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The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide.[1]
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Turnout | 38.50% | ||||||||||||||||
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Ivey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Flowers: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.
Voter turnout for Alabama's 2022 governor election dropped significantly from its 2018 governor race, with only 38.5% of registered voters turning out. This was also far below Alabama's 63.1% turnout in the 2020 presidential race. Alabama's neighboring state Tennessee also saw a huge drop in voter turnout this midterm cycle.
This was the first gubernatorial election in Alabama history in which both major party nominees were women. Flowers was also the first Black female gubernatorial nominee in Alabama.[2] Governor Ivey was sworn in for her second full term on January 16, 2023.
This is the only gubernatorial election in the 2020s to date to be won by a member of the Silent Generation. This election saw the worst performance of a Democratic Party nominee in the state's history. This is also the first gubernatorial election in which Marengo County voted Republican.
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No. | Date | Location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Blanchard | Burdette | George | Ivey | James | Jones | Odle | Thomas | Young | ||||||
1[72] | Jan 19, 2022 | Enterprise | Coffee County Republican Women | Jan White | [73][74] | P | A | A | A | P | A | P | A | A |
2[75] | Feb 01, 2022 | Huntsville | Republican Women of Huntsville | Terri Terrell | [76] | P | P | A | A | P | A | P | A | A |
3[77] | Feb 10, 2022 | Fairhope | Eastern Shore Republican Women | Jeff Poor | N/A | P | P | A | A | P | P | P | P | P |
4[78] | Feb 10, 2022 | Dothan | Houston County Republican Party | Brandon Shoupe | [79] | P | A | A | A | P | A | P | A | A |
5[80] | Feb 28, 2022 | Greenville | Butler County Republican Party | N/A | N/A | P | P | A | A | P | A | P | A | A |
6[81] | Mar 07, 2022 | Athens | Athens-Limestone Republican Women | Tracy Smith | N/A | P | A | A | A | P | A | P | A | A |
7[82] | Mar 10, 2022 | Hoover | LOCAL Alabama | Allison Sinclair Stephanie Smith |
[83] | P | P | A | A | P | A | P | P | A |
8[84] | Apr 12, 2022 | Cullman | Cullman County Republican Women | Charlotte Covert | [85] | P | P | A | A | P | P | P | P | A |
9[86] | Apr 26, 2022 | Huntsville | Focus on America | Scott Beason Rebecca Rogers |
[87] | P | P | A | A | P | P | P | P | A |
10[88] | May 11, 2022 | Prattville | Autauga County Republican Party | John Wahl | [89] | P | P | A | A | A | P | P | A | A |
11[90] | May 14, 2022 | Vestavia Hills | Mid Alabama Republican Club | N/A | N/A | P | P | A | A | A | A | P | A | P |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Lynda Blanchard |
Lew Burdette |
Kay Ivey |
Tim James |
Dean Odle |
Dean Young |
Other [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics[91] | May 15–21, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 49.3% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 5.7% | Ivey +31.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Lynda Blanchard |
Lew Burdette |
Stacy George |
Kay Ivey |
Tim James |
Donald Jones |
Dean Odle |
Dave Thomas |
Dean Young |
Jim Zeigler |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R)[92] | May 18–21, 2022 | 1,060 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 17% | 7% | – | 47% | 17% | – | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 6% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[93][upper-alpha 1] | May 16–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 8% | – | 45% | 18% | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | 9% |
Cygnal (R)[94] | May 15–16, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 13% | 8% | – | 48% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College[95] | May 15–16, 2022 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 46% | 17% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | – | – | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[96][upper-alpha 1] | May 9–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 8% | – | 52% | 15% | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 7% |
Cygnal (R)[97] | May 6–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 15% | 6% | – | 40% | 18% | – | 4% | – | 1% | – | 4% | 14% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[98][upper-alpha 2] | April 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 14% | – | – | 57% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% |
Emerson College[99] | March 25–27, 2022 | 687 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 48% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 22% |
Cygnal (R)[100] | March 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 2% | – | 46% | 12% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 3% | 21% |
Wisemen Consulting (R)[101] | March 15–17, 2022 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 58% | 16% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | – | – | 9% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[102][upper-alpha 1] | March 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 1% | 60% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% |
1892 Polling (R)[103][upper-alpha 2] | March 8–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 8% | – | – | 60% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[104][upper-alpha 2] | February 28 – March 2, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 10% | – | – | 61% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 12% |
Cherry Communications (R)[105][upper-alpha 3] | February 2–6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | – | – | 55% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | 22% |
Cygnal (R)[106] | August 17–18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 42% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 9% | 9% | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 357,069 | 54.45% | |
Republican | Lynda Blanchard | 126,202 | 19.25% | |
Republican | Tim James | 106,181 | 16.19% | |
Republican | Lew Burdette | 42,924 | 6.55% | |
Republican | Dean Odle | 11,767 | 1.79% | |
Republican | Donald Trent Jones | 3,821 | 0.58% | |
Republican | Dave Thomas | 2,886 | 0.44% | |
Republican | Stacy Lee George | 2,546 | 0.39% | |
Republican | Dean Young | 2,356 | 0.36% | |
Total votes | 655,752 | 100.0% |
Organizations
Organizations
No. | Date | Location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Flowers | Kennedy | Martin | Salter | Sanders- Fortier |
Smith | |||||||||
1[82] | Mar 10, 2022 | Hoover | LOCAL Alabama | Allison Sinclair Stephanie Smith |
YouTube[83] | P | P | P | P | P | P | |||
2[121] | Apr 07, 2022 | Fort Payne | DeKalb County Democratic Party | N/A | N/A | P | A | P | A | A | P | |||
3[122] | Apr 22, 2022 | Dothan | Houston County Democratic Party | N/A | N/A | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Yolanda Flowers |
Patricia Jamieson |
Arthur Kennedy |
Chad Martin |
Malika Sanders-Fortier |
Doug Smith |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[95] | May 15–16, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 49% |
Emerson College[99] | March 25–27, 2022 | 359 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 59% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yolanda Rochelle Flowers | 56,991 | 33.88% | |
Democratic | Malika Sanders-Fortier | 54,699 | 32.52% | |
Democratic | Patricia Jamieson Salter | 19,691 | 11.71% | |
Democratic | Arthur Kennedy | 15,630 | 9.29% | |
Democratic | Doug Smith | 11,861 | 7.05% | |
Democratic | Chad Martin | 9,352 | 5.56% | |
Total votes | 168,224 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yolanda Rochelle Flowers | 32,529 | 55.14% | |
Democratic | Malika Sanders-Fortier | 26,469 | 44.86% | |
Total votes | 58,998 | 100.0% |
No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[123]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[126] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[127] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[128] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[129] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[130] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[131] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
538[132] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
Elections Daily[133] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Kay Ivey (R) |
Yolanda Flowers (D) |
Jimmy Blake (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[140] | October 27–29, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.94% | 60% | 25% | 5% | - | - |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 946,932 | 66.91% | +7.45% | |
Democratic | Yolanda Rochelle Flowers | 412,961 | 29.18% | −11.21% | |
Libertarian | James D. "Jimmy" Blake | 45,958 | 3.25% | N/A | |
Write-in | 9,432 | 0.67% | +0.52% | ||
Total votes | 1,415,283 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 1,419,718 | 38.50% | |||
Registered electors | 3,687,753 | ||||
Republican hold |
Ivey won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[142]
District | Ivey | Flowers | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 68% | 27% | Jerry Carl |
2nd | 70% | 27% | Barry Moore |
3rd | 72% | 25% | Mike Rogers |
4th | 84% | 12% | Robert Aderholt |
5th | 69% | 27% | Mo Brooks (117th Congress) |
Dale Strong (118th Congress) | |||
6th | 68% | 27% | Gary Palmer |
7th | 37% | 60% | Terri Sewell |
Partisan clients
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