D | May 25, 2022 |
| Politico[46] | Solid D | May 27, 2022 |
| RCP[47] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[48] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[49] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[50] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[51] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Higgins | 141,942 | 57.85% | |
| Working Families | Brian Higgins | 14,941 | 6.09% | |
| Total | Brian Higgins (incumbent) | 156,883 | 63.94% | |
| Republican | Steven Sams | 70,547 | 28.75% | |
| Conservative | Steven Sams | 17,792 | 7.25% | |
| Total | Steven Sams | 88,339 | 36.00% | |
| Write-in | 149 | 0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 245,371 | 100% | ||
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