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The 2018 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 26.[1]
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| Turnout | 74.15%  | ||||||||||||||||
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   Romney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican senator Orrin Hatch announced in January 2018 that he would retire and not seek reelection to an eighth term, making this the first open seat U.S. Senate election in Utah since 1992 and the first in this seat since 1905. The general election was won by Mitt Romney, who had been the Republican nominee for president in 2012 and previously was the 70th governor of Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007. Romney became only the third person in American history to be elected governor and U.S. senator in different states, and the first former major party presidential nominee to run for a new office since Walter Mondale in 2002.[2]
Utah's 2018 U.S. Senate candidates had dual routes toward placement on the primary election ballot: (1) eligibility via win or second-place showings at a convention of delegates selected from party local caucuses; and/or (2) eligibility via obtaining sufficient petition signatures.
Taking the traditional route, the top two candidates for the U.S. Senate at any of the party state conventions (to be held this year the latter part of April) will be placed on the June 26 primary election ballot. Also, any candidate who collects 28,000 ballot-access petition signatures will be placed on the primary ballot.
If no competitor will have achieved the above-mentioned alternate access to the primary ballot through collected signatures and a convention winner had achieved sixty-percent of delegate votes, this candidate straightaway receives his or her party's nomination solely via the older-style caucuses-convention system. Otherwise, a candidate will be nominated through receiving a plurality of votes in the primary election and thereby advance to the November general election.
Incumbent Orrin Hatch did not seek reelection.[3]
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch was reelected to a seventh term in 2012. During his 2012 reelection campaign, Hatch had pledged that if he were elected that it would be his last term.[4] Hatch won his first election in 1976 in part by criticizing the incumbent's 18-year tenure. Hatch initially announced a re-election campaign on March 9, 2017,[5][6][7][8] though he also said at that time that he might withdraw from the race if Mitt Romney decided to run.[9] An August 19–21, 2016, poll conducted by Public Policy Polling found only 19% of voters wanted Hatch to run in 2018, while 71% wanted him to retire.[10] On October 27, 2017, Hatch reportedly told friends privately that he was going to retire in 2019[11] and on January 2, 2018, made a public announcement of his plans to retire at the end of his current term in January 2019.[3]
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Notable individuals
| State Republican Convention results, 2018 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | First ballot | Pct. | Second ballot | Pct. |
| Mike Kennedy | 1,354 | 40.69% | 1,642 | 50.88% |
| Mitt Romney | 1,539 | 46.24% | 1,585 | 49.12% |
| Larry Meyers | 163 | 4.90% | Eliminated | |
| Samuel Parker | 122 | 3.67% | Eliminated | |
| Timothy Jiminez | 100 | 3.01% | Eliminated | |
| Alicia Colvin | 29 | 0.87% | Eliminated | |
| Stoney Fonua | 7 | 0.21% | Eliminated | |
| Loy Brunson | 4 | 0.12% | Eliminated | |
| Joshua Lee | 2 | 0.06% | Eliminated | |
| Chris Forbush | 0 | 0% | Eliminated | |
| Gayle Painter | 0 | 0% | Eliminated | |
| Total | 3,328 | 100.00% | 3,227 | 100.00% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Orrin Hatch |
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[29] | January 9–16, 2017 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 21% | 62% | 16% |
with Orrin Hatch
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
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Individuals
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link(s) | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
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| Mike Kennedy | Mitt Romney | ||||
| May 29, 2018 | Utah Debate Commission | David Magleby | [57] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mitt Romney | 240,021 | 71.27% | |
| Republican | Mike Kennedy | 96,771 | 28.73% | |
| Total votes | 336,792 | 100% | ||
U.S. Representatives
Statewide & Local Politicians
Individuals
Organizations
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link(s) | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
|||||
| Mitt Romney |
Jenny Wilson | ||||
| October 9, 2018 | Utah Debate Commission | Bruce Lindsay | [73] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[74] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[75] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[76] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[77] | Likely R | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[78] | Safe R | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[79] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
^Highest rating given
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U.S. Governors
Statewide Officeholders
State Legislators
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Newspapers and Magazines
U.S. Representatives
Statewide & Local Politicians
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Utah[84] | October 3–9, 2018 | 607 | ± 4.0% | 59% | 23% | 8% | 10% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[85] | August 22–31, 2018 | 809 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 8%[86] | 7% |
| Lighthouse Research[87] | August 11–27, 2018 | 2,400 | – | 59% | 19% | 9%[88] | 14% |
| University of Utah[89] | June 11–18, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 20% | – | 21% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[90] | January 15–18, 2018 | 803 | ± 3.5% | 64% | 19% | – | 12% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[91] | November 16–21, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 72% | 21% | – | 7% |
| Dan Jones & Associates[92] | August 30 – September 5, 2017[note 1] | 608 | ± 4.0% | 64% | 26% | – | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mitt Romney (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Craig Bowden (L) |
Dan McCay (R) |
Mitchell Vice (D) |
Larry Meyers (R) |
Alicia Colvin (R) |
Jay Hyatt (R) |
L'Capi Titus (R) |
Timothy Jimenez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[93] | February 9–16, 2018 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Kennedy (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[27] | June 11–18, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Orrin Hatch (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics[94] | March 18–March 20, 2017 | 625 | ± 3.9% | 29% | 33% | 11% | 10% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Stewart (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[92] | August 30 – September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Holland (R) |
Jenny Wilson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates[92] | August 30 – September 5, 2017 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 30% | 47% |
with Mike Kennedy
with Orrin Hatch
with Chris Stewart
with Matt Holland
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mitt Romney | 665,215 | 62.59% | −2.72% | |
| Democratic | Jenny Wilson | 328,541 | 30.91% | +0.93% | |
| Constitution | Tim Aalders | 28,774 | 2.71% | −0.46% | |
| Libertarian | Craig Bowden | 27,607 | 2.60% | N/A | |
| Independent American | Reed McCandless | 12,708 | 1.20% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 52 | <0.01% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,062,897 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Romney won all 4 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[96]
| District | Romney | Wilson | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 67% | 25% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 57% | 36% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 68% | 26% | John Curtis |
| 4th | 59% | 36% | Mia Love |
| Ben McAdams | |||
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