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The 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Mississippi's six votes in the Electoral College were unaffected by reapportionment after the 2020 United States census.[1]
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Donald Trump ran on the Republican ballot for a third consecutive time. He easily handled Mississippi in the past two election cycles, winning the state by 17.8% in 2016 and again by 16.5% four years later. Before the election, most news organizations considered Mississippi a safe win for Trump.
Receiving 60.9% of the vote, Trump improved in Mississippi, a state in the core of the Deep South where the White and Black votes are extremely polarized. He flipped several counties that are majority or plurality Black, reflecting turnout from Black voters likely declining from 2020, while also shifting to Trump. Trump remained very strong with the White voters across the state.
The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Missouri, and Washington. 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[2]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 229,198 | 92.50% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,437 | 5.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 4,042 | 1.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,096 | 0.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 247,773 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside the Democrats Abroad, Georgia, Mississippi, and Washington primaries, and Northern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[4]
In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot.[5] Incumbent President Joe Biden won the primary, being the only candidate that met these requirements.[6][better source needed]
Results
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 87,922 | 98.7% | 35 | ||
| Write-in votes | 1,187 | 1.3% | |||
| Total: | 89,109 | 100.00% | 35 | 35 | |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[8] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[12] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[13] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[14] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[15] | Solid R | September 20, 2024 |
| RCP[16] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[17] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[18] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[19] | Safe R | November 1, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[20][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[20][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Mississippi is one of only three remaining states (along with Alabama and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.[22]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 747,744 | 60.89% | +3.29% | ||
| Democratic | 466,668 | 38.00% | −3.06% | ||
| Independent |
|
5,387 | 0.44% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 2,536 | 0.21% | −0.40% | ||
| Green | 1,873 | 0.15% | +0.04% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation | 1,075 | 0.09% | N/A | ||
| Constitution | 1,030 | 0.08% | N/A | ||
| American Solidarity |
|
1,007 | 0.08% | −0.01% | |
| Independent |
|
688 | 0.06% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,228,008 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 5,081 | 42.60% | 6,743 | 56.53% | 104 | 0.87% | -1,662 | -13.93% | 11,928 |
| Alcorn | 12,657 | 83.75% | 2,328 | 15.40% | 127 | 0.85% | 10,329 | 68.35% | 15,112 |
| Amite | 4,484 | 65.80% | 2,246 | 32.96% | 85 | 1.24% | 2,238 | 32.84% | 6,815 |
| Attala | 4,723 | 61.31% | 2,930 | 38.04% | 50 | 0.65% | 1,793 | 23.27% | 7,703 |
| Benton | 2,535 | 65.27% | 1,318 | 33.93% | 31 | 0.80% | 1,217 | 31.34% | 3,884 |
| Bolivar | 3,943 | 37.79% | 6,419 | 61.51% | 73 | 0.70% | -2,476 | -23.72% | 10,435 |
| Calhoun | 4,443 | 73.63% | 1,547 | 25.64% | 44 | 0.73% | 2,896 | 47.99% | 6,034 |
| Carroll | 3,730 | 71.81% | 1,431 | 27.55% | 33 | 0.64% | 2,299 | 44.26% | 5,194 |
