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The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 52.18% | ||||||||||||||||
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   Carper: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Arlett: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth, and ultimately final, term. Despite Carper's victory, Arlett managed to flip Sussex County, typically a reliably Republican county in Delaware. This subsequently marked the first time Carper lost the county since his first election to the Senate in 2000.
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Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.
Carper, the incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.
The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.
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Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator and 71st Governor of Delaware[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, Dover activist and U.S. Air Force veteran[4]
Withdrew
- Tykiem Booker, activist[5]
Declined
Endorsements
Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative, AZ-08[9]
State executive branch officials
- Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
- Debra Heffernan, Delaware State Representative[10]
Individuals
- Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate[11]
- Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
- Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi[12]
- Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware President of the Board of Planned Parenthood
- Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets[13]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO
- Delaware Laborers
- Delaware State Education Association
- Democratic Party
- Eastern Sussex Democratic Club
- Giffords Gun Safety Organization
- Human Rights Campaign[14]
- J Street
- League of Conservation Voters
- The News Journal [15]
- NRDC Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood
- Stonewall Democrats
- VoteVets
Kerri Evelyn Harris
State legislators
- Sean Lynn, Delaware State Representative[16]
- Ilhan Omar, Minnesota State Representative and Democratic nominee for Minnesota's 5th congressional district[17]
- Nina Turner, former Ohio State Senator and President of Our Revolution[18][19]
County Councilpersons
- Jea Street, New Castle County Councilman[20]
City Councilpersons
- Ayanna Pressley, Boston City Councilwoman and Democratic nominee for Massachusetts' 7th congressional district[21]
- Jen Wallace, Newark City Councilwoman[22]
Political candidates
- Don Allan, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 36th Representative district
- Adrienne Bell, Democratic nominee for Texas's 14th congressional district[23]
- Dee Durham, Democratic nominee for New Castle County’s 2nd council district
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for New York's 14th congressional district[24]
- Jordyn Pusey, Democratic candidate for New Castle County’s 1st council district
- Demitri Theodoropoulos, Green nominee for the seat[25]
Individuals
- Kate Aronoff, journalist
- Dan Cantor, chairman of the Working Families Party
- Garrison Davis, community organizer
- Joe Dinkin, campaign director of the Working Families Party[7]
- Mike Figueredo, host of The Humanist Report[26]
- Glenn Greenwald, journalist
- Ryan Grim, journalist
- Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders[27]
- Gerald Rocha, retired U.S. Air Force veteran and youth advocate[28]
- Kendrick Sampson, actor
- Claire Sandberg, former deputy campaign manager for El-Sayed gubernatorial campaign and former director of distributed organizing for Sanders presidential campaign[29]
- Jea Street, Jr., singer and son of New Castle County Councilman Jea Street
- Cenk Uygur, co-founder and co-host of The Young Turks[30][31][32]
- Emma Vigeland, political commentator
- Winnie Wong, co-founder of The People for Bernie Sanders[33]
Organizations
- Blue Delaware[34]
- Center for Popular Democracy[35]
- Common Defense[36]
- Delaware for Bernie
- Delaware United[37]
- Demand Universal Healthcare[37]
- Democratic Socialists of Delaware[38]
- Democracy for America[39]
- Higher Heights PAC[40]
- Justice Democrats[41]
- Our Revolution[42]
- The People for Bernie Sanders[43]
- Progressive Action Network[44]
- Progressive Democrats for Delaware[45]
- Working Families Party[46]
- Working Hero PAC[47]
Media
- Delaware Liberal[48][49]
- The Intercept[50]
- The Young Turks[30]
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate
- Tykiem Booker, former candidate
- Chris Johnson, Democratic candidate for Attorney General
- Keith Spanarelli, candidate for the seat in 2012
- Laura Sturgeon, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 4th Senate district
Debates
Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018, for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[29][51] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Carper |
Kerri Evelyn Harris |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 354 | ± 5.2% | 51% | 19% | 30% |
Results
Carper—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Carper (incumbent) | 53,633 | 64.59% | |
| Democratic | Kerri Evelyn Harris | 29,406 | 35.41% | |
| Total votes | 83,039 | 100.00% | ||
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Candidates
Nominee
- Rob Arlett, former Sussex County Councilman, and former Delaware State Chairman for the Trump campaign[54]
Eliminated in primary
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[2]
- Gene Truono, businessman and former Chief Compliance Officer at PayPal[55]
Withdrew
Declined
- Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)[58]
- Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)
Endorsements
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
- Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
- Tom Neuberger, former Republican candidate for Delaware Attorney General in 2018
- Kevin Wade, former Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Delaware in 2012 and 2014[59]
Individuals
- Carter Clark, SC Teenage Republican Chairman[60]
- Jesse Glanden, wrestling coach at Laurel High School[61]
- Bobby Halton, notable former firefighter[62]
- Charlie Kirk, founder and President of Turning Point USA[63]
- Bobby Knight, former basketball coach[64]
- Michael F. McMahon, former FBI unit chief and US naval officer[65]
- Frank Ricci (Ricci v. DeStefano)[66]
Gene Truono
State legislators
- Greg Lavelle, Delaware State Senator
Republican Party officials
- Peter Kopf, New Castle County Republican Chairman
Political candidates
- Lee Murphy, actor and Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in Delaware
Individuals
- Mitch Denham, Delaware Gun Rights
- John Foltz, 11th District Chairman
- David Gilefski, Western NCC Region Chairman
- Shawn Michael Greener, radio host[67]
- Dick Heller (District of Columbia v. Heller)
- Mark Keith Robinson, NRA affiliate
- Maj Toure, Black Guns Matter
Organizations
- Delaware Gun Rights
- Never Carper[68]
- The News Journal Editorial Board[69]
- Revitalize Delaware
- U.S. Term Limits
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate
Debates
Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Arlett |
Rocky De La Fuente |
Gene Truono |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 288 | ± 5.8% | 19% | 7% | 15% | 60% |
Results
Map legend
- Arlett—70–80%
- Arlett—60–70%
- Arlett—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rob Arlett | 25,284 | 66.77% | |
| Republican | Gene Truono | 10,587 | 27.96% | |
| Republican | Rocky De La Fuente | 1,998 | 5.28% | |
| Total votes | 37,869 | 100.00% | ||
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Candidates
Nominee
- Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner[70]
Declined
- Andrew Groff, businessman and perennial candidate
Endorsements
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Organizations
Candidates
Nominee
- Nadine Frost, New Castle County chairwoman of Libertarian Party of Delaware and Libertarian nominee for Wilmington City Council in 2016[70]
Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which did not run a candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.
