2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2023 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held on October 14, 2023 to elect the governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Governor John Bel Edwards was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office.^[1] This race was one of two Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2023 in a state that voted for Donald Trump in 2020.

2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election

← 2019 October 14, 2023 2027 →
Turnout	36.3%
Candidate Jeff Landry Shawn Wilson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 547,827 275,525 Percentage 51.56% 25.93%   Candidate Stephen Waguespack John Schroder Party Republican Republican Popular vote 62,287 56,654 Percentage 5.86% 5.33%
Parish results Congressional district results Precinct results Landry:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Wilson:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Waguespack:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      >90% Schroder:      30–40%      60–70%      >90% Lundy:      30–40%      40–50% Cole:      30–40%      60–70%      >90% Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No votes
Governor before election John Bel Edwards Democratic Elected Governor Jeff Landry Republican

Under Louisiana's two-round system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate regardless of that person's party affiliation. If no candidate had received an absolute majority of the vote during the primary election on October 14, 2023, a runoff election would have been held on November 18, 2023, between the top two candidates in the primary.^[2]

State Attorney General Jeff Landry won with over 51% of the vote in the primary. This was the first time a candidate won a Louisiana gubernatorial election without a runoff since fellow Republican Bobby Jindal was re-elected in 2011. Landry easily prevailed over several Republican opponents, including former state chamber of commerce CEO Stephen Waguespack and State Treasurer John Schroder. Former state Transportation Secretary Shawn Wilson was the leading Democratic candidate.^[3] All the Republican candidates collectively won 65.52% of the vote, including a candidate who got 0.34% of the vote as he dropped out of the race but remained on the ballot. All the Democrats collectively won 28.53% of the vote, and all the Independents collectively won 5.95% of the vote. This was the only governorship to flip parties in the 2023 elections.

Background

Louisiana, like much of the Deep South, is a socially conservative "Bible Belt" state. Democrats were the favored party at all levels of government as recently as the 1990s; however, the Republican Party has since rapidly gained ground, first at the federal level and gradually at the state and local level as well. Today, the state is strongly Republican-leaning and, at the time of the election, Republicans held both of the state's U.S. Senate seats, all but one of its U.S. House seats, majorities in both of its state legislative chambers, and every statewide executive office except the governorship.

John Bel Edwards, a moderate Democrat, was able to win two terms as governor and overcome the state's partisan lean by diverging from the national party on certain policy matters, such as abortion, while also appealing to Louisiana's contemporary Democratic voting base.^[4][5] However, as Edwards was term-limited going into the election, most analysts expected the governorship to flip back to the Republican Party in 2023, primarily due to the lack of Democratic candidates with Edwards' crossover appeal.^[6]

Democratic candidates

Declared

• Danny Cole, Pentecostal pastor^[7]
• Shawn Wilson, former Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development^[8]

Declined

• Katie Bernhardt, chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party^[9] (endorsed Wilson)^[10]
• Sharon Weston Broome, Mayor of Baton Rouge^[11] (endorsed Wilson)^[12]
• Gary Chambers, community organizer, runner-up for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district in 2021^[13] (endorsed Wilson)^[14]
• Hillar Moore, East Baton Rouge Parish District Attorney^[15]
• Cedric Richmond, former Director of the Office of Public Engagement, former Senior Advisor to the President, and former U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 2nd congressional district^[16][17]
• Jason Williams, Orleans Parish District Attorney^[18][19]

Republican candidates

Declared

• Patrick "Dat" Barthel, engineer and Democratic candidate for governor in 2003^[20]
• Xavier Ellis, teacher^[20]
• Sharon Hewitt, Majority Leader of the Louisiana Senate from the 1st district^[21]
• Xan John, businessman and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022^[22]
• Jeff Landry, Louisiana Attorney General^[23]
• John Schroder, Louisiana State Treasurer^[24]
• Stephen Waguespack, former president and CEO of the Louisiana Association of Business and Industry and former chief of staff to then-governor Bobby Jindal^[25]

Withdrawn

• Richard Nelson, state representative from the 89th district (endorsed Landry)^[26][27]

Declined

• Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator^[28]
• Garret Graves, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 6th congressional district^[29][30] (endorsed Waguespack)^[31]
• John Kennedy, U.S. Senator^[32][33]
• Billy Nungesser, Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana (ran for re-election)^[34]
• Clay Schexnayder, Speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives^[35] (ran for Secretary of State)^[36]
• Mike Strain, commissioner of the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry^[37] (ran for re-election)^[38]
• Rick Ward III, former state senator from the 17th district^[39][40]

