2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

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2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.

Quick Facts Turnout, Nominee ...
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 
Turnout38.61% [1] 15.85 pp
 
Nominee Bill Lee Jason Martin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,129,390 572,818
Percentage 64.91% 32.92%

Lee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Martin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No data

Governor before election

Bill Lee
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Lee
Republican

Close

The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Martin winning their respective parties' nominations.[2][3]

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County had not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson counties. This was the first time in state history that Davidson County did not vote for the winner in a gubernatorial re-election since Tennessee began allowing governors to serve for two consecutive terms.

Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it had been in nearly a decade, with only 38.6% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. This was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well.

Bill Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Curtis Carney, business owner[8][7]
  • Tyler Hagerman[7]
  • Patricia Morrison[7]

Declined

Endorsements

Bill Lee

U.S. executive branch officials

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 494,362 100.00%
Total votes 494,362 100.00%
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Democratic primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

J. B. Smiley Jr.

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Martin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Smiley
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Atwater
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Martin 101,552 39.39%
Democratic J.B. Smiley Jr. 100,062 38.81%
Democratic Carnita Atwater 56,227 21.81%
Total votes 257,841 100.00%
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Independents

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Lemichael DaShaun-Wilson[25]
  • Hosie Holomon III[25]
  • Wendell Jackson[25]
  • Jake Johns[25]

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[27] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R June 29, 2022
Politico[29] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[30] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[31] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[32] Solid R August 4, 2022
Elections Daily[33] Safe R November 7, 2022
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Fundraising

More information Campaign finance reports as of July 5, 2022, Candidate ...
Campaign finance reports as of July 5, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bill Lee (R) $3,516,828 $3,316,034 $375,465
Jason Martin (D) $187,424 $495,649 $160,736
Source: Tennessee Registry of Election Finance[34]
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Post-primary endorsements

Jason Martin (D)

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Jason
Martin (D)
Other Undecided
RABA Research[41] July 21–31, 2022 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 28% 6% 14%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Vanderbilt University[42] April 26 – May 14, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 39% 12%
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Hypothetical polling

Bill Lee vs. generic opponent

Results

Thumb
Thumb
Thumb
More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election[43]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 1,129,390 64.91% +5.55
Democratic Jason Martin 572,818 32.92% −5.63
Independent John Gentry 15,395 0.89% N/A
Independent Constance Every 10,277 0.59% N/A
Independent Deborah Rouse 3,772 0.22% N/A
Independent Rick Tyler 2,380 0.14% N/A
Independent Charles Van Morgan 1,862 0.11% N/A
Independent Basil Marceaux 1,568 0.09% N/A
Independent Alfred O'Neil 1,216 0.07% N/A
Independent Michael Scantland 815 0.05% N/A
Write-In Lemichael D. Wilson 386 0.02% N/A
Write-In Charles Carney 2 0.00% N/A
Write-In Stephen C. Maxwell 1 0.00% N/A
Write-In Kameron Parker Scott 0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 1,739,882 100.00%
Turnout 1,756,397 38.61% −15.85%
Registered electors 4,549,183
Republican hold
Close

