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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 13 U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina, one from each of the state's 13 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 13 North Carolina seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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North Carolina was one of two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2020, the other state being Arizona.
Following a 2019 court order,[1] the North Carolina General Assembly passed a bill with new Congressional districts for the 2020 elections. Among other changes, the 2nd and 6th districts were drawn to be more urban. Those changes led the two incumbents in these districts, George Holding and Mark Walker, respectively, to retire. Both were Republicans, and Democrats won the newly redrawn districts. One other seat was open, as former Rep. Mark Meadows had resigned to become White House Chief of Staff, but a fellow Republican held that seat for the party. Incumbents won all elections in which they ran, with the 8th district (Richard Hudson) seat having the closest margin of victory.[2]
District | Old PVI | New PVI | Incumbent |
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1st | D+17 | D+5 | G. K. Butterfield |
2nd | R+7 | D+9 | George Holding |
3rd | R+12 | R+12 | Greg Murphy |
4th | D+17 | D+14 | David Price |
5th | R+10 | R+18 | Virginia Foxx |
6th | R+10 | D+9 | Mark Walker |
7th | R+9 | R+11 | David Rouzer |
8th | R+8 | R+5 | Richard Hudson |
9th | R+8 | R+7 | Dan Bishop |
10th | R+12 | R+20 | Patrick McHenry |
11th | R+14 | R+9 | (vacant) |
12th | D+18 | D+14 | Alma Adams |
13th | R+6 | R+19 | Ted Budd |
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
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No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican Party | 12 | 2,631,336 | 49.413% | 8 | 2 | 61.54% | |
Democratic Party | 13 | 2,660,535 | 49.961% | 5 | 2 | 38.76% | |
Libertarian Party | 2 | 19,596 | 0.368% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Constitution Party | 1 | 7,555 | 0.142% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Green Party | 1 | 5,503 | 0.103% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 1 | 720 | 0.014% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 30 | 5,325,245 | 100.00% | 13 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina by district:
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 159,748 | 45.82% | 188,870 | 54.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 348,618 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 172,544 | 34.83% | 311,887 | 62.96% | 10,914 | 2.20% | 495,345 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 3 | 229,800 | 63.38% | 132,752 | 36.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 362,552 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 161,298 | 32.67% | 332,421 | 67.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 493,719 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 257,843 | 66.93% | 119,846 | 31.11% | 7,555 | 1.96% | 385,244 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 6 | 153,598 | 37.73% | 253,531 | 62.27% | 0 | 0.00% | 407,129 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 7 | 272,443 | 60.25% | 179,045 | 39.59% | 720 | 0.16% | 452,208 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 8 | 202,774 | 53.28% | 177,781 | 46.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 380,555 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 224,661 | 55.59% | 179,463 | 44.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 404,124 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 10 | 284,095 | 68.91% | 128,189 | 31.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 412,284 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 245,351 | 54.50% | 190,609 | 42.34% | 14,185 | 3.15% | 450,145 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 341,457 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 341,457 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 267,181 | 68.18% | 124,684 | 31.82% | 0 | 0.00% | 391,865 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
Total | 2,631,336 | 49.41% | 2,660,535 | 49.96% | 33,374 | 0.63% | 5,325,245 | 100.00% |
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County results Butterfield: 50-60% 60-70% Smith: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Butterfield: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the Inner Banks, taking in Greenville, Henderson, and Roanoke Rapids. Following redistricting, the district remained relatively the same but lost its share of Durham and Granville counties. In its place it gained Nash, Wayne, and Greene counties. It also increased its share of Wilson and Pitt counties. The incumbent was Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who was re-elected with 69.9% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Sandy Smith | 31,490 | 77.3 | |
Republican | Michele Nix | 4,030 | 9.9 | |
Republican | Jim Glisson | 3,031 | 7.4 | |
Republican | Ethan Baca | 2,206 | 5.5 | |
Total votes | 40,757 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Likely D | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | G. K. Butterfield (incumbent) | 188,870 | 54.2 | |
Republican | Sandy Smith | 159,748 | 45.8 | |
