2016 United States presidential election in New York

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[1]

2016 United States presidential election in New York

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout	67.3% ( 8.1 pp)
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Alliance Parties Women's Equality Working Families Conservative Home state New York New York Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence Electoral vote 29 0 Popular vote 4,556,124 2,819,534 Percentage 59.38% 36.75%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results Clinton   30–40%   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Prior to the election, New York was considered to be a state that Clinton would win or a safe blue state. Despite Trump's association with the state, New York remained a Democratic stronghold with Clinton winning with 59.01% of the vote, while Trump received 36.52% of the vote, a 22.49% Democratic margin of victory. However, Trump won more counties, taking 45 counties statewide compared to Clinton's 17.^[2] Trump also flipped 19 counties that had voted for Barack Obama in 2012, tied with Minnesota for the third-most counties flipped in any state; only Iowa and Wisconsin had more. Clinton received a smaller vote share than outgoing President Barack Obama had in 2012, while Trump improved on Mitt Romney's performance despite losing the state by a large margin.

New York was the home state of both major party nominees, though Clinton was born and raised in Chicago. Trump was born and raised in New York City and has been long associated with the state. Clinton has been a resident of Chappaqua in suburban Westchester County since 1999 and represented the state in the U.S. Senate from 2001 to 2009. Trump became the second consecutive major-party presidential nominee to lose his home state by over 20 points, after Mitt Romney, who lost his home state of Massachusetts by a similar margin in 2012. Before Romney, the last nominee this happened to was Herbert Hoover in his home state of California during 1932. Trump also became the fourth winning presidential candidate to lose his state of residence, after James K. Polk, Woodrow Wilson, and Richard Nixon. Trump and Polk are the only ones to have lost their state of birth as well (also New York in Trump's case).

The election also marks the most recent cycle in which Trump would be on the presidential ballot as a legal resident of New York state; according to court filings, he registered Palm Beach, Florida, as his "primary residence" in 2019.^[3] Trump is also the first Republican presidential candidate to win the White House without carrying Dutchess County since Ulysses S. Grant in 1872. This is also the first time since 1988 in which New York did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Pennsylvania.

Primary elections

Hillary Clinton at her 2016 campaign kickoff on Roosevelt Island

On April 19, 2016, in the presidential primaries, New York voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated with either party didn't vote in the primary.^[4]

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 New York Democratic presidential primary

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:^[5]

• Hillary Clinton
• Bernie Sanders

Similarly to the general election, both candidates in the Democratic primary had a connection to New York, as New York was Clinton's adopted home state and the birthplace of Sanders (who was running from neighboring Vermont).

New York City results

2016 Democratic primary	Manhattan	The Bronx	Brooklyn	Queens	Staten Island	Total
Hillary Clinton	190,806	105,719	183,662	133,210	17,612	631,009
	64.42%	68.76%	59.07%	61.32%	52.40%	62.65%
Bernie Sanders	98,194	46,189	123,872	81,762	15,471	365,488
	33.67%	30.04%	39.84%	37.64%	46.03%	36.29%
Blank, Void	2,656	1,834	3,372	2,272	530	10,664
	1.91%	1.2%	1.09%	1.04%	1.57%	1.06%
TOTAL	291,656	153,742	310,906	217,244	33,613	1,007,161
TURNOUT	47.20%	31.31%	36.42%	32.15%	28.17%	36.52%

Republican primary

Main article: 2016 New York Republican presidential primary

Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^[5]

