Loading AI tools
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the twenty-seven congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.
![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require congressional and state legislative districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed, U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning congressional districts be declared invalid.[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however, in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.[2]
Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27,[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,[4] and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.[5]
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 4,157,046 | 51.61% | 17 | -2 | |
Democratic | 3,678,725 | 45.67% | 10 | +4 | |
Other Parties | 219,374 | 2.72% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 8,055,145 | 100% | 27 | +2 |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Miller: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races [6] Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who had represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.[7]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Miller (incumbent) | 238,440 | 69.6 | |
Democratic | Jim Bryan | 92,961 | 27.1 | |
Libertarian | Calen Fretts | 11,176 | 3.3 | |
Independent | William Cleave (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 342,594 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Southerland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.[7]
Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, and tried to run on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.[12]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson | 46,900 | 54.6 | |
Democratic | Leonard Bembry | 22,357 | 26.0 | |
Democratic | Alvin L. Peters | 11,919 | 13.9 | |
Democratic | Mark Schlakman | 4,653 | 5.4 | |
Total votes | 85,829 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term, 53% to 47%, on November 6, 2012.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Southerland (incumbent) | 175,856 | 52.7 | ||
Democratic | Al Lawson | 157,634 | 47.2 | ||
Independent | Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in) | 228 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 333,718 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Yoho: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.
Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Yoho | 22,273 | 34.4 | |
Republican | Cliff Stearns (incumbent) | 21,398 | 33.0 | |
Republican | Steve Oelrich | 12,329 | 19.0 | |
Republican | James Jett | 8,769 | 13.5 | |
Total votes | 64,769 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Yoho (R) |
J. R. Gaillot (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Yoho | 204,331 | 64.7 | ||
Democratic | J. R. Gaillot | 102,468 | 32.5 | ||
Independent | Philip Dodds | 8,870 | 2.8 | ||
Total votes | 315,669 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who had represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.[31]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 46,788 | 71.9 | |
Republican | Bob Black | 11,816 | 18.1 | |
Republican | Deborah Katz Pueschel | 6,505 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 65,109 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 239,988 | 76.1 | |
Independent | Jim Klauder | 75,236 | 23.8 | |
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 246 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 315,470 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Brown: 60–70% 70–80% Kolb: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.[32]
Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.[34]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Corrine Brown (incumbent) | 190,472 | 70.8 | |
Republican | LeAnne Kolb | 70,700 | 26.3 | |
Independent | Eileen Fleming | 7,978 | 3.0 | |
Independent | Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 269,153 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results DeSantis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who had represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.
Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 24,132 | 38.8 | |
Republican | Fred Costello | 14,189 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Beverly Slough | 8,229 | 13.2 | |
Republican | Craig Miller | 8,113 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Richard Clark | 6,090 | 9.8 | |
Republican | Alec Pueschel | 739 | 1.2 | |
Republican | William Billy Kogut | 628 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 62,120 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Heather Beaven | 29,909 | 80.5 | |
Democratic | Vipin Verma | 7,253 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 37,162 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 195,962 | 57.3 | ||
Democratic | Heather Beaven | 146,489 | 42.8 | ||
Total votes | 342,451 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Mica: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 32,119 | 61.2 | |
Republican | Sandy Adams (incumbent) | 20,404 | 38.8 | |
Total votes | 52,523 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jason H. Kendall | 12,816 | 61.3 | |
Democratic | Nicholas Ruiz | 8,088 | 38.7 | |
Total votes | 20,904 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 185,518 | 58.7 | ||
Democratic | Jason H. Kenall | 130,479 | 41.3 | ||
Independent | Fred Marra (write-in) | 13 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 316,010 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Posey: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 205,432 | 58.9 | ||
Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 130,870 | 37.5 | ||
Independent | Richard Gillmor | 12,607 | 3.6 | ||
Total votes | 348,909 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Grayson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats.[45] It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively.[46][47][48] The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Todd Long | 12,585 | 47.3 | |
Republican | John "Q" Quinones | 7,514 | 28.3 | |
Republican | Julius Anthony Melendez | 3,983 | 15.0 | |
Republican | Mark Oxner | 2,510 | 9.4 | |
Total votes | 26,592 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Todd Long (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson)[54] | October 11–12, 2012 | 487 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Kitchens (D-Grayson)[55] | September 18–21, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 19% |
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 629 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Safe D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Safe D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Grayson | 164,891 | 62.5 | ||
Republican | Todd Long | 98,856 | 37.5 | ||
Total votes | 263,747 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Webster: 50–60% Demings: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election.[45] The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Webster (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[59] | October 11–14, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 498 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[60] | September 22–25, 2012 | 402 | ± % | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 164,649 | 51.7 | ||
