2008 Washington gubernatorial election

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2008 Washington gubernatorial election

The 2008 gubernatorial election in Washington was held on November 4, 2008. Republican Dino Rossi and incumbent Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire emerged from the August 19 primary. This made the 2008 election a rematch between the candidates from the 2004 election, the closest gubernatorial election in the state's history. In contrast to the recounts and months of legal challenges in their previous contest, Gregoire was the clear winner on November 5 with about 53% of the vote. With a margin of 6.48%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2008 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in North Carolina.

Quick Facts Nominee, Party ...
2008 Washington gubernatorial election

 2004 November 4, 2008 2012 
 
Nominee Christine Gregoire Dino Rossi
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,598,738 1,404,124
Percentage 53.24% 46.76%

Gregoire:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Rossi:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No votes

Governor before election

Christine Gregoire
Democratic

Elected Governor

Christine Gregoire
Democratic

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Timeline

More information Date, Year ...
Date Year Event Reference Notes
June 6 2008 Filing deadline [1]
August 19 2008 State primary [2] Same date as general primaries for other offices
November 4 2008 General election [2] Same date as presidential election and other offices
November 26 2008 General election [2] Last day for counties to deliver results to the state
December 4 2008 General election [2] Results certified
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[3]

Primary election

Summarize
Perspective
More information Candidate, Stated party preference ...
Candidates for office
Candidate Stated party preference Website Notes
Christine GregoirePrefers Democratic PartyIncumbent governor
Dino RossiPrefers G.O.P. PartyEx-state senator, 2004 gubernatorial nominee
Will BakerPrefers Reform PartyOut; lost primary
Duff BadgleyPrefers Green PartyOut; lost primary
John W. Aiken Jr.Prefers Republican PartyOut; lost primary
Christian Pierre JoubertPrefers Democratic PartyOut; lost primary
Chris TudorStates No Party PreferenceOut; lost primary
Javier O. LopezPrefers Republican PartyOut; lost primary
Mohammad Hasan SaidStates No Party PreferenceOut; lost primary
James WhitePrefers Independent PartyOut; lost primary
Source: [4]
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The Washington primary election was held August 19, 2008. For the first time, Washington ran a top-two primary, eliminating the "pick a party" primary used since 2004. Unlike traditional primaries, wherein each party with more than one candidate is reduced to a single person to appear on the general election ballot, the system simply reduces the entire crop of candidates from all parties down to the top two candidates, resulting in no more than two candidates appearing on the general election ballot for a given position. As a result, candidates from all parties were essentially running against each other. To allow for ideological identification, each candidate in a partisan race was allowed to indicate an arbitrary party preference.[5]

Controversy over Rossi's party preference

Under the changes to election law made by the passage of Initiative 872, partisan contests are no longer tied to registered parties, but candidates are allowed to indicate an arbitrary "party preference" to appear next to their name on the primary and general election ballots.[6] An extreme example of this occurred in the 40th District race for state senator, where candidate Timothy Stoddard indicated a preference for the "Salmon Yoga" party.[7]

Republican candidate Dino Rossi listed his party preference as "G.O.P." instead of the traditional party name "Republican". Critics of Rossi contended that the choice of party name was an attempt to distance himself from any negative opinions associated with the Republican Party.[8] Rossi's campaign argued that the difference was insignificant, saying voters are already aware that the terms refer to the same party.[9] However, an Elway Research poll taken in August 2008 found that over 25% of registered voters were not aware that the term "GOP" meant the Republican Party.[10]

On September 23, the Washington State Democrats, alleging that the latter is a misrepresentation of his true party affiliation, filed a lawsuit against the Secretary of State to force the state to list Rossi to on the general election ballot as a Republican instead of with the "GOP Party" label.[11] A King County Superior Court judge dismissed the suit, saying nothing in state law made the choice of party name illegal, but he acknowledged the potential confusion. Had the lawsuit succeeded, many counties would have had to reprint their ballots, and the already-cast absentee votes of military personnel may have become invalid.[12]