Independent candidates

Declared

• Benjamin Barnes^[20]
• Keitron Gagnon^[20]
• Jeffery Istre, oilfield worker and U.S. Army veteran^[41]
• Hunter Lundy, attorney and Democratic candidate for Louisiana's 7th congressional district in 1996^[42]
• Frank Scurlock, retired businessman and Democratic candidate for mayor of New Orleans in 2017^[20]

Jungle primary

Campaign

The Louisiana Republican Party endorsed Attorney General Jeff Landry's campaign on November 7, 2022, a year before the election. The party had had a full-body meeting scheduled for October 29, but it was canceled, and instead the endorsement was voted on in an exclusive meeting held over Zoom.^[43] Landry and Eddie Rispone, a member of the Republican State Central Committee who supported him, had pushed the party to make an early endorsement, arguing that the Republicans' best chance of flipping the governorship was to unite around one candidate well in advance of the election. This move was heavily criticized by other Republicans who had expressed interest in running for governor. Lieutenant Governor Billy Nungesser said the party's endorsement process "looks more like communist China than the Louisiana we know and love," State Treasurer John Schroder claimed it was driven by "money and inside party politics," and Louisiana Senate Majority Leader Sharon Hewitt proclaimed "the citizens of Louisiana do not need backroom deals and political insiders telling them who should be our next governor." Michael DiResto, a member of the Republican State Central Committee, believed "the idea that a small cabal would preempt the democratic process literally under the cover of darkness and in a smoke-filled Zoom goes against the foundational values of our party."^[44][45] In response, Louisiana Republican Party chair Louis Gurvich said "others who are crying over this endorsement are just upset because they didn't have the support within our party to win the endorsement for themselves."^[46]

Endorsements

Jeff Landry (R)

Federal officials

• Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)^[47]

U.S. senators

• Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2015–present)^[48]

U.S. representatives

• Ralph Abraham, LA-5 (2015–2021) and candidate for governor in 2019^[45]
• Clay Higgins, LA-3 (2017–present)^[49]
• Mike Johnson, LA-4 (2017–present)^[50]
• Steve Scalise, House Majority Leader (2023–present) from LA-1 (2008–present)^[51]

State legislators

• Richard Nelson, state representative from the 89th district (2020–present)^[52]

Individuals

• Joseph C. Canizaro, commercial real estate developer^[53]
• Eddie Rispone, member of the Louisiana Republican State Central Committee and runner-up for governor in 2019^[44]
• Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former president Donald Trump^[54]

Organizations

• Club for Growth^[55]
• Gun Owners of America^[56]
• Louisiana Sheriffs' Association^[53]
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund^[57]
• Oil & Gas Workers Association^[53]

Political parties

• Louisiana Republican Party^[44]

Shawn Wilson (D)

Federal officials

• Cedric Richmond, Director of the Office of Public Engagement (2021–2022)^[53]

U.S. senators

• Mary Landrieu, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (1997–2015)^[53]

U.S. representatives

• Troy Carter, LA-2 (2021–present)^[14]
• Cleo Fields, LA-4 (1993–1997), candidate for governor in 1995, state senator from the 14th district (2020–present)^[58]

Statewide officials

• John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana (2016–present)^[59]
• Davante Lewis, Louisiana Public Service Commissioner from the 3rd district (2022–present)^[12]

State legislators

• Gerald Boudreaux, state senator from the 24th district (2016–present)^[58]
• Jay Luneau, state senator from the 29th district (2016–present)^[60]
• Vincent Pierre, state representative from the 44th district (2012–present)

Local officials

• Sharon Weston Broome, Mayor-President of Baton Rouge (2017–present)^[12]
• Helena Moreno, vice president of the New Orleans City Council (2023–present) from the at-large district (2018–present)^[61]

Organizations

• Louisiana AFL-CIO^[53]
• Moms Demand Action^[53]
• New Orleans Independent Women's Organization^[53]

Individuals

• Katie Bernhardt, chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party (2020–present)^[10]
• Gary Chambers, community organizer^[14]

Political parties

• Louisiana Democratic Party^[10]

Newspapers and other media

• Gambit^[62]

Stephen Waguespack (R)