Democratic | Val Demings | 153,574 | 48.3 | ||
Independent | Naipaul Seegolam (write-in) | 46 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 318,269 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Nugent: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.[61] The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rich Nugent (incumbent) | 218,360 | 64.5 | ||
Democratic | H. David Werder | 120,303 | 35.5 | ||
Total votes | 338,663 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Bilirakis : 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.[62] The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District.[63] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.[44]
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Jonathan Snow (D) |
Paul Elliott (I) |
John Russell (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 57% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 209,604 | 63.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Michael Snow | 108,770 | 32.9 | ||
Independent | John Russell | 6,878 | 2.1 | ||
Independent | Paul Siney Elliott | 4,915 | 1.5 | ||
Total votes | 330,167 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who had represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | C. W. Bill Young (incumbent) | 39,395 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Darren Ayres | 10,548 | 18.5 | |
Republican | Madeline Vance | 7,049 | 12.4 | |
Total votes | 56,992 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Safe R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Young (incumbent) | 189,605 | 57.6 | ||
Democratic | Jessica Ehrlich | 139,742 | 42.4 | ||
Total votes | 329,347 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Castor: 60–70% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.[44] Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Evelio "EJ" Otero | 12,084 | 60.3 | |
Republican | Eddie Adams | 7,953 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 20,037 | 100.0 |
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Castor (D) |
EJ Otero (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,459 | ± 5.0% | 59% | 32% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 197,121 | 70.2 | ||
Republican | EJ Otero | 83,480 | 29.8 | ||
Total votes | 280,601 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election.[73] The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
No other party put up a candidate.
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dennis Ross (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Republican hold |
In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.[74][75] The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.[76]
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Keith Fitzgerald (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 897 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[77] | July 18–19, 2012 | 586 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 36% | 19% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[78] | July 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan)[79] | March 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 36% | 6% |
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald)[80] | February 12–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Likely R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Likely R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 187,147 | 53.6 | ||
Democratic | Keith Fitzgerald | 161,929 | 46.4 | ||
Total votes | 349,076 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Rooney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans.[45][81] Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.[82] The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 37,881 | 73.2 | |
Republican | Joe Arnold | 13,871 | 26.8 | |
Total votes | 51,752 | 100.0 |
26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party.
As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.[81][84][85]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 165,488 | 58.6 | ||
Democratic | William Bronson | 116,766 | 41.4 | ||
Socialist Workers | Tom Baumann (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 282,266 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Murphy: 50–60% West: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, ran for re-election in the new 18th district.[86] The new 18th district voting age population is 74.7% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allen B. West (incumbent) | 45,790 | 74.4 | |
Republican | Robert L. Crowder | 15,758 | 25.6 | |
Total votes | 61,548 | 100.0 |
Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district,[88] but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.[89]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 26,791 | 79.7 | |
Democratic | Jim Horn | 3,843 | 11.4 | |
Democratic | Jerry Lee Buechler | 2,984 | 8.9 | |
Total votes | 33,618 | 100.0 |
Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in.[90] Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South Florida Tea Party and registered to vote with no party affiliation, decided not to run.[91]
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen West (R) |
Patrick Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[93] | October 25–26, 2012 | 631 | ± ?% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[94] | October 16–17, 2012 | 333 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Sunshine State News/VSS[95] | October 16–17, 2012 | 752 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[96] | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 53% | 41% | 7% |
Kimball Political Consulting (R)[97] | September 28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC)[98] | September 26–27, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-West)[99] | September 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 535 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 43% | 9% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC)[100] | August 21–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy)[101] | May 6–8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 166,257 | 50.3 | ||
Republican | Allen West (incumbent) | 164,353 | 49.7 | ||
Independent | Marilyn Davis Holloman (write-in) | 55 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 330,665 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
In redistricting, the 14th district was renumbered as the 19th district.[45] Connie Mack IV, who had represented the 14th district since 2005, will run for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election.[102] The new 19th district voting age population is 77.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 22,304 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Chauncey Porter Goss | 16,005 | 21.5 | |
Republican | Paige Kreegel | 13,167 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Gary Aubuchon | 11,498 | 15.5 | |
Republican | Byron Donalds | 10,389 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Joe Davidow | 1,028 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 74,391 | 100.0 |
Brandon Smith was on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.