Results

Thumb
Results by county:
  Gregoire
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rossi
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%

While the primary was officially held on August 19, 2008, some counties such as King County allowed absentee ballots to be postmarked by that date in order to be valid. As a result, the primary vote tally was not officially certified until September 9, to allow time for mailed-in ballots to arrive and be counted by the counties. As an increasing number of counties allowed, encouraged, or mandated mail-in ballots for voters within the county, the number of such ballots was significant.[13]

More information Party, Candidate ...
Nonpartisan blanket primary results[a][14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christine Gregoire 696,306 48.27%
Republican Dino Rossi 668,571 46.35%
Republican John W. Aiken Jr. 21,564 1.49%
Democratic Christian Pierre Joubert 16,646 1.15%
Independent James White 10,884 0.75%
Green Duff Badgley 9,702 0.67%
Independent Christopher A. Tudor 5,600 0.39%
Reform Will Baker 5,201 0.36%
Republican Javier O. Lopez 4,981 0.35%
Independent Mohammad Hasan Said 3,002 0.21%
Total votes 1,442,457 100.00%
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General election

Summarize
Perspective

Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi were declared the winners of the primary and placed on the ballot for the November 4 election, which coincided with the national election. However, with all Washington counties either exclusively or (in the case of Pierce and King counties) predominantly voting via mail-in ballot,[15] many votes were cast prior to that date. King County, the largest county in the state, and the one which carried Gregoire to victory in 2004, sent out overseas absentee ballots on October 5, and resident mail-in ballots on October 17.[16]

In Washington state, mail-in ballots only needed to be postmarked, not received, by November 4, meaning that valid ballots continued to be received and counted after that date.[17] For the 2008 election, counties had until November 26 to send results to the state, and the Secretary of State had until December 4 to certify all state results.[2]

Predictions

More information Source, Ranking ...
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Tossup October 16, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[19] Tossup November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Lean D November 3, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21] Tossup November 4, 2008
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Polling

Aggregate polls

More information Source of poll aggregation, Dates administered ...
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Christine
Gregoire (D)
Dino
Rossi (R)
Other/Undecided
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[22] October 22 – November 2, 2008 November 2, 2008 50.7% 47.3% 2.0% Gregoire +3.4%
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More information Poll source, Date(s) administered ...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Christine
Gregoire (D)
Dino
Rossi (R)
Undecided
Survey USA[23] October 30-November 2, 2008 52% 46% 2%
Survey USA[24] October 26–27, 2008 50% 48% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[25] October 22, 2008 50% 48% 2%
Survey USA[26] October 12–13, 2008 48% 47% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[25] October 2, 2008 48% 48% 4%
Survey USA[27] September 21–22, 2008 50% 48% 2%
Strategic Vision[28] September 14–16, 2008 800 ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 10, 2008 46% 52% 2%
Survey USA[29] September 5–7, 2008 47% 48% 5%
SurveyUSA[30] August 11–12, 2008 718 ± 3.7% 50% 48% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[31] August 6, 2008 47% 43% 10%
Strategic Vision[32] July 25–27, 2008 800 ± 3.0% 47% 45% 8%
SurveyUSA[33] July 13–15, 2008 666 ± 3.9% 49% 46% 5%
Moore Information[34] July 9–10, 2008 400 ± 5.0% 45% 45% 11%
Rasmussen Reports[25] July 9, 2008 49% 43% 8%
Elway Poll[35] June 18–22, 2008 405 ± 5.0% 47% 39% 14%
Rasmussen Reports[36] June 9, 2008 50% 43% 7%
SurveyUSA[37] June 9, 2008 637 ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
Rasmussen Reports[38] May 12, 2008 52% 41% 7%
Elway Poll[39] April 21–22, 2008 405 ± 5.0% 43% 38% 19%
SurveyUSA[40] April 14–16, 2008 634 ± 4.0% 50% 46% 4%
SurveyUSA[41] April 7, 2008 607 ± 4.1% 48% 47% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[42] March 27, 2008 47% 46% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[43] February 28, 2008 46% 47% 7%
Washington Poll[44] February 7–18, 2008 300 ± 5.6% 54% 42% 4%
Elway Poll[45] January 3–6, 2008 405 48% 35% 17%
Washington Poll[46] October 22–29, 2007 601 ± 4.0% 47% 42% 11%
Strategic Vision[47] October 5–7, 2007 800 ± 3.0% 47% 45% 8%
Strategic Vision[48] March 24–26, 2006 800 ± 3.0% 38% 51% 11%
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Police Guild press conference incident

