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The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Mainly owing to the progressive and culturally Northeastern Baltimore and Washington metropolitan areas (where the vast majority of Marylanders live) and despite areas like Western Maryland and the Eastern Shore being rural, conservative, and still culturally Southern, Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double digits since 1992. Joe Biden from neighboring Delaware won Maryland by 33 points in 2020, with 52% of the White vote, becoming the first Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to have a majority showing with said electoral demographic.[2] Maryland is expected to be a safe blue state in 2024.[3]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[4][5] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[6] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[7]
The Maryland Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024,[8] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 591,523 | 87.1% | 95 | 95 | |
Uncommitted | 66,168 | 9.8% | |||
Marianne Williamson | 12,935 | 1.9% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 8,188 | 1.2% | |||
Total: | 678,814 | 100.0% | 95 | 23 | 118 |
The Maryland Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024,[8] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 205,996 | 77.7% | 37 | 0 | 37 |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 56,506 | 21.3% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uncommitted | 2,607 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 265,109 | 100.0% | 37 | 0 | 37 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[11] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[14] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[15] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[16] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
538[17] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
RCP[18] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News[19] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote | September 8 – October 14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Braun Research[upper-alpha 1] | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 64% | 32% | 5%[lower-alpha 2] |
1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 62% | 32% | 6%[lower-alpha 3] | ||
Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 61% | 33% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 16–17, 2024 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 64% | 33% | 3% |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2024 | 890 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 65% | 33% | 2% |
63% | 32% | 5% | ||||
Morning Consult | August 30–September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 62% | 34% | 4% |
Gonzales Research | August 24–30, 2024 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 10% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland, Baltimore County | September 23–28, 2024 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 35% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 4] |
Braun Research[upper-alpha 1] | September 19–23, 2024 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 63% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 5%[lower-alpha 5] |
1,012 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 61% | 31% | – | 1% | 1% | 6%[lower-alpha 6] | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[20] | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
Emerson College[21] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[22][upper-alpha 3] | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Emerson College[23] | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Gonzales Research[24] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
Gonzales Research[25] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
Gonzales Research[26] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[21] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College[23] | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[24] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[24] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Gonzales Research[25] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[25] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Gonzales Research[26] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research[25] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||
Republican | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Green | |||||
Independent |
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Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
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