• Ted Cruz
• John Kasich
• Donald Trump

Republican primary results by county

County	Carson*	%	Cruz	%	Kasich	%	Trump	%	BVS	Total	Turnout	MV%
Albany	150	1.04%	2,390	16.58%	5,026	34.87%	6,793	41.13%	55	14,414	41.25%	12.26%
Allegany	156	2.93%	1,159	21.74%	1,175	22.05%	2,827	53.04%	13	5,330	43.63%	30.99%
Bronx	127	1.75%	1,164	16.00%	1,148	15.78%	4,730	65.00%	108	7,277	19.57%	49.00%
Broome	286	1.55%	3,953	21.45%	5,138	27.88%	8,923	48.42%	130	18,430	45.32%	20.54%
Cattaraugus	113	1.74%	1,298	19.97%	1,419	21.83%	3,636	55.93%	35	6,501	38.22%	31.10%
Cayuga	70	1.13%	1,136	18.38%	1,942	31.42%	3,024	48.92%	9	6,181	37.92%	17.51%
Chautauqua	177	1.85%	2,016	21.08%	2,294	23.99%	5,027	52.57%	49	9,563	38.35%	28.58%
Chemung		N/A	1,820	21.16%	2,372	27.58%	4,208	48.92%	201	8,601	42.99%	21.35%
Chenango	87	1.64%	1,133	21.31%	1,394	26.22%	2,659	50.02%	43	5,316	43.33%	23.80%
Clinton		N/A	739	15.77%	1,389	29.64%	2,487	53.06%	72	4,687	33.05%	23.43%
Columbia	63	1.32%	744	15.62%	1,271	26.68%	2,662	55.88%	24	4,764	40.46%	29.20%
Cortland		N/A	900	22.66%	1,276	32.13%	1,710	43.06%	85	3,971	41.05%	10.93%
Delaware	91	1.85%	846	17.19%	1,142	23.21%	2,831	57.53%	11	4,921	42.63%	34.32%
Dutchess	213	1.05%	2,840	13.94%	4,401	21.60%	12,872	63.18%	46	20,372	40.07%	41.58%
Erie		N/A	7,964	12.93%	13,136	21.33%	39,589	64.27%	907	61,596	42.04%	42.95%
Essex	68	1.71%	664	16.72%	1,274	32.07%	1,918	48.29%	48	3,972	36.82%	16.21%
Franklin	62	2.27%	433	15.83%	763	27.90%	1,460	53.38%	17	2,735	32.34%	25.48%
Fulton	72	1.17%	1,036	16.85%	1,552	25.24%	3,456	56.20%	34	6,150	39.59%	30.96%
Genesee		N/A	1,032	16.54%	1,282	20.54%	3,815	61.13%	112	6,241	40.16%	40.59%
Greene		N/A	705	16.39%	838	19.48%	2,689	62.52%	69	4,301	37.08%	43.04%
Hamilton		N/A	210	18.77%	326	29.13%	565	50.49%	18	1,119	44.89%	21.36%
Herkimer	107	1.47%	1,042	14.35%	1,877	25.85%	4,193	57.75%	42	7,261	41.32%	31.90%
Jefferson	121	1.28%	1,235	13.10%	2,860	30.34%	5,190	55.07%	19	9,425	41.69%	24.72%
Kings (Brooklyn)	255	1.01%	4,872	19.32%	4,024	15.96%	15,920	63.14%	144	25,215	25.12%	43.82%
Lewis	71	2.29%	476	15.36%	898	28.99%	1,643	53.03%	10	3,098	36.49%	24.05%
Livingston	116	1.62%	1,329	18.54%	1,724	24.05%	3,957	55.20%	43	7,169	43.60%	31.15%
Madison		N/A	1,358	19.87%	2,214	32.39%	3,108	45.47%	155	6,835	43.72%	13.08%
Monroe	685	1.24%	9,537	17.23%	16,870	30.47%	28,034	50.63%	239	55,365	43.98%	20.16%
Montgomery	42	1.12%	793	21.15%	865	23.07%	2,039	54.39%	10	3,749	39.85%	31.32%
Nassau		N/A	9,902	9.54%	22,722	21.90%	69,692	67.17%	1,437	103,753	32.35%	45.27%
New York (Manhattan)	254	0.93%	3,586	13.08%	12,181	44.43%	11,196	40.84%	198	27,415	32.30%	−3.59%
Niagara	245	1.40%	2,406	13.78%	3,321	19.02%	11,450	65.56%	43	17,465	41.26%	46.54%
Oneida	252	1.23%	3,335	16.33%	5,398	26.44%	11,332	55.50%	102	20,419	43.10%	29.06%
Onondaga	307	0.91%	6,075	17.97%	12,055	35.67%	15,155	44.84%	207	33,799	41.76%	9.17%
Ontario	180	1.60%	2,061	18.37%	3,380	30.13%	5,558	49.55%	39	11,218	43.02%	19.42%
Orange	217	0.89%	3,120	12.75%	4,372	17.87%	16,659	68.07%	104	24,472	35.94%	50.21%
Orleans	61	1.45%	720	16.65%	799	18.95%	2,643	62.69%	11	4,216	40.68%	43.74%
Oswego	188	1.57%	2,026	16.88%	3,285	27.37%	6,423	53.52%	80	12,002	38.57%	26.15%
Otsego	96	1.78%	1,035	19.20%	1,516	28.12%	2,719	50.43%	26	5,392	41.92%	22.31%
Putnam	61	0.70%	986	11.36%	1,587	18.28%	6,027	69.44%	19	8,680	40.96%	51.15%
Queens	342	1.08%	4,495	14.20%	5,601	17.69%	20,951	66.18%	268	31,657	27.36%	48.49%
Rensselaer	100	1.10%	1,576	17.27%	2,600	28.48%	4,758	52.13%	94	9,128	38.70%	23.64%
Richmond (Staten Island)	120	0.45%	2,096	7.90%	2,690	10.14%	21,521	81.09%	114	26,541	34.76%	70.95%
Rockland	104	0.70%	2,367	15.92%	3,158	21.24%	9,219	62.00%	21	14,869	34.71%	40.76%
St. Lawrence	124	1.74%	1,074	15.04%	2,036	28.52%	3,825	53.58%	80	7,139	36.07%	25.06%
Saratoga	240	0.97%	4,404	17.85%	8,272	33.52%	11,673	47.30%	88	24,677	41.91%	13.78%
Schenectady		N/A	2,010	20.93%	2,946	30.67%	4,496	46.81%	152	9,604	41.32%	16.14%
Schoharie		N/A	640	22.74%	638	22.66%	1,497	53.18%	40	2,815	39.99%	30.44%
Schuyler	42	2.21%	405	21.35%	461	24.30%	979	51.61%	10	1,897	40.85%	27.31%
Seneca	56	1.85%	521	17.21%	854	28.20%	1,585	52.34%	12	3,028	40.86%	24.14%
Steuben	262	2.24%	2,401	20.50%	2,755	23.52%	6,252	53.37%	44	11,714	42.09%	29.85%
Suffolk	735	0.73%	9,099	9.01%	18,694	18.52%	72,359	71.67%	77	100,964	34.15%	53.15%
Sullivan		N/A	534	13.19%	687	16.98%	2,742	67.75%	84	4,047	33.08%	50.78%
Tioga	126	2.09%	1,429	23.68%	1,546	25.62%	2,926	48.48%	8	6,035	44.66%	22.87%
Tompkins	105	2.11%	1,342	26.96%	1,691	33.98%	1,821	36.59%	18	4,977	42.82%	2.61%
Ulster	142	1.41%	1,332	13.19%	2,197	21.75%	6,388	63.24%	43	10,102	36.63%	41.49%
Warren	101	1.28%	1,206	15.28%	2,772	35.12%	3,761	47.64%	54	7,894	42.15%	12.53%
Washington	7	0.13%	1,048	19.15%	1,839	33.61%	2,458	44.92%	120	5,472	37.60%	11.31%
Wayne		N/A	1,627	19.99%	2,016	24.77%	4,472	54.94%	156	8,271	38.12%	30.17%
Westchester	376	0.83%	5,245	11.59%	13,599	30.06%	25,880	57.20%	147	45,247	35.31%	27.14%
Wyoming		N/A	749	17.40%	724	16.82%	2,752	63.94%	79	4,304	40.10%	46.54%
Yates	43	1.56%	425	15.44%	884	32.11%	1,388	50.42%	13	2,753	43.29%	18.31%
Total	8,018*	0.86%	136,083	14.53%	231,166	24.69%	554,522	59.22%	6,636	936,525	36.35%	34.53%

