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The 2018 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican nominee Lawrence Zupan.[1] The primaries were held on August 14.[2] This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.
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Turnout | 55.57% | ||||||||||||||||
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Sanders: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Zupan: 40–50% 50–60% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Two-term independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, a candidate for president in the 2016 primary election and one of only three independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist.[3][4]
Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Chairman of the Budget Committee. He was 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After failing to win the nomination, he announced that he would run for re-election for his Senate seat in 2018.[5]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bernie Sanders (incumbent) | 63,683 | 94.02% | |
Democratic | Folasade Adeluola | 3,766 | 5.56% | |
Write-in | 281 | 0.41% | ||
Total votes | 67,730 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | H. Brooke Paige | 9,805 | 37.47% | |
Republican | Lawrence Zupan | 9,383 | 35.86% | |
Republican | Jasdeep Pannu | 4,527 | 17.30% | |
Republican | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,057 | 4.04% | |
Write-in | 1,394 | 5.33% | ||
Total votes | 26,166 | 100.00% |
H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. House, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer, and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24, in order to allow the Vermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates.[21] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in 2nd place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee.[22]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
CNN[23] | Solid I | July 12, 2018 |
Fox News[24] | Likely* I | July 9, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[25] | Safe I | June 6, 2018 |
The Cook Political Report[26] | Solid I | October 11, 2017 |
Inside Elections[27] | Solid I | September 29, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe I | September 27, 2017 |
*Highest rating given
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders (I) |
Lawrence Zupan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing[29] | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 885 | ± 3.3% | 66% | 30% | – | 4% |
Braun Research[30] | October 5–14, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 60% | 19% | 7%[31] | 16% |
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)[32] | September 23–26, 2018 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 75% | 20% | – | – |
Sanders won re-election with 67.4% of the vote against eight other candidates.[33]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent | Bernie Sanders (incumbent) | 183,649 | 67.44% | −3.56% | |
Republican | Lawrence Zupan | 74,815 | 27.47% | +2.57% | |
Independent | Brad J. Peacock | 3,665 | 1.35% | N/A | |
Independent | Russell Beste | 2,763 | 1.02% | N/A | |
Independent | Edward S. Gilbert, Jr. | 2,244 | 0.82% | N/A | |
Independent | Folasade Adeluola | 1,979 | 0.73% | N/A | |
Liberty Union | Reid Kane | 1,171 | 0.43% | −0.43% | |
Independent | Jon Svitavsky | 1,130 | 0.42% | N/A | |
Independent | Bruce Busa | 914 | 0.34% | N/A | |
Write-in | 294 | 0.11% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 272,330 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Independent hold |
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