| Chickasaw | 4,079 | 56.39% | 3,090 | 42.71% | 65 | 0.90% | 989 | 13.68% | 7,234 |
| Choctaw | 2,881 | 74.06% | 965 | 24.81% | 44 | 1.13% | 1,916 | 49.25% | 3,890 |
| Claiborne | 558 | 15.76% | 2,950 | 83.31% | 33 | 0.93% | -2,392 | -67.55% | 3,541 |
| Clarke | 5,093 | 67.27% | 2,430 | 32.10% | 48 | 0.63% | 2,663 | 35.17% | 7,571 |
| Clay | 4,017 | 44.35% | 4,960 | 54.76% | 80 | 0.89% | -943 | -10.41% | 9,057 |
| Coahoma | 2,008 | 29.57% | 4,711 | 69.38% | 71 | 1.05% | -2,703 | -39.81% | 6,790 |
| Copiah | 6,134 | 52.58% | 5,426 | 46.52% | 105 | 0.90% | 708 | 6.06% | 11,665 |
| Covington | 5,869 | 66.23% | 2,921 | 32.96% | 71 | 0.81% | 2,948 | 33.27% | 8,861 |
| DeSoto | 48,064 | 60.65% | 29,023 | 36.62% | 2,167 | 2.73% | 19,041 | 24.03% | 79,254 |
| Forrest | 16,579 | 58.24% | 11,475 | 40.31% | 412 | 1.45% | 5,104 | 17.93% | 28,466 |
| Franklin | 2,831 | 69.63% | 1,213 | 29.83% | 22 | 0.54% | 1,618 | 39.80% | 4,066 |
| George | 9,858 | 89.06% | 1,138 | 10.28% | 73 | 0.66% | 8,720 | 78.78% | 11,069 |
| Greene | 4,776 | 84.55% | 835 | 14.78% | 38 | 0.67% | 3,941 | 69.77% | 5,649 |
| Grenada | 5,651 | 57.86% | 4,060 | 41.57% | 55 | 0.57% | 1,591 | 16.29% | 9,766 |
| Hancock | 16,684 | 78.79% | 4,262 | 20.13% | 229 | 1.08% | 12,422 | 58.66% | 21,175 |
| Harrison | 48,497 | 63.88% | 26,555 | 34.98% | 871 | 1.14% | 21,942 | 28.90% | 75,923 |
| Hinds | 22,816 | 26.19% | 62,840 | 72.12% | 1,472 | 1.69% | -40,024 | -45.93% | 87,128 |
| Holmes | 1,243 | 18.47% | 5,420 | 80.53% | 67 | 1.00% | -4,177 | -62.06% | 6,730 |
| Humphreys | 990 | 28.55% | 2,443 | 70.44% | 35 | 1.01% | -1,453 | -41.89% | 3,468 |
| Issaquena | 296 | 47.59% | 287 | 46.14% | 39 | 6.27% | 9 | 1.45% | 622 |
| Itawamba | 9,523 | 89.66% | 1,027 | 9.67% | 71 | 0.67% | 8,496 | 79.99% | 10,621 |
| Jackson | 36,376 | 69.29% | 15,469 | 29.47% | 652 | 1.24% | 20,907 | 39.82% | 52,497 |
| Jasper | 4,118 | 52.19% | 3,722 | 47.17% | 50 | 0.64% | 396 | 5.02% | 7,890 |
| Jefferson | 541 | 16.40% | 2,727 | 82.66% | 31 | 0.94% | -2,186 | -66.26% | 3,299 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,302 | 42.80% | 3,041 | 56.55% | 35 | 0.65% | -739 | -13.75% | 5,378 |
| Jones | 20,265 | 73.01% | 7,272 | 26.20% | 218 | 0.79% | 12,993 | 46.81% | 27,755 |
| Kemper | 1,691 | 41.39% | 2,381 | 58.27% | 14 | 0.34% | -690 | -16.88% | 4,086 |
| Lafayette | 14,050 | 60.02% | 8,956 | 38.26% | 403 | 1.72% | 5,094 | 21.76% | 23,409 |
| Lamar | 20,775 | 73.51% | 7,038 | 24.90% | 449 | 1.59% | 13,737 | 48.61% | 28,262 |
| Lauderdale | 16,487 | 60.16% | 10,677 | 38.96% | 243 | 0.88% | 5,810 | 21.20% | 27,407 |
| Lawrence | 4,113 | 67.95% | 1,899 | 31.37% | 41 | 0.68% | 2,214 | 36.58% | 6,053 |
| Leake | 5,143 | 61.37% | 3,182 | 37.97% | 55 | 0.66% | 1,961 | 23.40% | 8,380 |
| Lee | 24,339 | 68.87% | 10,616 | 30.04% | 383 | 1.09% | 13,723 | 38.83% | 35,338 |
| Leflore | 2,854 | 30.29% | 6,476 | 68.74% | 91 | 0.97% | -3,622 | -38.45% | 9,421 |
| Lincoln | 11,432 | 72.35% | 4,262 | 26.97% | 108 | 0.68% | 7,170 | 45.38% | 15,802 |
| Lowndes | 13,087 | 53.58% | 11,096 | 45.43% | 243 | 0.99% | 1,991 | 8.15% | 24,426 |
| Madison | 32,333 | 57.80% | 22,700 | 40.58% | 902 | 1.62% | 9,633 | 17.22% | 55,935 |
| Marion | 7,874 | 70.25% | 3,215 | 28.68% | 119 | 1.07% | 4,659 | 41.57% | 11,208 |
| Marshall | 7,977 | 53.24% | 6,888 | 45.97% | 118 | 0.79% | 1,089 | 7.27% | 14,983 |
| Monroe | 10,861 | 67.59% | 5,090 | 31.68% | 118 | 0.73% | 5,771 | 35.91% | 16,069 |
| Montgomery | 2,658 | 60.08% | 1,737 | 39.26% | 29 | 0.66% | 921 | 20.82% | 4,424 |
| Neshoba | 8,154 | 74.99% | 2,622 | 24.11% | 97 | 0.90% | 5,532 | 50.88% | 10,873 |
| Newton | 6,641 | 71.23% | 2,603 | 27.92% | 79 | 0.85% | 4,038 | 43.31% | 9,323 |
| Noxubee | 1,151 | 25.87% | 3,269 | 73.48% | 29 | 0.65% | -2,118 | -47.61% | 4,449 |
| Oktibbeha | 8,901 | 49.13% | 8,851 | 48.86% | 364 | 2.01% | 50 | 0.27% | 18,116 |
| Panola | 8,202 | 56.87% | 6,061 | 42.03% | 159 | 1.10% | 2,141 | 14.84% | 14,422 |
| Pearl River | 20,438 | 82.74% | 3,982 | 16.12% | 281 | 1.14% | 16,456 | 66.62% | 24,701 |