*Note: Blank, Void, and Scattering (BVS) votes include some votes for Former Candidate Ben Carson. Carson vote totals are unavailable in some county canvass returns. Only those available are posted. New York is a Closed primary state, meaning that the turnout is based on Active Republican Voters on April 1, 2016

Results by congressional district

CD	Carson	Cruz	Kasich	Trump	BVS	Total	TO%	MV%
1	0	4,972	9,307	38,802	426	53,507	34.94%	55.12%
2	0	3,820	8,273	35,902	461	48,456	32.07%	57.02%
3	17	4,315	11,271	31,642	339	47,584	32.42%	42.81%
4	0	5,936	12,701	36,530	910	56,077	33.58%	42.49%
5	80	1,215	1,361	5,234	113	8,003	24.69%	48.39%
6	123	1,947	2,388	8,817	0	13,275	27.29%	48.43%
7	73	771	1,073	2,117	0	4,034	20.43%	25.88%
8	81	773	836	5,217	0	6,907	25.48%	63.43%
9	67	1,412	1,034	3,499	0	6,012	23.64%	34.71%
10	98	2,720	4,507	5,716	0	13,041	31.29%	9.27%
11	155	2,669	3,462	25,617	114	32,017	32.78%	69.20%
12	129	2,103	7,836	7,712	0	17,780	33.80%	−0.70%
13	82	624	800	1,408	0	2,914	17.87%	20.86%
14	106	1,065	1,297	5,348	0	7,816	25.37%	51.83%
15	53	287	156	690	0	1,186	8.94%	33.98%
16	201	2,491	6,142	11,651	56	20,541	32.80%	26.82%
17	278	4,755	9,101	21,206	92	35,432	35.35%	34.16%
18	418	6,273	10,134	32,869	136	49,830	37.83%	45.63%
19	575	8,400	11,998	30,550	302	51,825	38.20%	35.80%
20	335	7,903	14,618	21,276	213	44,345	41.34%	15.01%
21	772	10,285	19,424	32,607	476	63,564	38.47%	20.74%
22	865	12,721	18,515	34,322	543	66,966	43.00%	23.60%
23	1,116	13,061	16,086	31,742	406	62,411	41.27%	25.09%
24	377	9,950	17,961	26,073	508	54,869	40.22%	14.78%
25	644	8,967	15,952	26,211	237	52,011	43.80%	19.72%
26	55	4,698	7,852	22,270	521	35,396	40.45%	40.73%
27	525	11,389	16,259	47,151	626	75,950	42.91%	40.67%
	7,225	135,522	230,344	552,179	6,479	931,749	36.50%	34.54%

