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The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 64.65% | ||||||||||||||||
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Eldridge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman |
Curtis Coleman |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[3] | February 4, 2016 | 457 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 23% | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 298,039 | 76.45% | |
| Republican | Curtis Coleman | 91,795 | 23.55% | |
| Total votes | 389,834 | 100.00% | ||
Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 214,228 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 214,228 | 100.00% | ||
The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.[6]
| Dates | Location | Boozman | Eldridge | Gilbert | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 12, 2016 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | [7] - C-SPAN |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[10] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Conner Eldridge (D) |
Frank Gilbert (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[13] | November 1–7, 2016 | 930 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[14] | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 798 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[15] | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 43% | — | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey[16] | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 593 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 43% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[17] | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 475 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | — | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 25–31, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | — | 2% |
| University of Arkansas[19] | October 18–25, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 61% | 38% | — | 1% | — |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[20] | October 21, 2016 | 463 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[21] | September 15–17, 2016 | 831 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Emerson College[22] | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 30% | — | 11% | 15% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[23] | June 21, 2016 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 29% | 6% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Mike Beebe (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[24] | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[25] | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College[26] | June 8–11, 2015 | 1,183 | ± 1.84% | 37% | 45% | — | 18% |
with Mike Beebe
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 661,984 | 59.77% | +1.87% | |
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 | 36.17% | −0.78% | |
| Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 43,866 | 3.96% | +0.72% | |
| Write-in | 1,070 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,107,522 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Boozman won all 4 congressional districts[28]
| District | Boozman | Eldridge | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 33% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 51% | 45% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 64% | 31% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 62% | 35% | Bruce Westerman |
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