2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

The 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic governor Dan McKee became Rhode Island's governor on March 2, 2021, when term-limited Gina Raimondo resigned following her confirmation as United States Secretary of Commerce. McKee easily won a full term on election day, defeating Republican Ashley Kalus by more than 19 percentage points.[1][2]

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 
 
Nominee Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,166 139,001
Percentage 57.92% 38.86%

McKee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kalus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Dan McKee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dan McKee
Democratic

Close

McKee's margin of victory and vote share was the highest for any candidate for governor of Rhode Island since 1992. This was the first time since that election that Democrats won every county in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Brown

U.S. senators

State legislators

Helena Foulkes

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Nellie Gorbea

State legislators

Organizations

Labor unions

Dan McKee
Luis Daniel Muñoz

Individuals

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Matt
Brown
Helena
Foulkes
Nellie
Gorbea
Seth
Magaziner
Dan
McKee
Luis Daniel
Muñoz
Other Undecided
Fleming & Associates[54] August 7–10, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 8% 14% 25% 28% 1% 21%
Lake Research Partners (D)[55][A] July 25–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 14% 27% 22% 3% 5% 22%
Suffolk University[56] June 19–22, 2022 353 (LV) ± 5.2% 5% 16% 24% 20% 1% 2% 31%
Fleming & Associates[57] May 9–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 6% 23% 25% 2% 37%
Lake Research Partners (D)[58][A] April 11–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 7% 30% 24% 1% 3% 26%
January 26, 2022 Magaziner withdraws from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[59][A] November 7–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 4% 24% 16% 26% 20%
Close

Results

Results by county
  McKee
  •   30–40%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
Results by municipality:
  McKee
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gorbea
  •   30–40%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 37,288 32.82%
Democratic Helena Foulkes 33,931 29.87%
Democratic Nellie Gorbea 29,811 26.24%
Democratic Matt Brown 9,021 7.94%
Democratic Luis Daniel Muñoz 3,547 3.12%
Total votes 113,598 100.0%
Close

Republican primary

Summarize
Perspective

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ashley Kalus

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Kalus
  •   80–90%
Thumb
Results by municipality:
  Kalus
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Kalus 17,188 83.68%
Republican Jonathan Riccitelli 3,351 16.32%
Total votes 20,539 100.0%
Close

Third parties and Independents

Qualified

Declined

General election

Summarize
Perspective

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[79] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[80] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[81] Likely D January 26, 2022
Politico[82] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[83] Likely D January 10, 2022
Fox News[84] Likely D May 12, 2022
538[85] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[86] Likely D November 7, 2022
Close

Post-primary endorsements

Ashley Kalus (R)

State legislators

Local officials

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Ashley
Kalus (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University[89] October 1–4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 36% 4%[c] 14%
Fleming & Associates[90] September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 32% 7%[d] 15%
Echelon Insights[91] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 28% 21%
Close
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Jonathan
Riccitelli (R)
Undecided
Echelon Insights[91] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 53% 25% 22%
Close
Hypothetical polling

Dan McKee vs. Jonathan Riccitelli

Debates

More information No., Date ...
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:  P  Participant 
Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
1 October 11, 2022 WPRI-TV Ted Nesi
Tim White
YouTube P P
1 November 3, 2022 WJAR-TV Gene Valicenti C-SPAN p p
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election[92]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 207,166 57.92% +5.28%
Republican Ashley Kalus 139,001 38.86% +1.68%
Independent Zachary Hurwitz 4,512 1.26% N/A
Independent Paul Rianna Jr. 3,123 0.87% N/A
Libertarian Elijah Gizzarelli 2,811 0.79% N/A
Write-in 1,057 0.30% −0.03%
Total votes 357,670 100.0%
Turnout  %
Registered electors
Democratic hold
Close

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

McKee won both congressional districts.[93]

More information District, McKee ...
District McKee Kalus Representative
1st 62% 35% David Cicilline
2nd 55% 42% James Langevin (117th Congress)
Seth Magaziner (118th Congress)
Close

Notes

  1. McKee became governor in 2021 when his predecessor, Gina Raimondo, resigned to become U.S. Secretary of Commerce. Prior to that, he was the lieutenant governor of Rhode Island.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Hurwitz with 2%; Gizzarelli and Rianna with 1%
  4. Rianna with 3%; Gizzarelli and Hurwitz with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Gorbea's campaign

References

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