2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28.[1] The state's U.S. House delegation Republican majority changed from 5–0 to 4–1. As of 2023, this is the only time since 2010 that Democrats won any house race in Oklahoma.

Quick Facts All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives, Majority party ...
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 

All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 0
Seats won 4 1
Seat change 1 1
Popular vote 730,531 428,452
Percentage 61.97% 36.35%
Swing 7.01% 9.42%

Close

Results summary

Summarize
Perspective

Statewide

More information Popular vote ...
Popular vote
Republican
61.97%
Democratic
36.35%
Independent
1.33%
Libertarian
0.35%
Close
More information House seats ...
House seats
Republican
80.00%
Democratic
20.00%
Close

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:[2]

More information District, Republican ...
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1150,12959.30%103,04240.70%00.00%253,171100.00%Republican hold
District 2140,45165.02%65,02130.10%10,5304.87%216,002100.00%Republican hold
District 3172,91373.87%61,15226.13%00.00%234,065100.00%Republican hold
District 4149,22763.06%78,08833.00%9,3233.94%236,638100.00%Republican hold
District 5117,81149.30%121,14950.70%00.00%238,960100.00%Democratic gain
Total730,53161.97%428,45236.35%19,8531.68%1,178,836100.00%
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District 1

Summarize
Perspective
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election

 2016
2020 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Kevin Hern Tim Gilpin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 150,129 103,042
Percentage 59.3% 40.7%

Thumb
Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Kevin Hern
Republican

Close

The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. Incumbent Republican Jim Bridenstine, who had represented the district since 2013, resigned on April 23 to become NASA Administrator. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

During his initial election in 2012, Bridenstine self-imposed a three term limit. Bridenstine confirmed that he would honor his term-limit pledge.[3]

Bridenstine became Administrator of NASA in the Donald Trump administration, and resigned on April 23.[4]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Andy Coleman
Kevin Hern

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Harris 28,392 27.5
Republican Kevin Hern 23,425 22.7
Republican Andy Coleman 22,584 21.9
Republican Nathan Dahm 20,843 20.2
Republican Danny Stockstill 8,086 7.8
Total votes 103,330 100.0
Close

Runoff

Polling
More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Harris
Kevin
Hern
Undecided
SoonerPoll[10] July 24–29, 2018 811 ± 3.4% 38% 26% 36%
Close
Results
More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern 40,373 54.9
Republican Tim Harris 33,138 45.1
Total votes 73,511 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Amanda Douglas, business analyst, energy consultant and member of the Cherokee Nation[12]
  • Gwendolyn Fields
  • Mark Keeter
  • David Hullum
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Gilpin 24,532 34.5
Democratic Amanda Douglas 23,045 32.4
Democratic Gwendolyn Fields 13,947 19.6
Democratic Mark Keeter 6,013 8.5
Democratic David Hullum 3,573 5.0
Total votes 71,110 100.0
Close

Runoff results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Gilpin 16,985 59.4
Democratic Amanda Douglas 11,620 40.6
Total votes 28,605 100.0
Close

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
Hern (R)
Tim
Gilpin (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[13] September 15–25, 2018 306 ± 5.6% 54% 32% 14%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[19] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[20] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[21] Safe R November 2, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern 150,129 59.3
Democratic Tim Gilpin 103,042 40.7
Total votes 253,171 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 2

Summarize
Perspective
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election

 2016
2020 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Markwayne Mullin Jason Nichols
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 140,451 65,021
Percentage 65.0% 30.1%

Thumb
Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Markwayne Mullin
Republican

Close

The 2nd district is located in the regions of Green Country and Kiamichi Country and includes the city of Muskogee and numerous sparsely populated counties. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Mullin had pledged to serve only three terms when he was first elected in 2012. During the 2016 campaign, Mullin stated he was reassessing his pledge, and refused to rule out running again in 2018.[22]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Brian Jackson
  • Jarrin Jackson, veteran, conservative activist and candidate for the seat in 2016[23]
  • John McCarthy
Declined

Endorsements

Jarrin Jackson
U.S. senators

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) 32,624 54.1
Republican Jarrin Jackson 15,191 25.2
Republican Brian Jackson 6,899 11.5
Republican John McCarthy 5,536 9.2
Total votes 60,250 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Nichols 32,549 37.9
Democratic Clay Padgett 20,796 24.2
Democratic Elijah McIntosh 16,343 19.0
Democratic Virginia Jenner 16,204 18.9
Total votes 85,892 100.0
Close

Runoff results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Nichols 19,548 56.8
Democratic Clay Padgett 14,845 43.2
Total votes 34,393 100.0
Close

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Markwayne
Mullin (R)
Jason
Nichols (D)
Richard
Castaldo (L)
John
Foreman (I)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[25] September 15–25, 2018 306 ± 5.6% 46% 32% 4% 6% 12%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[19] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[20] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[21] Safe R November 2, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) 140,451 65.0
Democratic Jason Nichols 65,021 30.1
Independent John Foreman 6,390 3.0
Libertarian Richard Castaldo 4,140 1.9
Total votes 216,002 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 3