New York City results

2016 Republican Primary	Manhattan	The Bronx	Brooklyn	Queens	Staten Island	Total
Donald Trump	11,196	4,730	15,920	20,951	21,521	74,318
	40.84%	65.00%	63.14%	66.18%	81.09%	62.93%
John Kasich	12,181	1,148	4,024	5,601	2,690	25,644
	44.43%	15.78%	15.96%	17.69%	10.14%	21.71%
Ted Cruz	3,586	1,164	4,872	4,495	2,096	16,213
	13.08%	16.00%	19.32%	14.20%	7.90%	13.73%
Ben Carson	254	127	255	342	120	1,098
	0.93%	1.75%	1.01%	1.08%	0.45%	0.93%
Blank, Void	198	108	144	268	114	832
	0.72%	1.48%	0.57%	0.85%	0.43%	0.70%
TOTAL	27,415	7,277	25,215	31,657	26,541	118,105
TURNOUT	32.30%	19.57%	25.12%	27.36%	34.76%	28.49%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times[6]	Safe D	November 6, 2016
CNN[7]	Safe D	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[8]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[9]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[12]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Fox News[13]	Safe D	November 7, 2016

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § New York

Polls projected New York to remain safely in the Democratic column for former Senator Hillary Clinton, despite it also being the home state of Donald Trump for his entire life. The last poll showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump 51% to 34%, and the average of the final 3 polls statewide showed Clinton leading Trump 52% to 31%, which was accurate compared to the results.^[14]

Debate

The first Presidential Debate took place at Hofstra University. Snap polls indicated that Clinton won.

Candidates

New York is a fusion state, which means that candidates are allowed to be on multiple lines. Those on the ballot were:

Democratic, Women's Equality and Working Families Parties

• Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine

Conservative and Republican parties

• Donald Trump / Mike Pence

Green party

• Jill Stein / Ajamu Baraka

Independence and Libertarian parties

• Gary Johnson / Bill Weld

Gary Johnson and Bill Weld were nominated by the Libertarian and Independence Parties using separate elector slates. Their votes have been added together in the below table for convenience.^[15]

With the introduction of computerized voting, write-in candidates were permitted. The following is a certified list of persons who made valid presidential write in filings with the State Board of Elections^[16]

• Arantxa Aranja
• Neer R. Asherie
• Mark Blickley
• Robert L. Buchanan
• Gary S. Canns
• Willie Carter
• Darrell Castle
• Ariel T. Cohen
• William J. Connolly
• Rocky De La Fuente
• Jason Fried
• Zoltan Istvan Gyurko
• Ben Hartnell
• Tom Hoefling
• Michael Frederick Ingbar
• Lynn Kahn
• Chris Keniston
• Gloria La Riva
• Jeffrey Mackler
• Mike Maturen
• Evan McMullin
• Monica Moorehead
• Jason Mutford
• Clifton Roberts
• Marshall Schoenke
• Ryan Alan Scott
• Emidio Soltysik
• Tony Valdivia
• J. J. Vogel-Walcutt
• Esther Welsh
• Barbara Whitaker
• Robert M. Wolff

According to The New York Times, only 300 write-in votes were counted in 2012,^[17] while 63,239 were recorded as "Blank, Void or Scattering".^[18]

Results

2016 United States presidential election in New York[19]
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	4,379,783	56.08%
	Working Families	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	140,043	1.83%
	Women's Equality	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	36,292	0.47%
	Total	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	4,556,118	59.38%	29
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	2,527,141	32.94%
	Conservative	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	292,392	3.81%
	Total	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	2,819,533	36.75%	0
	Independence	Gary Johnson	Bill Weld	119,160	1.55%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	Bill Weld	57,438	0.75%	0
	Total	Gary Johnson	Bill Weld	176,598	2.30%
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	107,935	1.41%	0
	Official write-in	Evan McMullin	Mindy Finn	10,397	0.14%	0
	Official write-in	Others	Others	2,518	0.03%	0
Totals				7,673,099	100.00%	29