U.S. representatives

• Garret Graves, LA-6 (2015–present)^[31]

Newspapers and other media

• The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate^[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[64]	Lean R (flip)	July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[65]	Likely R (flip)	September 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66]	Likely R (flip)	July 13, 2023
Elections Daily[67]	Safe R (flip)	July 12, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Hewitt (R)	Istre (I)	Landry (R)	Lundy (I)	Nelson (R)	Schroder (R)	Waguespack (R)	Wilson (D)	Other	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	2%	0%	40%	4%	1%	3%	9%	24%	2%[b]	15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[B]	September 11–15, 2023	1,062 (LV)	± 2.9%	4.1%	–	37.7%	6.3%	1.2%	6.5%	6.7%	22.6%	–	14.9%
Faucheux Strategies[C]	August 14–19, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.46%	3%	–	36%	7%	2%	4%	6%	26%	2%	14%
Emerson College	August 13–14, 2023	982 (LV)	± 3.1%	5%	–	40%	–	–	–	5%	22%	10[c]	18%
BDPC[D]	July 6–10, 2023	600 (V)	± 4.0%	4%	–	30%	5%	1%	6%	5%	28%	–	23%
Kaplan Strategies	June 30 – July 2, 2023	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	5%	–	30%	5%	2%	6%	6%	22%	–	24%
Remington Research (R)[E]	June 22–25, 2023	896 (LV)	?	3%	–	25%	4%	0%	7%	16%	27%	–	18%
WPA Intelligence (R)[F]	June 15–17, 2023	500 (LV)	± 2.45%	2%	<1%	35%	4%	<1%	3%	6%	27%	2%	18%
The Kitchens Group (D)[G]	June 12–15, 2023	1,600 (LV)	± 2.45%	≥6%	–	31%	4%	–	≥6%	≥6%	21%	7%[d]	25%
WPA Intelligence (R)[F]	April 30 – May 2, 2023	500 (LV)	± 2.45%	2%	1%	32%	2%	1%	6%	2%	18%	4%	32%
WPA Intelligence (R)[F]	April 11–13, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	3%	–	36%	3%	1%	6%	2%	18%	1%[e]	29%
WPA Intelligence (R)[H]	Before April 18, 2023	?	?	–	–	35%	–	–	–	–	25%	17%[f]	23%
JMC Analytics[I]	March 6–8, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	2%	–	28%	3%	–	3%	–	29%	–	22%
BDPC[J]	December 7–13, 2022	630 (LV)	± 4.0%	3%	–	22%	2%	–	2%	–	23%	23%[g]	24%
Torchlight Strategies[K]	December 6–9, 2022	861 (LV)	± 3.3%	–	–	14%	–	–	–	–	22%	42%[h]	20%
Torchlight Strategies[K]	November 9–12, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	<1%	–	13%	2%	–	1%	–	18%	40%[i]	26%
JMC Analytics (R)	March 21–23, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	2%	–	11%	–	–	1%	–	–	46%[j]	29%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jeff Landry (R)	Sharon Hewitt (R)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	23%	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jeff Landry (R)	Hunter Lundy (I)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	56%	30%	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jeff Landry (R)	John Schroder (R)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	23%	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jeff Landry (R)	Stephen Waguespack (R)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	52%	27%	21%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Jeff Landry (R)	Shawn Wilson (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[A]	September 12–15, 2023	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	52%	39%	9%
Faucheux Strategies[C]	August 14–19, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.46%	54%	36%	10%
BDPC[D]	July 6–10, 2023	600 (V)	± 4.0%	45%	40%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	John Kennedy (R)	Jeff Landry (R)	Undecided
Torchlight Strategies[K]	December 6–9, 2022	861 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	21%	27%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	John Kennedy (R)	Shawn Wilson (D)	Undecided
Torchlight Strategies[K]	December 6–9, 2022	861 (LV)	± 3.3%	58%	27%	14%
Torchlight Strategies[K]	November 9–12, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	58%	32%	12%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
JMC Analytics (R)	March 21–23, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	33%	50%	17%

