2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 205,606 | 51.32% | 185,159 | 46.21% | 9,896 | 2.47% | 400,661 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 208,289 | 53.91% | 168,886 | 43.70% | 9,266 | 2.40% | 386,441 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 413,469 | 52.59% | 353,650 | 44.98% | 19,136 | 2.43% | 787,102 | 100.0% |
District 1
Summarize
Perspective
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![]() Municipality results Pappas: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Mowers: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Pappas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
Organizations
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 70,643 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 70,643 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer[7]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers)[10]
Declined
- Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018[11]
Endorsements
Matt Mayberry
Federal officials
- Jeb Bradley, former U.S. representative from this district (2003–2007)[12]
State officials
- Craig Benson, former governor of New Hampshire (2003–2005)[12]
- Ruth Griffin, former member of the Executive Council of New Hampshire (1987–2007)[12]
- Tom Rath, former Attorney General of New Hampshire (1978–1980)[12]
State legislators
- Keith Ammon, former state representative from the Hillsborough 40th district (2014–2018)[12]
- David Boutin, former state senator (2010–2016)[12]
- Sharon Carson, state senator from the 14th district[12]
- Bob Clegg, former state senator (2002–2008)
- Harold French, state senator from the 7th district[12]
- Dennis Green, state representative[12]
- Bob Giuda, state senator from the 2nd district[12]
- Dan Innis, former state senator (2016–2018)[12]
- Sean Morrison, former state representative (2016–2019)[12]
- Chuck Morse, Minority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate[12]
- Jason Osborne, state representative from the Rockingham 4th district[12]
- John Reagan, state senator from the 17th district[12]
- Ruth Ward, state senator from the 8th district[12]
- Ken Weyler, state representative from the Rockingham 13th district[12]
Matt Mowers
Federal officials
- Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader and Representative for California's 23rd congressional district[13]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[14]
State officials
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)[15]
Organizations
- Tea Party Express, conservative PAC[16]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Matt Mayberry | Matt Mowers | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 323 (LV) | – | 17% | 48% | 0%[b] | 34% |
Saint Anselm College[18] | August 15–17, 2020 | 261 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 12% | 23% | 8%[c] | 57% |
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Matt Mayberry | Matt Mowers | |||||
1 | Sep. 2, 2020 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
Adam Sexton | [19] | P | P |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Mowers | 41,100 | 59.4 | |
Republican | Matt Mayberry | 18,479 | 26.7 | |
Republican | Kevin Rondeau | 4,203 | 6.1 | |
Republican | Jeff Denaro | 2,723 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Michael Callis | 2,703 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 69,208 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
General election
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Chris Pappas | Matt Mowers | Zachary Dumont | |||||
1 | October 7, 2020 | NHPR New Hampshire PBS |
Peter Biello Laura Knoy |
[22] | P | P | N |
1 | October 21, 2020 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
[23] | P | P | N |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Likely D | August 14, 2020 |
Inside Elections[25] | Likely D | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
Politico[27] | Lean D | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[28] | Likely D | October 26, 2020 |
RCP[29] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[30] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Matt Mowers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[31] | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 50% | 2%[d] | 0% |
Saint Anselm College[32] | October 23–26, 2020 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 44% | 2%[e] | 5% |
University of New Hampshire[33] | October 9–12, 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 43% | 1%[f] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College[34] | October 1–4, 2020 | 595 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 41% | 3%[g] | 7% |
University of New Hampshire[35] | September 24–28, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 38% | 2%[h] | 4% |
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 925 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 2%[i] | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Matt Mayberry (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 2%[i] | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College[36] | June 13–16, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 8% |
Saint Anselm College[37] | April 23–27, 2020 | 442 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 43% | 1% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
with Matt Mayberry
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 205,606 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Matt Mowers | 185,159 | 46.2 | |
Libertarian | Zachary Dumont | 9,747 | 2.4 | |
N/A | Scatter | 149 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 400,661 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
Summarize
Perspective
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![]() Municipality results Kuster: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Negron: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Annie Kuster, incumbent U.S. representative[39]
Eliminated in primary
- Joseph Mirzoeff[40]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Annie Kuster (incumbent) | 71,358 | 92.8 | |
Democratic | Joseph Mirzoeff | 5,500 | 7.2 | |
Total votes | 76,858 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman[40]
- Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2018[41]
- Eli Clemmer, school media specialist[42][43]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lynn Blankenbeker | Steve Negron | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | – | 20% | 50% | 1%[j] | 29% |
Saint Anselm College[18] | August 15–17, 2020 | 216 (RV) | ± 6.7% | 15% | 37% | 4%[k] | 44% |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Negron | 30,503 | 48.3 | |
Republican | Lynne Blankenbeker | 24,464 | 38.7 | |
Republican | Matthew Bjelobrk | 4,381 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Eli Clemmer | 3,850 | 6.1 | |
Total votes | 63,198 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
Annie Kuster (D)
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[44]
Organizations
Steve Negron (R)
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Andrew Olding[40]
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Annie Kuster | Steve Negron | Andrew Olding | |||||
1 | October 22, 2020 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
[50] | P | P | N |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Safe D | August 5, 2020 |
Inside Elections[25] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Likely D | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[27] | Likely D | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[28] | Safe D | July 21, 2020 |
RCP[29] | Lean D | October 24, 2020 |
Niskanen[30] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Annie Kuster (D) |
Steve Negron (R) |
Andrew Olding (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[31] | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 41% | 7% | 0%[l] | 1% |
Saint Anselm College[32] | October 23–26, 2020 | 458 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | 3% | 1%[m] | 3% |
University of New Hampshire[33] | October 9–12, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 2% | 0%[b] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College[34] | October 1–4, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 38% | 4% | 2%[n] | 5% |
University of New Hampshire[35] | September 24–28, 2020 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 0%[b] | 5% |
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 917 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 2% | 3%[o] | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Annie Kuster (D) |
Lynne Blankenbeker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire[17] | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 920 (LV) | – | 52% | 39% | 5%[p] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College[36] | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 9% |
Saint Anselm College[37] | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 378 (RV) | ± 5% | 47% | 41% | 5% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
with Lynne Blankenbeker
Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Annie Kuster (incumbent) | 208,289 | 53.9 | |
Republican | Steve Negron | 168,886 | 43.7 | |
Libertarian | Andrew Olding | 9,119 | 2.4 | |
N/A | Scatter | 147 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 386,441 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
Notes
References
External links
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