New York City results

2016 Presidential Election in New York City			Manhattan	The Bronx	Brooklyn	Queens	Staten Island	Total
	Democratic- Working Families- Women's Equality	Hillary Clinton	579,013	353,646	640,553	517,220	78,143	2,159,575	78.99%
			86.6%	88.5%	79.5%	75.4%	41.0%
	Republican- Conservative	Donald Trump	64,930	37,797	141,044	149,341	101,437	494,549	18.1%
			9.7%	9.5%	17.5%	21.8%	56.1%
	Others	Others	24,997	8,079	24,008	19,832	5,380	82,296	3.0%
			3.7%	2.0%	3.0%	2.9%	3.0%
TOTAL			668,940	399,522	805,605	686,393	184,960	2,736,420	100.00%

By New York City Council district

Clinton won 47 of 51 New York City Council districts, including one held by a Republican, while Trump won 4 of 51 city council districts, including two held by Democrats.^[20]

New York City Council district results

District	Clinton	Trump	City-Council Member
1st	83.3%	12.6%	Margaret Chin
2nd	86.6%	9.3%	Rosie Méndez
3rd	87.1%	9.0%	Corey Johnson
4th	78.1%	17.5%	Daniel Garodnick
5th	80.1%	15.5%	Ben Kallos
6th	87.2%	9.0%	Helen Rosenthal
7th	91.9%	4.8%	Mark Levine
8th	92.8%	5.0%	Melissa Mark-Viverito
9th	94.6%	2.7%	Inez Dickens
10th	89.8%	7.1%	Ydanis Rodriguez
11th	81.5%	15.1%	Andrew Cohen
12th	94.1%	4.3%	Andy King
13th	66.6%	30.5%	James Vacca
14th	93.0%	5.3%	Fernando Cabrera
15th	92.1%	6.1%	Ritchie Torres
16th	94.8%	3.9%	Vanessa Gibson
17th	93.5%	4.8%	Rafael Salamanca
18th	91.6%	6.6%	Annabel Palma
19th	54.6%	41.9%	Paul Vallone
20th	69.0%	28.1%	Peter Koo
21st	87.3%	10.5%	Julissa Ferreras
22nd	77.3%	18.5%	Costa Constantinides
23rd	71.0%	26.2%	Barry Grodenchik
24th	72.3%	24.7%	Rory Lancman
25th	80.0%	17.0%	Daniel Dromm
26th	82.1%	14.4%	Jimmy Van Bramer
27th	94.8%	3.7%	Daneek Miller
28th	91.2%	7.4%	Adrienne Adams
29th	68.8%	27.4%	Karen Koslowitz
30th	56.4%	39.9%	Elizabeth Crowley
31st	89.1%	9.0%	Donovan Richards
32nd	59.6%	37.6%	Eric Ulrich
33rd	85.6%	10.4%	Stephen Levin
34th	89.1%	7.2%	Antonio Reynoso
35th	91.6%	5.3%	Laurie Cumbo
36th	95.1%	1.9%	Robert Cornegy
37th	91.8%	5.5%	Rafael Espinal
38th	79.7%	16.8%	Carlos Menchaca
39th	85.0%	11.4%	Brad Lander
40th	91.9%	5.3%	Mathieu Eugene
41st	95.6%	2.7%	Darlene Mealy
42nd	95.2%	3.5%	Inez Barron
43rd	54.7%	40.9%	Vincent J. Gentile
44th	31.4%	64.5%	David G. Greenfield
45th	84.2%	13.6%	Jumaane Williams
46th	75.0%	22.8%	Alan Maisel
47th	54.2%	43.0%	Mark Treyger
48th	38.8%	58.1%	Chaim Deutsch
49th	67.1%	29.6%	Debi Rose
50th	34.9%	62.0%	Steven Matteo
51st	25.5%	71.9%	Joe Borelli