Hypothetical polling

Jeff Landry vs. Sharon Hewitt

Jeff Landry vs. Hunter Lundy

Jeff Landry vs. John Schroder

Jeff Landry vs. Stephen Waguespack

Jeff Landry vs. Shawn Wilson

John Kennedy vs. Jeff Landry

John Kennedy vs. Shawn Wilson

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results

Turnout map by parish

  25–30%

  30–35%

  35–40%

  40–45%

  45–50%

  50–60%

2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election^[68]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Landry	547,827	51.56%
	Democratic	Shawn Wilson	275,525	25.93%
	Republican	Stephen Waguespack	62,287	5.86%
	Republican	John Schroder	56,654	5.33%
	Independent	Hunter Lundy	52,165	4.91%
	Democratic	Danny Cole	27,662	2.60%
	Republican	Sharon Hewitt	18,468	1.74%
	Independent	Benjamin Barnes	5,190	0.49%
	Republican	Dat Barthel	4,426	0.42%
	Republican	Richard Nelson (withdrawn)	3,605	0.34%
	Independent	Jeffery Istre	3,400	0.32%
	Republican	Xavier Ellis	1,734	0.16%
	Independent	Keitron Gagnon	1,260	0.12%
	Republican	Xan John	1,164	0.11%
	Independent	Frank Scurlock	1,131	0.11%
Total votes			1,062,498	100.00%
	Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

Landry won five of six congressional districts.^[69]

District	Wilson	Landry	Waguespack	Schroder	Representative
1st	16%	49%	8%	16%	Steve Scalise
2nd	60%	21%	4%	4%	Troy Carter
3rd	18%	64%	4%	1%	Clay Higgins
4th	23%	61%	3%	1%	Mike Johnson
5th	21%	60%	4%	4%	Julia Letlow
6th	23%	50%	12%	5%	Garret Graves

Aftermath

In his victory speech, Governor-elect Landry stated that the "election says that our state is united", adding, "it's a wake up call and it's a message that everyone should hear loud and clear, that we the people in this state are going to expect more out of our government from here on out".^[70]

See also

• 2023 Louisiana elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Oscar Dantzler & Patrick Henry Barthel with 1%; Benjamin Barnes, Daniel Cole, Xavier Ellis,Keitron Gagnon, Xan John & Frank Scurlock with 0%
3. No other candidate received more than 5%
4. "Someone else" with 7%
5. "Someone else" with 1%
6. No other candidate received more than 3%
7. Billy Nungesser (R) with 23%
8. John Kennedy (R) with 42%
9. John Kennedy (R) with 22%; Billy Nungesser (R) with 7%; Bill Cassidy (R) with 6%; Garret Graves (R) with 5%
10. John Kennedy (R) with 22%; Sharon Weston Broome (D) with 14%; Bill Cassidy (R) with 10%; Billy Nungesser (R) with 7%; Gary Smith Jr. (D) with 4%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Gray Television
2. Poll commissioned by LA Integrity PAC
3. Poll commissioned by WWL-TV, WBRZ-TV, KTBS-TV, KATC-TV, The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate, Urban League of Louisiana and Public Affairs Research Council
4. Poll sponsored by the conservative group Citizens for a New Louisiana
5. Poll sponsored by Reboot Louisiana, a super PAC supporting Waguespack
6. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth, which has endorsed Landry
7. Poll sponsored by Vantage Data House
8. Poll conducted for Lieutenant Governor Billy Nungesser
9. Poll conducted for Attorney General candidate John Belton
10. Poll conducted for Billy Nungesser
11. Poll conducted for John Kennedy

References

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13. Bridges, Tyler (January 24, 2023). "Jeff Landry leads in early governor's race poll". The Advocate. Retrieved February 27, 2023. Chambers said he has ruled out running if Shawn Wilson, the retiring state transportation secretary, enters the race
14. Bridges, Tyler (March 7, 2023). "Troy Carter endorses Shawn Wilson's campaign for governor. Here's why it matters". The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate. Archived from the original on March 9, 2023. Retrieved May 8, 2023.
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53. "From the NRA to labor unions, see who's endorsing each candidate for Louisiana governor". www.nola.com. October 6, 2023. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
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58. "Major endorsements line up for Shawn Wilson to become Louisiana's next governor". thedrumnewspaper. June 24, 2023.
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70. "Republican Jeff Landry wins the Louisiana governor's race, reclaims office for GOP", NPR, October 15, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Benjamin Barnes (I) for Governor
• Sharon Hewitt (R) for Governor
• Jeff Landry (R) for Governor
• Hunter Lundy (I) for Governor
• John Schroder (R) for Governor
• Stephen Waguespack (R) for Governor
• Shawn Wilson (D) for Governor