At an August 7 press conference held by the Seattle Police Officers Guild to declare its endorsement of Rossi, the Guild forcibly removed Kelly Akers, a Gregoire campaign staffer who was filming the event, from the premises. The Rossi campaign reiterated a standing policy to prevent opposing campaigns from filming Rossi's appearances, to deny them the ability to take "attack footage." Rossi's campaign staff includes a cameraman tasked with filming Gregoire appearances.[49]

Debates

Five debates were held[50] between Gregoire and Rossi, the candidates in the general election.

More information Date, Time ...
DateTimeLocationSponsors
2008-09-209:00 PMFisher Plaza (Seattle)Fisher Communications, League of Women Voters, Seattle Post-Intelligencer
2008-09-257:30 PMSemiahmoo Resort (Blaine)Association of Washington Business Complete video of debate - C-SPAN
2008-10-017:00 PMCapitol Theatre (Yakima)KCTS 9, Yakima Herald-Republic
2008-10-097:00 PM*[51]KSPS-TV Studios (Spokane)KSPS-TV, Spokane Spokesman-Review[52]
2008-10-158:00 PM[53]TBDKING-TV, Seattle Times, NPR
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*The Spokane debate was taped in the morning to be aired at the indicated time. All other debates were held and aired live.

The Gregoire campaign had sought a sixth debate in Tacoma, sponsored by the Tacoma News-Tribune. The Rossi campaign instead sought a sixth debate in Vancouver, Washington, sponsored by The Columbian. The local Camas-Washougal Rotary Club went so far as to reserve a venue for October 8. The campaigns could not agree on either event.[54][55][56][57]

The Gregoire campaign had set aside August 15 for a pre-primary radio debate with Rossi on Seattle NPR station KUOW-FM.[58] Rossi declined to appear, giving Gregoire solo airtime.[59]

Results

Gregoire declared victory after late evening returns were posted, with 42% of the statewide vote counted, showing her with a 52% lead over Rossi.[60] By 10:30 PM PST (1:30 AM EST) all five major television networks had called the race for Gregoire.[61] The Rossi campaign called the networks' declarations "premature" and did not concede defeat that evening. Rossi held out hope that late ballots would carry him, as late returns had reversed an early Gregoire lead in 2004. Rossi conceded the next morning.

Rossi conceded defeat in the gubernatorial election on November 5. In his concession speech, he indicated that he was not planning a return to politics.[62] Rossi's retirement from politics was short-lived: in 2010 he ran in (and lost) the race for United States Senate against Patty Murray.

More information Party, Candidate ...
2008 Washington gubernatorial election[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Christine Gregoire (incumbent) 1,598,738 53.24% +4.37%
Republican Dino Rossi 1,404,124 46.76% −2.11%
Majority 194,614 6.48%
Total votes 3,002,862 100.00%
Democratic hold Swing +6.48%
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By county