Treemap of the popular vote by county

By county

County	Hillary Clinton Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Albany	83,071	59.41%	47,808	34.19%	8,939	6.40%	35,263	25.22%	139,818
Allegany	4,882	26.12%	12,525	67.01%	1,285	6.87%	-7,643	-40.89%	18,692
Bronx	353,646	88.52%	37,797	9.46%	8,079	2.02%	315,849	79.06%	399,522
Broome	39,212	45.56%	40,943	47.57%	5,917	6.87%	-1,731	-2.01%	86,072
Cattaraugus	9,497	30.48%	19,692	63.19%	1,972	6.33%	-10,195	-32.71%	31,161
Cayuga	13,522	40.76%	17,384	52.41%	2,266	6.83%	-3,862	-11.65%	33,172
Chautauqua	19,091	35.20%	31,594	58.25%	3,549	6.55%	-12,503	-23.05%	54,234
Chemung	13,757	38.09%	20,097	55.64%	2,265	6.27%	-6,340	-17.55%	36,119
Chenango	6,775	33.61%	11,921	59.13%	1,464	7.26%	-5,146	-25.52%	20,160
Clinton	15,059	46.91%	14,449	45.01%	2,597	8.08%	610	1.90%	32,105
Columbia	15,284	49.46%	13,756	44.51%	1,862	6.03%	1,528	4.95%	30,902
Cortland	8,771	43.33%	9,900	48.90%	1,573	7.77%	-1,129	-5.57%	20,244
Delaware	6,627	33.48%	11,942	60.34%	1,223	6.18%	-5,315	-26.86%	19,792
Dutchess	62,285	47.54%	61,821	47.19%	6,912	5.27%	464	0.35%	131,018
Erie	215,456	50.86%	188,303	44.45%	19,866	4.69%	27,153	6.41%	423,625
Essex	7,762	45.08%	7,958	46.22%	1,498	8.70%	-196	-1.14%	17,218
Franklin	7,297	43.05%	8,221	48.50%	1,434	8.45%	-924	-5.45%	16,952
Fulton	6,496	30.62%	13,462	63.46%	1,256	5.92%	-6,966	-32.84%	21,214
Genesee	7,650	28.94%	16,915	63.99%	1,867	7.07%	-9,265	-35.05%	26,432
Greene	7,405	33.58%	13,073	59.29%	1,572	7.13%	-5,668	-25.71%	22,050
Hamilton	949	29.43%	2,064	64.00%	212	6.57%	-1,115	-34.57%	3,225
Herkimer	8,083	30.79%	16,699	63.60%	1,473	5.61%	-8,616	-32.81%	26,255
Jefferson	13,809	36.12%	21,763	56.92%	2,664	6.96%	-7,954	-20.80%	38,236
Kings	640,553	79.51%	141,044	17.51%	24,008	2.98%	499,509	62.00%	805,605
Lewis	3,146	27.78%	7,400	65.34%	779	6.88%	-4,254	-37.56%	11,325
Livingston	10,697	35.62%	17,290	57.57%	2,044	6.81%	-6,593	-21.95%	30,031
Madison	11,667	38.81%	15,936	53.01%	2,461	8.18%	-4,269	-14.20%	30,064
Monroe	188,592	54.23%	136,582	39.27%	22,616	6.50%	52,010	14.94%	347,790
Montgomery	6,595	34.61%	11,301	59.31%	1,158	6.08%	-4,706	-24.70%	19,054
Nassau	332,154	51.33%	292,025	45.13%	22,943	3.54%	40,129	6.20%	647,122
New York	579,013	86.56%	64,930	9.71%	24,997	3.73%	514,083	76.85%	668,940
Niagara	35,559	38.48%	51,961	56.23%	4,882	5.29%	-16,402	-17.75%	92,402
Oneida	33,743	37.08%	51,437	56.52%	5,829	6.40%	-17,694	-19.44%	91,009
Onondaga	112,337	53.89%	83,649	40.13%	12,454	5.98%	28,688	13.76%	208,440
Ontario	22,233	42.33%	26,029	49.55%	4,265	8.12%	-3,796	-7.22%	52,527
Orange	68,278	44.91%	76,645	50.42%	7,098	4.67%	-8,367	-5.51%	152,021
Orleans	4,470	27.29%	10,936	66.76%	974	5.95%	-6,466	-39.47%	16,380
Oswego	17,095	35.48%	27,688	57.47%	3,397	7.05%	-10,593	-21.99%	48,180
Otsego	10,451	40.72%	13,308	51.85%	1,909	7.43%	-2,857	-11.13%	25,668
Putnam	19,366	39.88%	27,024	55.65%	2,173	4.47%	-7,658	-15.77%	48,563
Queens	517,220	75.35%	149,341	21.76%	19,832	2.89%	367,879	53.59%	686,393
Rensselaer	32,717	45.72%	33,726	47.13%	5,119	7.15%	-1,009	-1.41%	71,562
Richmond	74,143	40.97%	101,437	56.05%	5,380	2.98%	-27,294	-15.08%	180,960
Rockland	69,342	51.33%	60,911	45.09%	4,834	3.58%	8,431	6.24%	135,087
Saratoga	50,913	44.62%	54,575	47.83%	8,606	7.55%	-3,662	-3.21%	114,094
Schenectady	33,747	50.16%	28,953	43.03%	4,580	6.81%	4,794	7.13%	67,280
Schoharie	4,240	30.18%	8,831	62.85%	979	6.97%	-4,591	-32.67%	14,050
Schuyler	3,091	35.24%	5,050	57.57%	631	7.19%	-1,959	-22.33%	8,772
Seneca	5,697	40.75%	7,236	51.76%	1,047	7.49%	-1,539	-11.01%	13,980
St. Lawrence	16,488	42.11%	19,942	50.93%	2,728	6.96%	-3,454	-8.82%	39,158
Steuben	12,526	29.82%	26,831	63.88%	2,645	6.30%	-14,305	-34.06%	42,002
Suffolk	303,951	44.62%	350,570	51.46%	26,733	3.92%	-46,619	-6.84%	681,254
Sullivan	12,568	41.96%	15,931	53.18%	1,456	4.86%	-3,363	-11.22%	29,955
Tioga	7,526	33.75%	13,260	59.46%	1,513	6.79%	-5,734	-25.71%	22,299
Tompkins	28,890	67.69%	10,371	24.30%	3,417	8.01%	18,519	43.39%	42,678
Ulster	44,597	52.29%	35,239	41.32%	5,454	6.39%	9,358	10.97%	85,290
Warren	13,091	41.68%	15,751	50.15%	2,566	8.17%	-2,660	-8.47%	31,408
Washington	9,098	37.09%	13,610	55.49%	1,820	7.42%	-4,512	-18.40%	24,528
Wayne	13,473	33.95%	23,380	58.91%	2,834	7.14%	-9,907	-24.96%	39,687
Westchester	272,926	64.88%	131,238	31.20%	16,491	3.92%	141,688	33.68%	420,655
Wyoming	3,904	22.57%	12,442	71.93%	952	5.50%	-8,538	-49.36%	17,298
Yates	3,659	36.35%	5,660	56.23%	747	7.42%	-2,001	-19.88%	10,066
Totals	4,556,142	59.00%	2,819,557	36.51%	346,096	4.49%	1,736,585	22.49%	7,721,795