Total votes | 348,618 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Ross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Swain: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district takes in much of Wake County portion of the Research Triangle region. Following redistricting, the 2nd district is now located entirely in Wake County, taking in Raleigh, Cary, Garner, Apex, Holly Springs, Fuquay-Varina, and Morrisville. Wake Forest and Rocky Mount as well as the rural parts of the district were removed from the district. The incumbent was Republican George Holding, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 6, 2019, Holding announced he would not seek re-election, after his congressional district was drawn to be more favorable to the Democratic Party.[18]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Deborah K. Ross | 103,574 | 69.9 | |
Democratic | Monika Johnson-Hostler | 33,369 | 22.5 | |
Democratic | Andy Terrell | 8,666 | 5.8 | |
Democratic | Ollie Nelson | 2,677 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 148,286 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Likely D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Likely D (flip) | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe D (flip) | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe D (flip) | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe D (flip) | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Solid D (flip) | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Deborah K. Ross | 311,887 | 63.0 | |
Republican | Alan Swain | 172,544 | 34.8 | |
Libertarian | Jeff Matemu | 10,914 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 495,345 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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County results Murphy: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farrow: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located on the Eastern North Carolina shore and covers the Outer Banks and counties along the Pamlico Sound. Republican Walter B. Jones Jr., who was re-elected unopposed in 2018,[3][39] died on February 10, 2019, and a special election was held to fill the vacancy.[40] The incumbent was Republican Greg Murphy, who won the special election with 61.7% of the vote.[41] The district remained relatively unchanged following redistricting.
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 229,800 | 63.4 | |
Democratic | Daryl Farrow | 132,752 | 36.6 | |
Total votes | 362,552 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Price: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Thomas: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district takes in the part of the Research Triangle area not located in Wake County including Chapel Hill and Durham. Redistricting resulted in it losing its share of Raleigh, instead picking up northern Wake County, taking in Wake Forest, Zebulon, Rolesville, and Knightdale, as well as Chatham County, Durham County, Franklin County and Granville County. The incumbent was Democrat David Price, who was re-elected with 72.4% of the vote in 2018.[3]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | David Price (incumbent) | 153,322 | 86.7 | |
Democratic | Daniel Ulysses Lockwood | 23,564 | 13.3 | |
Total votes | 176,886 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Robert Thomas | 17,474 | 48.3 | |
Republican | Debesh Sarkar | 8,320 | 23.0 | |
Republican | Steve Von Loor | 6,283 | 17.3 | |
Republican | Nasir Shaikh | 4,127 | 11.4 | |
Total votes | 36,159 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | David Price (incumbent) | 332,421 | 67.3 | |
Republican | Robert Thomas | 161,298 | 32.7 | |
Total votes | 493,719 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Foxx: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in mostly rural mountainous areas of northwestern North Carolina. Redistricting moved the district to the west and south, resulting in it losing the city of Winston-Salem and picking up many rural counties in western North Carolina. It lost its share of Surry, Stokes, Yadkin, and Forsyth counties to the 10th district. It also lost Avery County to the 11th district. In its place it picked up Gaston County, Cleveland County, part of Rutherford County, as well as Burke and Caldwell counties. A small portion in northwest Catawba County is also in the district. The incumbent was Republican Virginia Foxx, who was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in 2018.[3]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | David Brown | 34,339 | 68.0 | |
Democratic | Eric Hughes | 16,139 | 32.0 | |
Total votes | 50,478 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 257,843 | 66.9 | |
Democratic | David Brown | 119,846 | 31.1 | |
Constitution | Jeff Gregory | 7,555 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 385,244 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Manning: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Haywood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Following redistricting, the 6th district now encompasses all of Guilford County, including Greensboro as well as taking in Winston-Salem from neighboring Forsyth County. Most of the district's rural portions were moved to the 10th and the 13th districts. The incumbent was Republican Mark Walker, who was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 16, 2019, Walker announced he would not seek re-election, citing his redrawn district becoming significantly more Democratic as his primary reason.[53]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lee Haywood | 28,842 | 73.3 | |
Republican | Laura Pichardo | 10,529 | 26.7 | |
Total votes | 39,371 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kathy Manning | 56,986 | 48.3 | |
Democratic | Rhonda Foxx | 23,506 | 19.9 | |
Democratic | Bruce Davis | 17,731 | 15.0 | |
Democratic | Derwin Montgomery | 14,705 | 12.5 | |
Democratic | Ed Hanes | 5,067 | 4.3 | |
Total votes | 117,995 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Likely D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Likely D (flip) | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe D (flip) | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe D (flip) | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe D (flip) | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe D (flip) | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kathy Manning | 253,531 | 62.3 | |
Republican | Lee Haywood | 153,598 | 37.7 | |
Total votes | 407,129 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Precinct results Rouzer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ward: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in southeastern North Carolina, taking in Wilmington, as well as stretching into the southern exurbs of Raleigh. After the district was redrawn, it lost its share of Wayne and Duplin counties, while gaining all of Johnston and Bladen counties and a small part of eastern Harnett County. The incumbent was Republican David Rouzer, who was re-elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chris Ward | 35,224 | 46.3 | |
Democratic | Mark Judson | 27,640 | 36.4 | |
Democratic | Robert Colon | 13,183 | 17.3 | |
Total votes | 76,047 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 272,443 | 60.2 | |
Democratic | Chris Ward | 179,045 | 39.6 | |
Write-in | 720 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 452,208 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Hudson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Timmons-Goodson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district spans from the Charlotte exurbs of Concord and Kannapolis into Fayetteville, including China Grove, Albemarle, Troy, Pinehurst, Raeford, and Spring Lake. Redistricting resulted in the 8th district losing its share of Rowan County, Hoke County and southern Moore County, while gaining all of Cumberland County, western Harnett County and most of Lee County. The incumbent was Republican Richard Hudson, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[3]
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Lean R | July 17, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R | July 23, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Lean R | October 19, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Lean R | November 3, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Richard Hudson (R) |
Patricia Timmons-Goodson (D) |
Undecided |
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DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[79][B] | October 5–6, 2020 | 433 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[80][C] | September 28, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 42% | – |
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[81][C] | July 23–30, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 202,774 | 53.3 | |
Democratic | Patricia Timmons-Goodson | 177,781 | 46.7 | |
Total votes | 380,555 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Bishop: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Wallace: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district spans from south Charlotte and its southern suburbs of Matthews and Mint Hill into suburban Fayetteville, including Union, Anson, Richmond, Scotland, and Robeson counties. The district remained vacant after the 2018 elections,[3] following the refusal of the state board of elections to certify the results and an ongoing investigation into absentee ballot fraud,[82] and on February 21, 2019, all five members of the board voted to call a new election.[83] Redistricting resulted in the district losing its share of Cumberland and Bladen counties, while gaining southern Moore County and Hoke County. The incumbent was Republican Dan Bishop, who won the special election with 50.7% of the vote.[84]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Cynthia Wallace | 45,359 | 56.0 | |
Democratic | Harry Southerland | 13,163 | 16.3 | |
Democratic | Clayton Brooks | 11,913 | 14.7 | |
Democratic | Marcus Williams | 10,527 | 13.0 | |
Total votes | 80,962 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[9] | Lean R | October 21, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Likely R | October 30, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Lean R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Dan Bishop (incumbent) | 224,661 | 55.6 | |
Democratic | Cynthia Wallace | 179,463 | 44.4 | |
Total votes | 404,124 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results McHenry: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Parker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district encompasses western North Carolina stretching from the Charlotte suburbs to the South Carolina border. It lost its share of Asheville following redistricting and some of its share of the southwestern Piedmont in south central North Carolina. It gained Rockingham County, Stokes County, Surry County, Yadkin County, Iredell County, as well as part of Forsyth County from the old 5th district. The incumbent was Republican Patrick McHenry, who was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 62,661 | 71.7 | |
