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The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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A New England state, Connecticut last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in George H.W. Bush's landslide victory in the 1988 election. It is a strongly blue state, voting for Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 20%.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2][3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump.[5]
The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary. [6]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 34,750 | 77.88% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 6,229 | 13.96% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uncommitted | 2,166 | 4.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 1,289 | 2.89% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 184 | 0.41% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 44,618 | 100.00% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 55,533 | 84.8% | 60 | 60 | |
Uncommitted | 7,619 | 11.6% | |||
Marianne Williamson | 1,490 | 2.3% | |||
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 577 | 0.9% | |||
Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 310 | 0.5% | |||
Total: | 65,529 | 100.0% | 60 | 14 | 79 |
The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024.[9]
Candidate | Round 1 | T. | Round 2 | T. | Round 3 | T. | Round 4 | T. | Round 5 | T. | Round 6 | T. | Round 7 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||||||||
Chase Oliver | 37 | 34.9% | +1 | 38 | 35.8% | 38 | 37.6% | +3 | 41 | 41.0% | +1 | 42 | 42.4% | +2 | 44 | 44.4% | +5 | 49 | 51.0% | ||||
Jacob Hornberger | 12 | 11.3% | 12 | 11.3% | +1 | 13 | 12.9% | +1 | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +4 | 20 | 20.2% | +4 | 24 | 25.0% | ||||
Michael Rectenwald | 14 | 14.6% | 14 | 13.2% | 14 | 13.9% | 14 | 14.0% | +2 | 16 | 16.2% | +2 | 18 | 18.2% | +5 | 23 | 24.0% | ||||||
Joshua Smith | 10 | 9.4% | +1 | 11 | 10.4% | 11 | 10.9% | 11 | 11.0% | +2 | 13 | 13.1% | +4 | 17 | 17.2% | –17 | Eliminated | ||||||
Mike ter Maat | 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.5% | 9 | 8.9% | +1 | 10 | 10.0% | +2 | 12 | 12.1% | –12 | Eliminated | |||||||||
Lars Mapstead | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | +2 | 10 | 10.0% | –10 | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Charles Ballay | 7 | 6.6% | +1 | 8 | 7.5% | 8 | 7.9% | –8 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||
None of the above | 6 | 5.7% | 6 | 5.7% | –6 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||||
Joseph Collins Jr. | 4 | 3.8% | –4 | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||||||
Active ballots | 106 | –5 | 101 | –1 | 100 | –1 | 99 | –3 | 96 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[11] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis[14] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN[15] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist[16] | Safe D | August 28, 2024 |
538[17] | Solid D | August 23, 2024 |
RCP[18] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News[19] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group[20][upper-alpha 1] | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 37% | 3% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
John Zogby Strategies[21][upper-alpha 2] | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Emerson College[22][upper-alpha 3] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College[23][upper-alpha 3] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[24] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Emerson College[25] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[21][upper-alpha 2] | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies[21][upper-alpha 2] | April 13–21, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 50% | 33% | 17% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||
Republican | |||||
Libertarian | |||||
Green | |||||
Independent |
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Write-in | |||||
Total votes |
Partisan clients
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