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Broome (County Seat: Binghamton)
• Cayuga (County Seat: Auburn)
• Cortland (County Seat: Cortland)
• Essex (County Seat: Elizabethtown)
• Franklin (County Seat: Malone)
• Madison (County Seat: Wampsville)
• Niagara (County Seat: Lockport)
• Orange (County Seat: Goshen)
• Oswego (County Seat: Waterloo)
• Otsego (County Seat: Cooperstown)
• Rensselaer (County Seat: Troy)
• Richmond (coterminous with Staten Island, a borough of New York City)
• Saratoga (County Seat: Ballston Spa)
• Seneca (County Seat: Waterloo)
• St. Lawrence (County Seat: Canton)
• Suffolk (County Seat: Riverhead)
• Sullivan (County Seat: Monticello)
• Warren (County Seat: Queensbury)
• Washington (County Seat: Hudson Falls)

^[21]

By congressional district

Clinton won 18 of 27 congressional districts. Both Trump and Clinton won a district held by the other party.^[22]

District	Clinton	Trump	Representative
1st	42%	54%	Lee Zeldin
2nd	44%	53%	Peter T. King
3rd	51%	45%	Steve Israel
			Thomas Suozzi
4th	53%	43%	Kathleen Rice
5th	85%	13%	Gregory Meeks
6th	65%	32%	Grace Meng
7th	86%	10%	Nydia Velázquez
8th	84%	13%	Hakeem Jeffries
9th	83%	14%	Yvette Clarke
10th	78%	19%	Jerry Nadler
11th	44%	53%	Dan Donovan
12th	82%	13%	Carolyn Maloney
13th	92%	5%	Charles B. Rangel
			Adriano Espaillat
14th	77%	22%	Joe Crowley
15th	94%	5%	Jose Serrano
16th	75%	22%	Eliot Engel
17th	58%	38%	Nita Lowey
18th	47%	49%	Sean Patrick Maloney
19th	44%	51%	John Faso
20th	53%	40%	Paul Tonko
21st	39%	53%	Elise Stefanik
22nd	39%	54%	Richard L. Hanna
			Claudia Tenney
23rd	39%	54%	Tom Reed
24th	49%	45%	John Katko
25th	55%	39%	Louise Slaughter
26th	58%	38%	Brian Higgins
27th	35%	59%	Chris Collins

Analysis

Reflecting a strong nationwide trend of rural areas swinging hard against Clinton, Trump improved greatly upon recent Republican performances in rural Upstate New York. Upstate New York was historically a staunchly Republican region, although it had been trending Democratic since the 1990s, and Democrat Barack Obama had twice performed very strongly across both urban and rural upstate in the preceding two elections. Trump won 19 counties in New York State that voted for President Obama in 2012, 17 of which were rural upstate counties. Clinton did win Upstate New York's traditionally Democratic cities and hold onto the urban counties upstate. However, Trump also made gains in urban parts of upstate, which had long been in economic decline, due to his strength in economically distressed areas and his appeal to working-class whites who traditionally vote Democratic. Trump's message on trade policy and pledge to halt job outsourcing appealed strongly to the Rust Belt region of the United States, where many local economies had been ravaged by the loss of industrial jobs, which extends into Upstate New York cities like Binghamton, Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse.

In Erie County, where Buffalo is located in Western New York bordering the Great Lakes, Clinton won only 51-44 compared with Obama's 57–41 victory in 2012. Clinton suffered her strongest swings against her in traditionally Democratic Northern New York along the Saint Lawrence River.

