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The 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Kansas is a sparsely populated Great Plains state that has not voted Democratic for president since 1964 and is considered by nearly all major news organizations to be safely Republican at the presidential level. Although Democrats have seen some success in the state in recent years, such as defeating the 2022 Kansas abortion referendum and holding the governorship since 2019, Kansas voted for Donald Trump by double digits in 2016 and 2020 (although the margins have decreased somewhat from the overwhelming Republican margins previously).
The Kansas Republican Primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 72,115 | 75.52% | 39 | 39 | |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 15,339 | 16.06% | |||
None of the Names Shown | 4,982 | 5.22% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,543 | 2.66% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 508 | 0.53% | |||
Total: | 95,487 | 100.00% | 39 | 39 |
The Kansas Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 35,906 | 83.7% | 33 | 33 | |
None of the Names Shown | 4,433 | 10.3% | |||
Marianne Williamson | 1,494 | 3.5% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 566 | 1.3% | |||
Jason Palmer | 516 | 1.2% | |||
Total: | 42,915 | 100.0% | 33 | 6 | 39 |
The Kansas Green primary was held from January 22, 2024, to February 5, 2024. It was a held digitally under a ranked-choice voting system. Jill Stein won with 100% of the vote, being ranked first by all 7 voting party members. Stein automatically received Kansas' 4 delegates to the 2024 Green National Convention.[5]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegate count |
---|---|---|---|
Jill Stein | 7 | 100% | 4 |
Total: | 7 | 100% | 4 |
Source:[5] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[6] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[7] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Safe R | May 31, 2024 |
CNalysis[10] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[11] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[12] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
538[13] | Solid R | October 3, 2024 |
NBC News[14] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[15][upper-alpha 1] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Emerson College[16] | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Emerson College[17] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Emerson College[18] | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Echelon Insights[19][upper-alpha 2] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[15][upper-alpha 1] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[15][upper-alpha 1] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[19][upper-alpha 2] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | |||||
Democratic | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Independent |
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Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
Partisan clients
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