Organizations
Labor unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 189,833 | 62.0 | ||
Democratic | Jim Roach | 109,746 | 35.8 | ||
Independent | Brandon M. Smith | 6,637 | 2.2 | ||
Total votes | 306,216 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 23rd District was renumbered as the 20th District. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population is 49.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 214,727 | 87.9 | ||
Independent | Randall Terry | 29,553 | 12.1 | ||
Independent | Anthony M. Dutrow (write-in) | 5 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 244,285 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
In redistricting, most of the old 19th District became the 21st District. Ted Deutch, who had represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election[115] The new 21st district voting age population is 66.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.[116]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 221,263 | 77.8 | ||
Independent | W. Michael (Mike) Trout | 37,776 | 13.3 | ||
Independent | Cesar Henao | 25,361 | 8.9 | ||
Total votes | 284,400 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Frankel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Republican Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, sought re-election in the new 18th district.[86] The new 22nd district voting age population is 69.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 18,483 | 61.4 | |
Democratic | Kristin Jacobs | 11,644 | 38.6 | |
Total votes | 30,127 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Hasner (R) |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel)[121] | October 18–21, 2012 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[122] | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Sunshine State News/VSS[123] | October 14–16, 2012 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
DCCC (D)[124] | October 10, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 13% |
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
StPetePolls[30] | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,054 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Likely D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 171,021 | 54.6 | ||
Republican | Adam Hasner | 142,050 | 45.4 | ||
Total votes | 313,071 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
In redistricting, the 20th District was renumbered as the 23rd District. DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz who had represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population is 48.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Karen Harrington | 8,043 | 47.8 | |
Republican | Joe Kaufman | 3,383 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Ozzie deFaria | 2,356 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Juan Eliel Garcia | 1,674 | 9.9 | |
Republican | Gineen Bresso | 1,380 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 16,836 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 174,205 | 63.2 | ||
Republican | Karen Harrington | 98,096 | 35.6 | ||
Independent | Ilya Katz | 3,129 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 275,430 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
In redistricting, most of the old 17th District was renumbered as the 24th District. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. The new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 42,807 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Rudolph Moise | 21,680 | 33.6 | |
Total votes | 64,487 | 100.0 |
Wilson was unopposed in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Diaz-Balart: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 21st district was renumbered as the 25th district. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart, who had represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election.[45] The new 25th district voting age population is 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 21.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) | 151,466 | 75.6 | ||
Independent | Stanley Blumenthal | 31,664 | 15.8 | ||
Independent | VoteForEddie.com[129] | 17,099 | 8.5 | ||
Total votes | 200,229 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() County results Garcia: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the old 25th District was renumbered as the 26th district. Republican David Rivera, who had represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection.[45] The new 26th district voting age population is 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 20.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 13,927 | 53.4 | |
Democratic | Gloria Romero Roses | 8,027 | 30.8 | |
Democratic | Lamar Sternad | 2,856 | 10.9 | |
Democratic | Gustavo Marin | 1,286 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 26,096 | 100.0 |
Due to redistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restricting gerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Rivera (R) |
Joe Garcia (D) |
Angel Fernandez (I) |
José Peixoto (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson (D-DCCC)[133] | October 9–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 35% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
StPetePolls[19] | October 3–5, 2012 | 473 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
NORS (R-Rivera)[134] | September 13–19, 2012 | 422 | ± ?% | 44% | 38% | — | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[135] | September 12–13, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 46% | — | — | 16% |
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU)[136] | September 8–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | — | — | 9% |
Benenson (D-Garcia)[137] | August 20–22, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | — | — | 11% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[22] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[23] | Lean D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[26] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[27] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 135,694 | 53.6 | ||
Republican | David Rivera (incumbent) | 108,820 | 43.0 | ||
Independent | Angel Fernandez | 5,726 | 2.3 | ||
Independent | José Peixoto | 2,717 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 252,957 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
In redistricting, the old 18th District was renumbered as the 27th District. Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the 18th since 1989, will run for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population is 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 17.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent) | 138,488 | 60.2 | ||
Democratic | Manny Yevancey | 85,020 | 36.9 | ||
Independent | Thomas Joe Cruz-Wiggins | 6,663 | 2.9 | ||
Total votes | 230,171 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |