2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.
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  Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Dixon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[1]
This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment.[a]
Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.[2] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.
| Dates | Location | Scott | Dixon | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 24, 2016 | Greenville, South Carolina | Participant | Participant | [8] |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Thomas Dixon (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[14] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,698 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[15] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,642 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[16] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,583 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[17] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,501 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,588 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[19] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,762 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 39% | – | 5% |
| Starboard Communications (R)[20] | September 7–9, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.8% | 58% | 22% | – | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[21] | August 9–10, 2016 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% | 45% | 30%[22] | 6%[23] | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Joyce Dickerson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[24] | November 7–8, 2015 | 1,290 | ± 2.7% | 53% | 25% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Bakari Sellers (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 56% | 28% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Leon Lott (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott (R) |
Jim Hodges (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[25] | February 12–15, 2015 | 868 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 32% | 15% |
with Joyce Dickerson
with Bakari Sellers
with Leon Lott
with Jim Hodges
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Scott (incumbent) | 1,241,609 | 60.57% | −0.55% | |
| Democratic | Thomas Dixon[28] | 757,022 | 36.93% | −0.16% | |
| Libertarian | Bill Bledsoe[29] | 37,482 | 1.83% | N/A | |
| American | Michael Scarborough | 11,923 | 0.58% | −1.17% | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 1,857 | 0.09% | +0.05% | |
| Total votes | 2,049,893 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Scott won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[30]
| District | Scott | Dixon | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 33% | Mark Sanford |
| 2nd | 63% | 34% | Joe Wilson |
| 3rd | 71% | 27% | Jeff Duncan |
| 4th | 67% | 30% | Trey Gowdy |
| 5th | 59% | 38% | Mick Mulvaney |
| 6th | 35% | 63% | Jim Clyburn |
| 7th | 61% | 37% | Tom Rice |
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