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来自维基百科,自由的百科全书
NBA樂透抽籤是一個NBA選秀重要的一部分,該選秀由國家籃球總會(簡稱NBA)舉行。
NBA樂透抽籤是給予未能晉級季後賽隊伍的,以確定NBA選秀的選秀順序。
從2019年選秀開始,NBA將改變狀元籤概率(最低的三支球隊為14%的機會贏得狀元籤),並將抽籤中選定的球隊數量從三個增加到四個。
樂透抽籤通常在5月第三或第四的星期進行。
以下為2005至2018年間的情形,16支球隊晉級季後賽,剩下14支球隊沒有晉級季後賽的隊伍排名由最差至最佳如下:
種子順位 | 概率 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
1 | 250 | .250 | .215 | .178 | .357 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
2 | 199 | .199 | .188 | .171 | .319 | .123 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
3 | 156 | .156 | .157 | .156 | .226 | .265 | .040 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
4 | 119 | .119 | .126 | .133 | .099 | .351 | .160 | .012 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
5 | 88 | .088 | .097 | .107 | – | .261 | .360 | .084 | .004 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
6 | 63 | .063 | .071 | .081 | – | – | .439 | .305 | .040 | .001 | – | – | – | – | – |
7 | 43 | .043 | .049 | .058 | – | – | – | .599 | .232 | .018 | .000 | – | – | – | – |
8 | 28 | .028 | .033 | .039 | – | – | – | – | .724 | .168 | .008 | .000 | – | – | – |
9 | 17 | .017 | .020 | .024 | – | – | – | – | – | .813 | .122 | .004 | .000 | – | – |
10 | 11 | .011 | .013 | .016 | – | – | – | – | – | – | .870 | .089 | .002 | .000 | – |
11 | 8 | .008 | .009 | .012 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .907 | .063 | .001 | .000 |
12 | 7 | .007 | .008 | .010 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .935 | .039 | .000 |
13 | 6 | .006 | .007 | .009 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .960 | .018 |
14 | 5 | .005 | .006 | .007 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .982 |
自2019年起,樂透抽籤改為以下情形:
前三位有14%的機會獲得狀元籤。
種子順位 | 概率 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
1 | 140 | .140 | .134 | .127 | .120 | .479 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
2 | 140 | .140 | .134 | .127 | .120 | .278 | .200 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
3 | 140 | .140 | .134 | .127 | .120 | .148 | .260 | .070 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
4 | 125 | .125 | .122 | .119 | .115 | .072 | .257 | .167 | .022 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
5 | 105 | .105 | .105 | .106 | .105 | .022 | .196 | .267 | .087 | .006 | – | – | – | – | – |
6 | 90 | .090 | .092 | .094 | .096 | – | .086 | .298 | .206 | .037 | .001 | – | – | – | – |
7 | 75 | .075 | .078 | .081 | .085 | – | – | .197 | .341 | .129 | .013 | .000 | – | – | – |
8 | 60 | .060 | .063 | .067 | .072 | – | – | – | .345 | .321 | .067 | .004 | .000 | – | – |
9 | 45 | .045 | .048 | .052 | .057 | – | – | – | – | .507 | .259 | .030 | .001 | .000 | – |
10 | 30 | .030 | .033 | .036 | .040 | – | – | – | – | – | .659 | .190 | .012 | .000 | .000 |
11 | 20 | .020 | .022 | .024 | .028 | – | – | – | – | – | – | .776 | .126 | .004 | .000 |
12 | 15 | .015 | .017 | .019 | .021 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .861 | .067 | .001 |
13 | 10 | .010 | .011 | .012 | .014 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .929 | .023 |
14 | 5 | .005 | .006 | .006 | .007 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | .976 |
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