By county

More information By county, County ...
By county
County[44]Bill Lee
Republican
Jason Martin
Democratic
Other votesTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #
Anderson65.80%14,00332.11%6,8322.09%44521,280
Bedford79.30%8,40118.27%1,9362.43%25710,594
Benton79.14%3,24718.43%7562.43%1004,103
Bledsoe86.06%2,93312.27%4181.67%573,408
Blount74.41%29,47023.52%9,3162.07%82039,606
Bradley81.97%20,65516.26%4,0961.77%44725,198
Campbell81.96%6,11815.85%1,1972.19%1657,550
Cannon80.74%3,08217.50%6681.76%673,817
Carroll80.23%5,73317.74%1,2682.03%1457,146
Carter80.10%11,60217.78%2,5752.12%30714,484
Cheatham71.27%8,30926.92%3,1381.81%21111,658
Chester83.54%3,75613.83%6222.62%1184,496
Claiborne83.99%5,65214.18%9541.83%1236,729
Clay80.03%1,45116.93%3073.04%551,813
Cocke81.17%6,61815.95%1,3002.88%2358,153
Coffee77.13%10,52920.59%2,8112.28%31113,651
Crockett82.30%2,73416.23%5391.48%493,322
Cumberland82.38%17,86416.16%3,5051.46%31521,684
Davidson34.24%60,90063.38%112,7082.38%4,229177,837
Decatur80.65%2,71317.72%5961.63%553,364
DeKalb80.07%4,11817.71%9112.22%1145,143
Dickson73.73%9,97024.07%3,2552.20%29713,522
Dyer80.61%6,79116.81%1,4162.58%2178,424
Fayette75.93%10,86822.44%3,2121.63%23414,314
Fentress86.69%4,55911.12%5852.19%1155,259
Franklin75.05%8,64322.93%2,6412.02%23211,516
Gibson76.61%9,64021.21%2,6692.18%27412,583
Giles76.23%5,83220.68%1,5823.09%2377,651
Grainger85.28%4,58813.12%7061.60%865,380
Greene79.26%13,57417.83%3,0542.91%49816,951
Grundy80.82%2,73515.90%5383.28%1113,384
Hamblen78.86%10,33519.01%2,4922.13%27913,126
Hamilton60.02%60,64738.46%38,8621.52%1,542101,051
Hancock84.60%1,11012.58%1652.82%371,312
Hardeman62.41%3,48635.50%1,9832.09%1175,586
Hardin85.93%5,60612.45%8121.62%1066,524
Hawkins82.42%11,66915.56%2,2032.02%28614,158
Haywood51.14%2,01147.30%1,8601.56%613,932
Henderson85.61%5,55112.68%8221.71%1116,484
Henry78.52%6,67418.87%1,6042.61%2228,500
Hickman78.76%4,57719.41%1,1281.83%1065,811
Houston74.25%1,83723.00%5692.75%682,474
Humphreys74.63%3,34422.85%1,0242.52%1134,481
Jackson75.80%2,41519.99%6374.21%1343,186
Jefferson81.52%10,80615.90%2,1072.58%34213,255
Johnson85.05%4,41513.25%6881.70%885,191
Knox59.95%76,88038.32%49,1401.73%2,222128,242
Lake78.69%91217.69%2053.62%421,159
Lauderdale69.81%3,34627.56%1,3212.63%1264,793
Lawrence81.96%8,27615.34%1,5492.70%27210,097
Lewis80.09%2,72318.03%6131.88%643,400
Lincoln81.89%7,45215.45%1,4062.66%2429,100
Loudon78.15%15,28519.43%3,8012.42%47319,559
Macon85.13%4,14012.03%5852.84%1384,863
Madison63.77%15,35734.24%8,2461.99%47924,082
Marion77.23%5,94720.91%1,6101.86%1437,700
Marshall75.99%6,73421.00%1,8613.01%2678,862
Maury72.26%22,19825.75%7,9101.99%61030,718
McMinn80.35%10,37114.39%1,8585.26%67912,908
McNairy83.06%5,86414.67%1,0362.27%1607,060
Meigs82.21%2,70314.93%4912.86%943,288
Monroe82.93%9,83014.75%1,7482.23%27511,853
Montgomery60.22%24,81336.38%14,9883.40%1,40041,201
Moore83.33%1,72514.59%3022.08%432,070
Morgan83.97%3,84413.63%6242.40%1104,578
Obion82.63%6,41815.10%1,1732.27%1767,767
Overton78.45%4,80518.73%1,1472.82%1736,125
Perry80.22%1,54917.56%3392.22%431,931
Pickett80.06%1,54216.15%3113.79%731,929
Polk83.32%4,00014.83%7121.85%894,801
Putnam72.43%14,21724.84%4,8752.73%53619,628
Rhea85.11%6,55113.42%1,0331.47%1137,697
Roane75.23%11,87121.15%3,3373.62%57215,780
Robertson75.97%14,06621.86%4,0482.17%40018,514
Rutherford62.00%46,57535.87%26,9482.13%1,60475,127
Scott87.56%3,39410.19%3952.25%873,876
Sequatchie83.92%3,64313.87%6022.21%964,341
Sevier80.35%18,31416.75%3,8182.90%66022,792
Shelby43.20%86,38454.51%108,9952.29%4,583199,962
Smith79.52%4,20517.53%9272.95%1565,288
Stewart79.55%3,16717.76%7072.69%1073,981
Sullivan77.90%32,89720.78%8,7771.32%55642,230
Sumner71.57%37,46626.12%13,6722.31%1,20952,347
Tipton76.69%11,48720.58%3,0832.73%40914,979
Trousdale77.39%1,66020.93%4491.68%362,145
Unicoi80.66%4,23817.32%9102.02%1065,254
Union82.90%3,45614.99%6252.11%884,169
Van Buren82.35%1,56314.70%2792.95%561,898
Warren75.29%6,66822.16%1,9632.55%2268,857
Washington69.42%24,33028.66%10,0461.92%67135,047
Wayne86.59%3,09411.14%3982.27%813,573
Weakley78.94%6,41718.32%1,4892.74%2238,129
White82.41%5,74415.42%1,0752.17%1516,970
Williamson68.06%58,13230.57%26,1161.37%1,16985,417
Wilson70.69%31,49627.40%12,2081.91%84844,552

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Close

By congressional district

Lee won eight of nine congressional districts.[45]

More information District, Lee ...
District Lee Martin Representative
1st 78.0% 19.9% Diana Harshbarger
2nd 66.8% 31.3% Tim Burchett
3rd 68.8% 29.1% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 72.1% 25.7% Scott DesJarlais
5th 58.6% 39.6% Jim Cooper (117th Congress)
Andy Ogles (118th Congress)
6th 65.8% 31.9% John W. Rose
7th 59.6% 37.9% Mark E. Green
8th 73.2% 25.0% David Kustoff
9th 32.6% 64.7% Steve Cohen
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See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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