Republican | David L. Johnson | 14,286 | 16.3 | |
Republican | Ralf Walters | 10,484 | 12.0 | |
Total votes | 87,431 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 284,095 | 68.9 | |
Democratic | David Parker | 128,189 | 31.1 | |
Total votes | 412,284 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Cawthorn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district encompasses most of rural western North Carolina, taking in the Appalachian part of the state. Redistricting resulted in the district gaining all Buncombe County, taking in Asheville. The most recent incumbent was Republican Mark Meadows, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 19, 2019, Meadows announced he would not run for re-election. In March 2020, Meadows was selected to serve as the 29th White House Chief of Staff, and resigned from his seat in Congress.[91]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lynda Bennett | 20,606 | 22.7 | |
Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 18,481 | 20.4 | |
Republican | Jim Davis | 17,465 | 19.3 | |
Republican | Chuck Archerd | 8,272 | 9.1 | |
Republican | Wayne King | 7,876 | 8.7 | |
Republican | Dan Driscoll | 7,803 | 8.6 | |
Republican | Joey Osborne | 6,470 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Vance Patterson | 2,242 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Matthew Burril | 523 | 0.6 | |
Republican | Albert Wiley Jr. | 393 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Dillon Gentry | 390 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Steve Fekete Jr. | 175 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 90,696 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 30,636 | 65.8 | |
Republican | Lynda Bennett | 15,905 | 34.2 | |
Total votes | 46,541 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Moe Davis | 52,983 | 47.3 | |
Democratic | Gina Collias | 25,387 | 22.7 | |
Democratic | Phillip Price | 12,620 | 11.3 | |
Democratic | Michael O'Shea | 12,523 | 11.2 | |
Democratic | Steve Woodsmall | 8,439 | 7.5 | |
Total votes | 111,952 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Lean R | October 8, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Lean R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[109] | Likely R | August 31, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Lean R | November 3, 2020 |
Endorsements:
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Madison Cawthorn (R) |
Moe Davis (D) |
Other/ undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMC Research (D)[112][F] | October 15–18, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | – |
EMC Research (D)[113][F] | September 22–24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 46% | – |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[114][B] | August 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | 13%[b] |
EMC Research (D)[115][F] | July 9–12, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 42% | 40% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 245,351 | 54.5 | |
Democratic | Moe Davis | 190,609 | 42.4 | |
Libertarian | Tracey DeBruhl | 8,682 | 1.9 | |
Green | Tamara Zwinak | 5,503 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 450,145 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Adams: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 12th district is centered around Charlotte and the surrounding immediate suburbs, including Huntersville, Cornelius, Davidson, and Pineville. Redistricting left the 12th district relatively unchanged, but it gained some southern Charlotte suburbs, including Mint Hill and parts of Matthews. The incumbent was Democrat Alma Adams, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 109,009 | 88.1 | |
Democratic | Keith Cradle | 14,713 | 11.9 | |
Total votes | 123,722 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 341,457 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 341,457 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Budd: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Huffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Following redistricting, the 13th district lost some of its share of the Piedmont Triad region, losing Greensboro to the 6th district & Iredell County to the 10th district. It retained Davidson County and Davie County and expanded its share of Rowan County. The district also gained most of the rural counties previously in the 6th district, including Randolph County, Alamance County, Caswell County, Person County, and a small section of Chatham County. The incumbent was Republican Ted Budd, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Organizations
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[10] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[12] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[14] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[15] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
538[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Budd (incumbent) | 267,181 | 68.2 | |
Democratic | Scott Huffman | 124,684 | 31.8 | |
Total votes | 391,865 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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