Allan Lichtman
American political historian / From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Dear Wikiwand AI, let's keep it short by simply answering these key questions:
Can you list the top facts and stats about Allan Lichtman?
Summarize this article for a 10 year old
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ˈlɪktmən/; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian. He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C., since 1973.
Allan Lichtman | |
---|---|
![]() | |
Born | Allan Jay Lichtman (1947-04-04) April 4, 1947 (age 77) |
Alma mater | Brandeis University (BA) Harvard University (PhD) |
Political party | Democratic |
Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election.[1] Using this model, Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of most U.S. presidential elections since 1984, with the exception of 2000, where he predicted an Al Gore popular vote victory, and 2016, where he predicted a Donald Trump popular vote victory and then revised his model to note it picked the Electoral College winner.[2][3]He ran for the U.S. Senate seat from Maryland in 2006, finishing in sixth place in the Democratic primary. In 2017, Lichtman published The Case for Impeachment, laying out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump.[4][5][6]