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Perspective
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election

 2016
2020 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Frank Lucas Frankie Robbins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 172,913 61,152
Percentage 73.9% 26.1%

Thumb
Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Lucas
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Lucas
Republican

Close

The 3rd district is located in Western Oklahoma. The largest district in Oklahoma and one of the largest in the country, it includes the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City and the city of Stillwater as well as the Osage Nation. Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas, who had represented the district since 2003 and previously represented the 6th district from 1994 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+27.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Frankie Robbins, engineer
Eliminated in primary
  • Murray Thibodeaux

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frankie Robbins 38,733 64.8
Democratic Murray Thibodeaux 20,998 35.2
Total votes 59,731 100.0
Close

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Frank
Lucas (R)
Frankie
Robbins (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[26] September 15–25, 2018 267 ± 6.0% 54% 24% 22%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[19] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[20] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[21] Safe R November 2, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Lucas (incumbent) 172,913 73.9
Democratic Frankie Robbins 61,152 26.1
Total votes 234,065 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 4

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Perspective
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district election

 2016
2020 
  Thumb Thumb
Nominee Tom Cole Mary Brannon
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 149,227 78,088
Percentage 63.1% 33.0%

Thumb
Precinct and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Cole
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Cole
Republican

Close

The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and includes the suburbs of Oklahoma City, such as the counties of Canadian, Comanche and Cleveland and numerous other sparsely populated counties. Incumbent Republican Tom Cole, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of R+20.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • James Taylor

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 55,891 64.7
Republican James Taylor 30,441 35.3
Total votes 86,332 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mary Brannon, teacher
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • John McKenna

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Brannon 25,736 34.4
Democratic Fred Gipson 22,744 30.4
Democratic Mallory Varner 13,938 18.6
Democratic Roxann Klutts 12,482 16.7
Total votes 74,900 100.0
Close

Runoff results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Brannon 15,245 57.5
Democratic Fred Gipson 11,264 42.5
Total votes 26,509 100.0
Close

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cole (R)
Mary
Brannon (D)
Rudy
Peters (I)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[26] September 15–25, 2018 291 ± 5.74% 58% 25% 6% 11%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[19] Safe R November 7, 2018
CNN[20] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[21] Safe R November 2, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent) 149,227 63.1
Democratic Mary Brannon 78,088 33.0
Independent Ruby Peters 9,323 3.9
Total votes 236,638 100.0
Republican hold
Close

District 5

Summarize
Perspective
Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2018 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election

 2016
2020 
  Thumb
Nominee Kendra Horn Steve Russell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 121,149 117,811
Percentage 50.7% 49.3%

Thumb
Precinct and county-level results
Horn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Russell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      ≥90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Russell
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kendra Horn
Democratic

Close

The 5th district is located in Central Oklahoma and centered around the state capital, Oklahoma City, and the surrounding areas such as Edmond and Shawnee. Incumbent Republican Steve Russell, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+10. Democrat Kendra Horn won by a margin of 1.4% in what was considered an upset.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Gregory Dunson
  • DeJuan Edwards

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Russell (incumbent) 65,982 83.6
Republican Gregory Dunson 7,638 9.7
Republican DeJuan Edwards 5,284 6.7
Total votes 78,904 100.0
Close

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kendra Horn, attorney and communication technology firm strategic consultant[27]
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kendra Horn 34,857 43.8
Democratic Tom Guild 14,242 17.9
Democratic Elysabeth Britt 10,739 13.5
Democratic Eddie Porter 8,447 10.6
Democratic Leona Kelley-Leonard 6,693 8.4
Democratic Tyson Meade 4,527 5.7
Total votes 79,505 100.0
Close

Runoff results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Democratic primary runoff results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kendra Horn 22,052 75.8
Democratic Tom Guild 7,039 24.2
Total votes 29,091 100.0
Close

General election

Polling

More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Russell (R)
Kendra
Horn (D)
Undecided
SoonerPoll[28] October 29, 2018 440 ± 4.66% 49% 37% 14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[29] October 14–15, 2018 974 ± 3.14% 51% 35% 14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[30] September 24–25, 2018 1,407 ± 2.61% 50% 37% 13%
SoonerPoll[26] September 15–25, 2018 303 ± 5.63% 47% 37% 16%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[31] September 4–6, 2018 1,182 ± 2.85% 49% 35% 16%
Close

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[17] Likely R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18] Likely R November 5, 2018
538[19] Likely R November 7, 2018
CNN[20] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[21] Likely R November 2, 2018
Close

Results

More information Party, Candidate ...
Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2018[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kendra Horn 121,149 50.70
Republican Steve Russell (incumbent) 117,811 49.30
Total votes 238,960 100.00
Democratic gain from Republican
Close

References

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