More information County, Christine Gregoire Democratic ...
County[64] Christine Gregoire
Democratic
Dino Rossi
Republican
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Adams 1,453 30.17% 3,363 69.83% -1,910 -39.66% 4,816
Asotin 4,254 43.92% 5,432 56.08% -1,178 -12.16% 9,686
Benton 21,968 30.26% 50,635 69.74% -28,667 -39.48% 72,603
Chelan 12,087 37.99% 19,730 62.01% -7,643 -24.02% 31,817
Clallam 18,987 49.42% 19,431 50.58% -444 -1.16% 38,418
Clark 87,683 48.99% 91,301 51.01% -3,618 -2.02% 178,984
Columbia 706 31.48% 1,537 68.52% -831 -37.05% 2,243
Cowlitz 20,723 46.38% 23,954 53.62% -3,231 -7.23% 44,677
Douglas 5,128 33.87% 10,013 66.13% -4,885 -32.26% 15,141
Ferry 1,330 38.33% 2,140 61.67% -810 -23.34% 3,470
Franklin 6,365 32.41% 13,276 67.59% -6,911 -35.19% 19,641
Garfield 434 32.01% 922 67.99% -488 -35.99% 1,356
Grant 8,732 31.94% 18,604 68.06% -9,872 -36.11% 27,336
Grays Harbor 15,729 53.98% 13,407 46.02% 2,322 7.97% 29,136
Island 20,891 50.24% 20,688 49.76% 203 0.49% 41,579
Jefferson 12,588 63.61% 7,200 36.39% 5,388 27.23% 19,788
King 583,357 64.16% 325,820 35.84% 257,537 28.33% 909,177
Kitsap 62,478 50.74% 60,656 49.26% 1,822 1.48% 123,134
Kittitas 6,988 39.44% 10,732 60.56% -3,744 -21.13% 17,720
Klickitat 4,538 45.42% 5,454 54.58% -916 -9.17% 9,992
Lewis 12,283 35.47% 22,347 64.53% -10,064 -29.06% 34,630
Lincoln 2,052 34.66% 3,868 65.34% -1,816 -30.68% 5,920
Mason 13,942 49.58% 14,181 50.42% -239 -0.85% 28,123
Okanogan 6,575 39.27% 10,168 60.73% -3,593 -21.46% 16,743
Pacific 5,695 52.28% 5,198 47.72% 497 4.56% 10,893
Pend Oreille 2,571 39.66% 3,912 60.34% -1,341 -20.68% 6,483
Pierce 166,562 51.10% 159,363 48.90% 7,199 2.21% 325,925
San Juan 7,044 67.73% 3,356 32.27% 3,688 35.46% 10,400
Skagit 27,915 50.33% 27,545 49.67% 370 0.67% 55,560
Skamania 2,564 47.68% 2,813 52.32% -249 -4.63% 5,377
Snohomish 167,175 52.67% 150,205 47.33% 16,970 5.35% 317,380
Spokane 104,369 48.11% 112,570 51.89% -8,201 -3.78% 216,939
Stevens 7,771 35.02% 14,418 64.98% -6,647 -29.96% 22,189
Thurston 72,652 57.88% 52,880 42.12% 19,772 15.75% 125,532
Wahkiakum 960 41.92% 1,330 58.08% -370 -16.16% 2,290
Walla Walla 9,405 38.32% 15,137 61.68% -5,732 -23.36% 24,542
Whatcom 54,249 54.67% 44,975 45.33% 9,274 9.35% 99,224
Whitman 8,363 48.46% 8,896 51.54% -533 -3.09% 17,259
Yakima 30,172 39.27% 46,667 60.73% -16,495 -21.47% 76,839
Totals1,598,73853.24%1,404,12446.76%194,6146.48%3,002,862
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Gregoire won 5 of 9 congressional districts, with the remaining 4 going to Rossi, including one that elected a Democrat.[65]

More information District, Gregoire ...
District Gregoire Rossi Representative
1st 56% 44% Jay Inslee
2nd 52% 48% Rick Larsen
3rd 49.6% 50.4% Brian Baird
4th 35% 65% Doc Hastings
5th 45% 55% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 54% 46% Norm Dicks
7th 79% 21% Jim McDermott
8th 49% 51% Dave Reichert
9th 54% 46% Adam Smith
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Notes

  1. All party affiliations are given as "Prefers x Party". Independents were listed as "States No Party Preference". Rossi's official preference was "Prefers G.O.P. Party".
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

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