Candidates
Declared
Endorsements
Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.
Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey[8]
- Chris Coons, U.S. Senator from Delaware[73]
U.S. Representatives
- Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative from Delaware[74]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative, AZ-08 [9]
Governors
Other state executive branch officials
- Matt Denn, Delaware State Attorney General
- Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
- Debra Heffernan, Delaware State Representative [10]
Political candidates
- Ray Seigfried, former Vice President of Christiana Care and Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 7th House district
- Laura Sturgeon, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 4th Senate district[77]
Individuals
- Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate[11]
- Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
- Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi[12]
- Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware President of the Board of Planned Parenthood
- Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets[13]
- Laura Thein, former Disabilities Caucus Chair of Young Democrats of America [78]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO
- Delaware Laborers
- Delaware State Education Association
- Democratic Party
- Eastern Sussex Democratic Club
- Giffords Gun Safety Organization
- Human Rights Campaign[14]
- J Street
- League of Conservation Voters
- The News Journal Editorial Board[15]
- Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[79]
- National Wildlife Federation[80]
- NRDC Action Fund
- Patriot Majority[81]
- Planned Parenthood
- Sierra Club[82]
- Stonewall Democrats
- UD College Democrats
- VoteVets
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
- Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
- Tom Neuberger, former Republican candidate for Delaware Attorney General in 2018
- Kevin Wade, former Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Delaware in 2012 and 2014[59]
- Andrew Webb, Republican write-in candidate for U.S. House in Delaware
Individuals
- Carter Clark, SC Teenage Republican Chairman[60]
- Jesse Glanden, wrestling coach at Laurel High School[61]
- Bobby Halton, notable former firefighter[62]
- Charlie Kirk, founder and President of Turning Point USA[63]
- Bobby Knight, former basketball coach[64]
- Michael F. McMahon, former FBI unit chief and US naval officer[65]
- Frank Ricci (Ricci v. DeStefano)[66]
Organizations
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse Tom Carper
- Tykiem Booker, former candidate
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, former candidate
- Justice Democrats
- Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders
Declined to endorse Rob Arlett
- Peter Kopf, former New Castle County Republican chairman
- Gene Truono, former candidate
Debates
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[85] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[86]
- Full video of debate, Facebook August 20, 2018
with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett
The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.
- Full video of debate, C-SPAN October 17, 2018
with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos
- Full video of debate, WHYY October 30, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[87] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[88] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[90] | Safe D | April 9, 2018 |
| Fox News[91] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[92] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[93] | Safe D | June 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[94] | Safe D | September 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Carper (D) |
Rob Arlett (R) |
Nadine Frost (L) |
Demitri Theodoropoulos (G) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Delaware[95] | September 11–17, 2018 | 728 LV | – | 61% | 24% | 3% | 3% | 9% |
| 908 RV | ± 3.7% | 60% | 22% | 5% | 2% | 12% | ||
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 39% | – | – | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Carper (D) |
Gene Truono (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kerri Evelyn Harris (D) |
Rob Arlett (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kerri Evelyn Harris (D) |
Gene Truono (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[52] | July 24–29, 2018 | 884 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 23% |
Hypothetical polling
with Tom Carper and Gene Truono
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
Results
Carper
- 40-50%
- 50-60%
- 60-70%
- 70-80%
- 80-90%
- 90-100%
Arlett
- 40-50%
- 50-60%
- 60-70%
- 70-80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Carper (incumbent) | 217,385 | 59.95% | −6.47% | |
| Republican | Rob Arlett | 137,127 | 37.81% | +8.85% | |
| Green | Demitri Theodoropoulos | 4,170 | 1.15% | +0.35% | |
| Libertarian | Nadine Frost | 3,910 | 1.09% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 362,592 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
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