| Perry | 4,425 | 79.89% | 1,078 | 19.46% | 36 | 0.65% | 3,347 | 60.43% | 5,539 |
| Pike | 7,943 | 51.18% | 7,402 | 47.70% | 174 | 1.12% | 541 | 3.48% | 15,519 |
| Pontotoc | 11,740 | 83.45% | 2,214 | 15.74% | 114 | 0.81% | 9,526 | 67.71% | 14,068 |
| Prentiss | 8,581 | 82.66% | 1,727 | 16.64% | 73 | 0.70% | 6,854 | 66.02% | 10,381 |
| Quitman | 902 | 33.69% | 1,725 | 64.44% | 50 | 1.87% | -823 | -30.75% | 2,677 |
| Rankin | 50,896 | 72.83% | 18,060 | 25.84% | 931 | 1.33% | 32,836 | 46.99% | 69,887 |
| Scott | 6,098 | 61.65% | 3,729 | 37.70% | 64 | 0.65% | 2,369 | 23.95% | 9,891 |
| Sharkey | 551 | 31.20% | 1,201 | 68.01% | 14 | 0.79% | -650 | -36.81% | 1,766 |
| Simpson | 7,552 | 68.07% | 3,479 | 31.36% | 63 | 0.57% | 4,073 | 36.71% | 11,094 |
| Smith | 6,146 | 80.07% | 1,486 | 19.36% | 44 | 0.57% | 4,660 | 60.71% | 7,676 |
| Stone | 6,214 | 78.47% | 1,620 | 20.46% | 85 | 1.07% | 4,594 | 58.01% | 7,919 |
| Sunflower | 2,515 | 31.93% | 5,312 | 67.45% | 49 | 0.62% | -2,797 | -35.52% | 7,876 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,333 | 46.55% | 2,630 | 52.47% | 49 | 0.98% | -297 | -5.92% | 5,012 |
| Tate | 9,185 | 71.42% | 3,555 | 27.64% | 121 | 0.94% | 5,630 | 43.78% | 12,861 |
| Tippah | 7,984 | 83.24% | 1,547 | 16.13% | 60 | 0.63% | 6,437 | 67.11% | 9,591 |
| Tishomingo | 8,064 | 89.10% | 921 | 10.18% | 65 | 0.72% | 7,143 | 78.92% | 9,050 |
| Tunica | 799 | 29.95% | 1,837 | 68.85% | 32 | 1.20% | -1,038 | -38.90% | 2,668 |
| Union | 10,559 | 84.62% | 1,807 | 14.48% | 112 | 0.90% | 8,752 | 70.14% | 12,478 |
| Walthall | 4,114 | 63.01% | 2,355 | 36.07% | 60 | 0.92% | 1,759 | 26.94% | 6,529 |
| Warren | 9,407 | 51.41% | 8,683 | 47.45% | 208 | 1.14% | 724 | 3.96% | 18,298 |
| Washington | 4,649 | 31.97% | 9,735 | 66.95% | 156 | 1.08% | -5,086 | -34.98% | 14,540 |
| Wayne | 6,013 | 65.94% | 3,028 | 33.21% | 78 | 0.85% | 2,985 | 32.73% | 9,119 |
| Webster | 4,195 | 82.34% | 872 | 17.11% | 28 | 0.55% | 3,323 | 65.23% | 5,095 |
| Wilkinson | 1,075 | 36.68% | 1,817 | 61.99% | 39 | 1.33% | -742 | -25.31% | 2,931 |
| Winston | 4,922 | 58.71% | 3,392 | 40.46% | 70 | 0.83% | 1,530 | 18.25% | 8,384 |
| Yalobusha | 3,518 | 59.85% | 2,289 | 38.94% | 71 | 1.21% | 1,229 | 20.91% | 5,878 |
| Yazoo | 4,558 | 50.81% | 4,342 | 48.40% | 71 | 0.79% | 216 | 2.41% | 8,971 |
| Totals | 747,744 | 60.83% | 466,668 | 37.96% | 14,843 | 1.21% | 281,076 | 22.87% | 1,229,255 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Trump won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[24][user-generated source]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 67.85% | 30.82% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 39.29% | 59.68% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 63.68% | 34.49% | Michael Guest |
| 4th | 70.72% | 28.19% | Mike Ezell |
Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its large African-American minority, the state is located in the Deep South and therefore the Bible Belt. One of the most socially conservative states in the nation, it has not been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Southerner Jimmy Carter's narrow statewide victory in 1976, nor has it been competitive at this level since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in 1996.
Trump received 60.9% of the vote in Mississippi, winning the state by a 22.9% margin. This marked the first time since 1984 that a Republican surpassed the 60% threshold in the state. He flipped several majority-Black counties: Copiah, Pike, and Yazoo Counties, which had not supported a Republican in a presidential race since 2004; Jasper County, which had last done so in 2000; and Issaquena County, which last did so in 1984. Trump also flipped plurality-White Marshall County, last won by a Republican in 1972, and plurality-Black Warren County, which Trump last won in 2016. He also flipped Oktibbeha County, home to Mississippi State University, which had last voted for a Republican in 2004.
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