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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Nebraska's primary elections took place on May 10, 2022.
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 129,236 | 57.91% | 93,929 | 42.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 223,165 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 112,663 | 51.33% | 106,807 | 48.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 219,470 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 172,700 | 78.30% | 34,836 | 15.79% | 13,016 | 5.90% | 220,552 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 411,034 | 62.71% | 231,511 | 35.32% | 13,016 | 1.96% | 663,187 | 100.0% |
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County results Flood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Pansing Brooks: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Mike Flood, who was elected with 52.7% of the vote in a 2022 special election after the previous incumbent, Jeff Fortenberry, resigned March 31, 2022, after having been indicted and convicted on charges of lying to the FBI about campaign donations.[1]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Thireena Yuki Connely |
Mike Flood |
Jeff Fortenberry |
Curtis Huffman |
John Glen Weaver |
Undecided | |||||||
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Fortenberry resigns and withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Moore Information Group (R)[15][A] | February 23, 2022 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 25% | 36% | 1% | 1% | 36% | |||||||
– | 30% | 40% | – | – | 30% | |||||||||||
Moore Information Group (R)[15][A] | January 2022 | – (LV) | – | – | 33% | 35% | – | – | 33% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mike Flood | 61,265 | 73.9 | |
Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (withdrawn) | 9,807 | 11.8 | |
Republican | John Glen Weaver | 5,470 | 6.6 | |
Republican | Thireena Yuki Connely | 3,353 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Curtis Huffman | 3,062 | 3.7 | |
Total votes | 82,957 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Patty Pansing Brooks | 31,808 | 86.6 | |
Democratic | Jazari Kual | 4,944 | 13.4 | |
Total votes | 36,752 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | August 24, 2022 |
Politico[31] | Likely R | August 23, 2022 |
RCP[32] | Safe R | September 1, 2022 |
Fox News[33] | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[34] | Solid R | September 5, 2022 |
FiveThirtyEight[35] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
The Economist[36] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mike Flood (incumbent) | 129,236 | 57.91% | |
Democratic | Patty Pansing Brooks | 93,929 | 42.09% | |
Total votes | 223,165 | 100.00% | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Bacon: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, parts of Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020 on the same ballot that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden won the district with 52.2%.[1]
During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of Don Bacon.[38]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 53,824 | 77.2 | |
Republican | Steve Kuehl | 15,945 | 22.8 | |
Total votes | 69,769 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Tony Vargas | 31,930 | 68.6 | |
Democratic | Alisha Shelton | 14,585 | 31.4 | |
Total votes | 46,515 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[28] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | September 1, 2022 |
Roll Call[70] | Tossup | August 26, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean R | November 2, 2022 |
Politico[31] | Tossup | October 4, 2022 |
RCP[32] | Lean R | September 1, 2022 |
Fox News[33] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[34] | Likely R | September 5, 2022 |
FiveThirtyEight[71] | Likely R | September 6, 2022 |
The Economist[72] | Tossup | November 5, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Don Bacon (R) |
Tony Vargas (D) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[73] | May 10 – August 7, 2022 | August 11, 2022 | 48.3% | 41.9% | 9.8% | Bacon +6.4 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Bacon (R) |
Tony Vargas (D) |
Undecided |
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Impact Research (D)[74][B] | August 3–7, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
GBAO (D)[75][C] | June 27–30, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
RMG Research[76][D] | May 19–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 37% | 9% |
Change Research (D)[77][B] | May 6–10, 2022 | 564 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 42% | 16% |
Change Research (D)[78][B] | March 26–29, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 40% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[79][E] | October 18, 2022 | – | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Impact Research (D)[74][B] | August 3–7, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Change Research (D)[78][B] | March 26–29, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 112,663 | 51.33% | |
Democratic | Tony Vargas | 106,807 | 48.67% | |
Total votes | 219,470 | 100.00% | ||
Republican hold |
County | Don Bacon Republican | Tony Vargas Democratic | Total votes | ||
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% | # | % | # | ||
Douglas | 48.77% | 93,363 | 51.23% | 98,055 | 191,418 |
Sarpy | 65.37% | 12,189 | 34.63% | 6,457 | 18,646 |
Saunders | 75.60% | 7,111 | 24.40% | 2,295 | 9,406 |
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County results Smith: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.5% of the vote in 2020.[1]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 89,453 | 76.0 | |
Republican | Mike Calhoun | 28,243 | 24.0 | |
Total votes | 117,696 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | David Else | 8,701 | 52.2 | |
Democratic | Daniel Wik | 7,968 | 47.8 | |
Total votes | 16,669 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Legal Marijuana Now | Mark Elworth Jr. | 89 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 89 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | September 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | August 24, 2022 |
Politico[31] | Solid R | August 23, 2022 |
RCP[32] | Safe R | September 1, 2022 |
Fox News[84] | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[34] | Solid R | September 5, 2022 |
FiveThirtyEight[71] | Solid R | September 6, 2022 |
The Economist[72] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 172,700 | 78.30% | |
Democratic | David Else | 34,836 | 15.79% | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Mark Elworth Jr. | 13,016 | 5.90% | |
Total votes | 220,552 | 100.00% | ||
Republican hold |
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