The only upstate county where Clinton won by a stronger margin than Obama had in 2012 was the liberal Democratic stronghold of Tompkins County, home to the college town of Ithaca where Cornell University is located. Clinton and Obama both received 68% in the county, but Trump's unpopularity with young people and students led him to fall to only 24% of the vote compared with 28% for Romney. Hillary Clinton's landslide statewide win was powered by an overwhelmingly lopsided victory in the massively populated five boroughs of New York City, the largest city in the United States, despite Donald Trump's longtime popular cultural association with the city. In New York City, Hillary Clinton received 2,164,575 votes (79.0% of the vote) compared with only 494,549 votes (18.0% of the vote) for Donald Trump. This represented a slight fall from Barack Obama's historic 81.2% in the city in 2012, and the borough of Staten Island flipped from Obama to Trump. However, Trump's percentage was virtually unchanged from Romney's 17.8%. With huge victories in the other four boroughs, Clinton's 60.9% victory margin over Trump was a slight decrease from Obama's record 63.4% margin over Romney, making Clinton's win the second-widest victory margin for a presidential candidate in New York City history.

Trump's birthplace borough of Queens gave Clinton over 75% of the vote and less than 22% to Trump. In Manhattan, home to Trump Tower, Trump's famous landmark residence, Clinton received nearly 87% while Trump received less than 10% of the vote, the worst performance ever for a major party presidential candidate in Manhattan. This made Trump's home borough one of only 3 counties in the state where Trump did worse than Mitt Romney had in 2012, along with Westchester and Tompkins counties. In the populated suburbs around New York City, Hillary Clinton won overall, although, with the sole exception of her county of residence, there were strong swings against her compared with President Obama's performance. The downstate suburban counties around the city were historically Republican bastions, until Hillary's husband Bill Clinton made dramatic suburban gains for Democrats in the 1990s and easily swept every suburban New York county in his 1996 re-election campaign. North of the city, Clinton significantly further improved on Barack Obama's landslide margin in wealthy Westchester County, where the Clintons own their primary residence in Chappaqua, New York. Clinton won Westchester County 65-31 compared with Obama's 62–37 victory over Mitt Romney. Conversely, Trump made major gains on Long Island, as Clinton won Nassau County by only a slightly reduced 6-point margin rather than the 8-point margin by which Obama had won it, while Suffolk County saw an even bigger swing, going from a 4-point win for Obama to a 7-point win for Trump, the first Republican victory in the county since 1992.

While heavily Democratic New York City had secured consistent Democratic landslides in New York State for 3 decades, since 1992 every Democratic presidential candidate would have still carried New York State even without the massive Democratic vote margins provided by the 5 boroughs, albeit by substantially closer margins. In 2012, Obama won New York State outside of New York City with 54.03% of the vote compared with Mitt Romney's 44.54%. With Donald Trump having made major gains over Romney's performance across Upstate New York and improving overall in suburban downstate, Hillary Clinton was heavily dependent on New York City for her victory; her margin of 1,724,416 votes in the Five Boroughs accounted for almost all of her statewide majority. Clinton did manage to continue the Democratic winning streak in New York State outside of New York City, albeit just barely. Removing the 5 boroughs of New York City from the result, Clinton received 2,391,549 votes while Trump received 2,324,985 votes, meaning Clinton would have won New York State without the city by 66,564 votes, a margin of 1.4% out of all statewide votes cast outside of the city. However, when removing the ten counties in the state that are part of the New York metropolitan area (The Boroughs, Long Island, and Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester Counties), Trump became the only Republican to carry Upstate since George H. W. Bush did so in 1988, obtaining 1,463,217 votes in the state's other 52 counties compared to Clinton's 1,393,810 votes, a margin of 69,407 votes, though George W. Bush came within 8,056 votes of John Kerry in Upstate during the 2004 election. The 2016 United States Senate election in New York held on the same day turned notably different. While Clinton only carried 12 upstate counties, Chuck Schumer won all counties in New York state except 5 and captured over 70% of the vote.

See also

• United States presidential elections in New York
• First presidency of Donald Trump
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
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6. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
7. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
8. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
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11. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
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13. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
14. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New York: Trump vs. Clinton".
15. Mahoney, Bill. "How New York election law makes Gary Johnson more marginal". Subscriber.politicopro.com. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
16. "Official Write-In Candidates for President" (PDF). Elections.ny.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2016. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
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18. "NYS Board of Elections President and Vice-President Election Returns" (PDF). Elections.ny.gov. November 6, 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 29, 2019. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
19. "NYS Board of Elections President and Vice-President Election Returns" (PDF). Elections.ny.gov. November 8, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 21, 2021. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
20. "NYC City Council - 2013-2022 districts". DRA 2020 Daves Redistricting. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
21. Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
22. "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 19, 2018.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions