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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2012, with a primary election on June 5, 2012. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and a U.S. Senate election.
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All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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According to The Cook Political Report and Roll Call, the most competitive districts were the 7th, 10th, 26th, 36th, and 52nd; additionally, the 3rd, 9th, 24th, 41st, and 47th were rated as less than safe.[1][2] Roll Call additionally listed the 21st district as competitive. Voters in 14 districts elected new representatives: the 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th, 15th, 21st, 26th, 29th, 35th, 36th, 41st, 47th, 51st, and 52nd. Two districts, the 30th and the 44th, had two incumbents running against each other.
This was the first election using congressional districts drawn by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission. The districts, based on the 2010 United States census, were approved on August 15, 2011.[3] It was also the first non-special election to use the nonpartisan blanket primary system established by Proposition 14. As a result, eight districts featured general elections with two candidates of the same party: the 15th, 30th, 35th, 40th, 43rd, and 44th with two Democrats; and the 8th and 31st with two Republicans.
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 Primary election — June 5, 2012 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
| Democratic | 2,643,313 | 53.41% | 107 | 56 | 50 | |
| Republican | 2,072,433 | 41.87% | 98 | 46 | 44 | |
| No party preference | 189,783 | 3.83% | 25 | 4 | 4 | |
| Green | 26,674 | 0.54% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Libertarian | 14,787 | 0.30% | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | 2,415 | 0.05% | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Valid votes | 4,949,405 | 92.89% | — | — | — | |
| Invalid votes | 378,891 | 7.11% | — | — | — | |
| Totals | 5,328,296 | 100.00% | 242 | 106 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 31.06% | |||||
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 General election — November 6, 2012 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 7,392,703 | 60.57% | 38 |  4 | |
| Republican | 4,530,012 | 37.12% | 15 |  4 | |
| No party preference | 281,642 | 2.31% | 0 |  | |
| Valid votes | 12,204,357 | 92.44% | — | — | |
| Invalid or blank votes | 997,801 | 7.56% | — | — | |
| Totals | 13,202,158 | 100.00% | 53 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 72.36% | ||||
This map displays the location of California's congressional districts during this election cycle, allowing the reader to cross-reference the location of each district.
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 Results by county LaMalfa: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Wally Herger, who represented the 2nd district from 1987 to 2013, retired.[4] The district had a PVI of R+10.
Reed was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 1st district.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 66,527 | 37.9 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 43,409 | 24.8 | |
| Republican | Sam Aanestad | 25,224 | 14.4 | |
| Republican | Michael Dacquisto | 10,530 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Pete Stiglich | 10,258 | 5.8 | |
| Democratic | Nathan Arrowsmith | 8,598 | 4.9 | |
| No party preference | Gary Allen Oxley | 5,901 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Gregory Cheadle | 4,939 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 175,386 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 168,827 | 57.4 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 125,386 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 43,441 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 294,213 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
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 Results by county Huffman: 60–70% 70–80% Roberts: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Lynn Woolsey, who represented the 6th district from 1993 to 2013, retired.[19] The district had a PVI of D+19.
Regional delegates of the California Democratic Party met in January 2012 but did not endorse a nominee as no candidate received 50 per cent of the vote. Huffman received 48 per cent, Solomon 37 per cent, Adams 12 per cent and Lawson one percent.[31] Meanwhile, Roberts received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Adams (D) |
Andy Caffrey (D) |
William Courtney (D) |
Mike Halliwell (R) |
Jared Huffman (D) |
Stacey Lawson (D) |
Tiffany Renée (D) |
Daniel Roberts (R) |
Norman Solomon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)[32] | April 17–19, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 18% | 5% | — | 3% | 10% | 47% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)[33] | March 23–29, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | — | — | 5% | 24% | 9% | — | 7% | 5% | 45% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon)[34] | October 18–20, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | — | 16% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman)[35] | October 5–9, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 20% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 7% | 37% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 63,922 | 37.5 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 25,635 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Norman Solomon | 25,462 | 14.9 | |
| Democratic | Stacey Lawson | 16,946 | 9.9 | |
| Democratic | Susan Adams | 14,041 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Halliwell | 10,008 | 5.9 | |
| No party preference | Brooke Clarke | 3,715 | 2.2 | |
| Democratic | Tiffany Renée | 3,033 | 1.8 | |
| No party preference | John Lewallen | 2,488 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | William L. Courtney | 2,385 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Andy Caffrey | 1,737 | 1.0 | |
| Democratic | Larry Fritzlan | 1,151 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 170,523 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 226,216 | 71.2 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 91,310 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 317,526 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi, who represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Garamendi received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 3rd district.[43]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 59,546 | 51.5 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 30,254 | 26.2 | |
| Republican | Rick Tubbs | 17,902 | 15.5 | |
| Republican | Tony Carlos | 5,541 | 4.8 | |
| Republican | Eugene Ray | 2,438 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 115,681 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[49] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 126,882 | 54.2 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 107,086 | 45.8 | |
| Majority | 19,796 | 8.4 | ||
| Total votes | 233,968 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
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 Results by county McClintock: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Uppal: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Uppal was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012, with McClintock receiving the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11][10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 114,311 | 64.8 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 62,130 | 35.2 | |
| Total votes | 176,441 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 197,803 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 125,885 | 38.9 | |
| Total votes | 323,688 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+18.
Thompson received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012[10] while Loftin was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March.[11]
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 95,748 | 72.2 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 22,137 | 16.7 | |
| Republican | Stewart Cilley | 14,734 | 11.1 | |
| Total votes | 132,619 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 202,872 | 74.5 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 69,545 | 25.5 | |
| Total votes | 272,417 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui, who represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Matsui was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 67,174 | 71.4 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 15,647 | 16.6 | |
| Republican | Erik Smitt | 11,254 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 94,075 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 160,667 | 75.1 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 53,406 | 24.9 | |
| Total votes | 214,073 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 7th district is based in north central California and includes eastern Sacramento County. Incumbent Republican Dan Lungren, who represented the 3rd district from 2005 to 2013 and previously served from 1979 until 1989, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Bera received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Lungren was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 63,586 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 49,433 | 41.0 | |
| No party preference | Curt Taras | 3,854 | 3.2 | |
| Libertarian | Douglas Arthur Tuma | 3,707 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 120,580 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Lungren (R) |
Ami Bera (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO)[69] | October 25–26, 2012 | 792 (LV) | ± ?% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU)[70] | August 21–23, 2012 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tilts D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 141,241 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 132,050 | 48.3 | |
| Majority | 9,191 | 3.4 | ||
| Total votes | 273,291 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
In May 2016, Babulal Bera, Ami Bera's father, pleaded guilty to two felony counts of election fraud affecting the 2010 and 2012 elections,[71] and was convicted of illegally funneling $250,000 to his son's campaigns between 2010 and 2012.[72]
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 Results by county Cook: 50–60% Imus: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Jerry Lewis, who represented the 41st district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1983, retired.[73] The district had a PVI of R+12.
Conaway was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse a candidate in the 8th district.[80]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 12,754 | 15.6 | |
| Republican | Paul Cook | 12,517 | 15.3 | |
| Republican | Phil Liberatore | 12,277 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Jackie Conaway | 11,674 | 14.3 | |
| Republican | Brad Mitzelfelt | 8,801 | 10.8 | |
| Democratic | John Pinkerton | 7,941 | 9.7 | |
| Republican | Angela Valles | 4,924 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Ryan McEachron | 3,181 | 3.9 | |
| No party preference | Anthony Adams | 2,750 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Bill Jensen | 1,850 | 2.3 | |
| Republican | George T. Craig | 1,376 | 1.7 | |
| Republican | Joseph D. Napolitano | 1,050 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | Dennis L. Albertsen | 761 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 81,856 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Cook | 103,093 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 76,551 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 179,644 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Gill was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 45,696 | 47.8 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 38,488 | 40.2 | |
| Republican | John McDonald | 11,458 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 95,642 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry McNerney (D) |
Ricky Gill (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC)[85] | October 8–10, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill)[86] | September 30–October 2, 2012 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill)[87] | July 24–26, 2012 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-McNerney)[88] | July 8–11, 2012 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tilts D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 118,373 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 94,704 | 44.4 | |
| Majority | 23,669 | 11.2 | ||
| Total votes | 213,077 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 10th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Modesto and Tracy. Incumbent Democrat Dennis Cardoza, who represented the 18th district from 2003 to 2013, retired.[89] Incumbent Republican Jeff Denham, who represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Hernandez was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,779 | 49.2 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 26,072 | 28.0 | |
| No party preference | Chad M. Condit | 13,983 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 5,028 | 5.4 | |
| No party preference | Troy Wayne McComack | 2,114 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 92,976 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
José Hernández (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Analysis (D-Hernandez)[94] | September 29– October 1, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| DCCC (D)[95] | September 10, 2012 | 382 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[96] | August 7–9, 2012 | 751 (LV) | ± ?% | 48% | 41% | 12% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 110,265 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 98,934 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 11,331 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 209,199 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat George Miller, who represented the 7th district from 1975 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Miller received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 76,163 | 58.5 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 40,333 | 31.0 | |
| Democratic | John Fitzgerald | 9,092 | 7.0 | |
| Democratic | Cheryl Sudduth | 4,635 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 130,223 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 200,743 | 69.7 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 87,136 | 30.3 | |
| Total votes | 287,879 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Pelosi was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 89,446 | 74.9 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 16,206 | 13.6 | |
| Green | Barry Hermanson | 6,398 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | David Peterson | 3,756 | 3.1 | |
| Democratic | Summer Justice Shields | 2,146 | 1.9 | |
| Democratic | Américo Arturo Díaz | 1,499 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 119,451 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 253,709 | 85.1 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 44,478 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 298,187 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Democrat Barbara Lee, who represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Lee received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 94,709 | 83.1 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 13,502 | 11.8 | |
| Democratic | Justin Jelincic | 5,741 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 113,952 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 250,436 | 86.8 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 38,146 | 13.2 | |
| Total votes | 288,582 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Speier was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 80,850 | 74.3 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 23,299 | 21.4 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. Moloney | 4,607 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 108,756 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 203,828 | 78.9 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 54,455 | 21.1 | |
| Total votes | 258,283 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Pete Stark, who represented the 13th district from 1993 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1973, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+15.
Stark received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Swalwell won the Tri Valley Democratic Club's Straw Poll on February 20.[103]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 39,943 | 42.1 | |
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 34,347 | 36.0 | |
| No party preference | Christopher "Chris" J. Pareja | 20,618 | 21.7 | |
| Total votes | 94,908 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 120,388 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 110,646 | 47.9 | |
| Majority | 9,742 | 4.2 | ||
| Total votes | 231,034 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 25,355 | 42.7 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 15,053 | 25.3 | |
| Republican | Johnny M. Tacherra | 6,776 | 11.4 | |
| Republican | Mark Garcia | 6,529 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Loraine Goodwin | 5,703 | 9.6 | |
| Total votes | 59,416 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[49] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 84,649 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 62,801 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 21,848 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 147,450 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Democrat Mike Honda, who represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Charles Richardson ran as a Libertarian Party candidate.[97]
Honda received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Li was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 60,252 | 66.7 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 24,916 | 27.6 | |
| No party preference | Charles Richardson | 5,163 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 90,331 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 159,392 | 73.5 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 57,336 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 216,728 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Democrat Anna Eshoo, who represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election.
Eshoo was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Chapman received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 86,851 | 61.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 42,174 | 29.8 | |
| Democratic | William Parks | 6,504 | 4.6 | |
| Green | Carol Brouillet | 5,777 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 141,306 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 212,831 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 89,103 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 301,934 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Lofgren received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Murray was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 60,726 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 21,421 | 23.0 | |
| Republican | Phat Nguyen | 7,192 | 7.7 | |
| No party preference | Jay Cabrera | 3,829 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 93,168 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 162,300 | 73.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 59,313 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 221,613 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Farr: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Democrat Sam Farr, who represented the 17th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Farr was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 68,895 | 64.4 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 23,905 | 22.3 | |
| Republican | Mike LeBarre | 5,487 | 5.1 | |
| Democratic | Art Dunn | 4,095 | 3.8 | |
| Green | Eric Petersen | 2,211 | 2.1 | |
| No party preference | Robert Paul Kabat | 1,733 | 1.6 | |
| No party preference | Dan Caudle | 703 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 107,029 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 172,996 | 74.1 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 60,566 | 25.9 | |
| Total votes | 233,562 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Valadao: 50–60% 60–70% Hernandez: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. This new district had no incumbent.
Valadao was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 27,251 | 57.0 | |
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 10,575 | 22.1 | |
| Democratic | Blong Xiong | 9,990 | 20.9 | |
| Total votes | 47,816 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 67,164 | 57.8 | ||
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 49,119 | 42.2 | ||
| Majority | 18,045 | 15.6 | |||
| Total votes | 116,283 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican win (new seat) | |||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Nunes: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Republican Devin Nunes, who represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[118]
Nunes received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 67,386 | 70.6 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 28,091 | 29.4 | |
| Total votes | 95,477 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 132,386 | 61.9 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 81,555 | 38.1 | |
| Total votes | 213,941 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county McCarthy: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. House Majority Whip and Republican Kevin McCarthy, who represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
No Democrats filed.
McCarthy was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 71,109 | 72.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 17,018 | 17.3 | |
| Republican | Eric Parker | 10,414 | 10.6 | |
| Total votes | 98,541 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 158,161 | 73.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 57,842 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 216,003 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Capps: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara. Democrat Lois Capps, who represented California's 23rd congressional district from 2003 to 2013 and the 22nd district from 1998 to 2003, ran for re-election here.
Capps received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse any candidate, while the Santa Barbara County party endorsed Mitchum.[122]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 72,356 | 46.4 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 46,295 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Christopher Mitchum | 33,604 | 21.5 | |
| No party preference | Matt Boutté | 3,832 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 156,087 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lois Capps (D) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado)[124] | October 1–3, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| DCCC (D)[125] | July 23, 2012 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado)[126] | June 26–28, 2012 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tilts D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 156,749 | 55.1 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 127,746 | 44.9 | |
| Majority | 29,003 | 10.2 | ||
| Total votes | 284,495 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county McKeon: 50%–55%
55%–60% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and includes Palmdale and Santa Clarita. Republican Howard McKeon, who had represented the 25th district since 1993, ran for re-election.[127]
Rogers was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] McKeon received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[122]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 39,997 | 50.5 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 23,542 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Dante Acosta | 10,387 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Cathie Wright | 5,215 | 6.6 | |
| Total votes | 79,141 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 129,593 | 54.8 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 106,982 | 45.2 | |
| Majority | 22,611 | 9.6 | ||
| Total votes | 236,575 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and includes Oxnard and Thousand Oaks. Republican Elton Gallegly, who represented the 24th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1987, retired.[135]
At the California Democratic Party convention, held in February 2012, delegates voted to make no endorsement.[151] In March 2012, Strickland was endorsed by the California Republican Party.[122]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 49,043 | 44.1 | |
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 29,892 | 26.9 | |
| No party preference | Linda Parks | 20,301 | 18.3 | |
| Democratic | Jess Herrera | 7,244 | 6.5 | |
| Democratic | David Cruz Thayne | 2,809 | 2.5 | |
| Democratic | Alex Maxwell Goldberg | 1,880 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 111,169 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tony Strickland (R) |
Julia Brownley (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D-Brownley)[153] | July 15–19, 2012 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 139,072 | 52.7 | |
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 124,863 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 14,209 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 263,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
The 27th district is based in the San Gabriel Foothills and includes Alhambra and Pasadena. Democrat Judy Chu, who represented the 32nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[154]
Chu received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Orswell received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 50,203 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 20,868 | 24.0 | |
| Republican | Bob Duran | 15,819 | 18.2 | |
| Total votes | 86,890 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 154,191 | 64.0 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 86,817 | 36.0 | |
| Total votes | 241,008 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 28th district is based in the northern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Burbank and Glendale as well as parts of central Los Angeles. Democrat Adam Schiff, who represented the 29th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 27th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Schiff was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 42,797 | 59.0 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 12,633 | 17.4 | |
| Republican | Jenny Worman | 5,978 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Garen Mailyan | 3,749 | 5.2 | |
| Democratic | Sal Genovese | 2,829 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Massie Munroe | 2,437 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Jonathan Ryan Kalbfeld | 2,119 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 72,542 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 188,703 | 76.5 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 58,008 | 23.5 | |
| Total votes | 246,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 29th district is based in the northeastern San Fernando Valley. This new district had no incumbent.
No Republicans filed.
Cardenas received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Cardenas | 24,882 | 64.4 | |
| No party preference | David R. Hernandez | 8,382 | 21.7 | |
| Democratic | Richard Valdez | 5,379 | 13.9 | |
| Total votes | 38,643 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Cardenas | 111,287 | 74.1 | ||
| No party preference | David R. Hernandez | 38,994 | 25.9 | ||
| Total votes | 150,281 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
The 30th district is based in the western San Fernando Valley and includes Sherman Oaks. Democrat Brad Sherman, who represented the 27th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election against fellow Democrat Howard Berman, who represented the 28th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 26th district from 1983 to 2003.
At the California Democratic Party's annual convention in February 2012, Sherman received the support of more delegates than Berman, but did not reach the 60-percent threshold necessary to receive the party's endorsement.[159] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse any candidate while the Los Angeles County party endorsed Reed.[122]
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Howard Berman (D) |
Vince Gilmore (D) |
Michael Powelson (G) |
Mark Reed (R) |
Susan Shelley (R) |
Brad Sherman (D) |
Navraj Singh (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4 Strategies/Tulchin Research[160] | May 29–31, 2012 | 329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 32% | 4% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[161] | March 26–28, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 17% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 2% | 20% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[162] | August 14–18, 2011 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | — | — | 26% | — | 42% | — | 15% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 40,589 | 42.4 | |
| Democratic | Howard Berman (incumbent) | 31,086 | 32.5 | |
| Republican | Mark Reed | 11,991 | 12.5 | |
| Republican | Navraj Singh | 5,521 | 5.8 | |
| Republican | Susan Shelley | 3,878 | 4.0 | |
| Green | Michael W. Powelson | 1,976 | 2.1 | |
| Democratic | Vince Gilmore | 792 | 0.8 | |
| Total votes | 95,833 | 100.0 | ||
The campaign was one of the most expensive in the nation.[163]
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Organizations
Municipal officials
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Howard Berman (D) |
Brad Sherman (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[179] | October 22–24, 2012 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[180] | October 11–14, 2012 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 51% | 24% |
| Kimball Political Consulting (R)[181] | October 12–13, 2012 | 422 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| SurveyUSA[182] | September 18–20, 2012 | 628 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 32% | 45% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[183] | July 14–18, 2012 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 46% | 26% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[161] | March 26–28, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 51% | 23% |
| Feldman (D-Sherman)[162] | August 14–18, 2011 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 25% | 52% | 23% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 149,456 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Howard Berman (incumbent) | 98,395 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 247,851 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 31st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes San Bernardino and Rancho Cucamonga. Republicans David Dreier, who represented the 26th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1981, and Jerry Lewis, who represented the 41st district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1979, retired.[73][184] Republican Gary Miller, who represented the 42nd district from 2003 to 2013 and the 41st district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[185]
At its February 2012 convention, the California Democratic Party did not endorse a candidate in the 31st district,[10] while Miller was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[192]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Miller (incumbent) | 16,708 | 26.7 | |
| Republican | Robert Dutton | 15,557 | 24.8 | |
| Democratic | Pete Aguilar | 14,181 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Justin Kim | 8,487 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Renea Wickman | 4,188 | 6.7 | |
| Democratic | Rita Ramirez-Dean | 3,546 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 62,667 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Miller (incumbent) | 88,964 | 55.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Dutton | 72,255 | 44.8 | |
| Total votes | 161,219 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 32nd district is based in the San Gabriel Valley and includes El Monte and West Covina. Republican David Dreier, who represented the 26th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1978, retired.[184] Democrat Grace Napolitano, who represented the 38th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 34th district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[193]
Napolitano was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 24,094 | 46.1 | |
| Republican | David Miller | 21,843 | 41.8 | |
| Democratic | G. Bill Gonzalez | 6,322 | 12.1 | |
| Total votes | 52,259 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 124,903 | 65.7 | |
| Republican | David Miller | 65,208 | 34.3 | |
| Total votes | 190,111 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 33rd district is based in coastal Los Angeles County and includes Beverly Hills and Santa Monica. Democrat Henry Waxman, who represented the 30th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th and 29th districts from 1975 to 1993 and 1993 to 2003 respectively, ran for re-election here.[197]
Waxman received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse David.[199]
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Waxman (incumbent) | 51,235 | 45.3 | |
| No party preference | Bill Bloomfield | 27,850 | 24.6 | |
| Republican | Christopher David | 17,264 | 15.3 | |
| Democratic | Bruce Margolin | 5,020 | 4.4 | |
| Libertarian | Steve Collett | 4,916 | 4.3 | |
| Green | David William Steinman | 3,940 | 3.5 | |
| Democratic | Zein E. Obagi | 1,988 | 1.8 | |
| Democratic | Tim Pape | 847 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 113,060 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Waxman (incumbent) | 171,860 | 54.0 | |
| No party preference | Bill Bloomfield | 146,660 | 46.0 | |
| Majority | 25,200 | 8.0 | ||
| Total votes | 318,520 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 34th district is based in central Los Angeles and includes Chinatown and Downtown Los Angeles. Democrat Xavier Becerra, who represented the 31st district from 2003 to 2013 and the 30th district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[200]
Becerra was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xavier Becerra (incumbent) | 27,939 | 77.3 | |
| Republican | Stephen C. Smith | 5,739 | 16.0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Howard Johnson | 2,407 | 6.7 | |
| Total votes | 36,085 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xavier Becerra (incumbent) | 120,367 | 85.6 | |
| Republican | Stephen C. Smith | 20,223 | 14.4 | |
| Total votes | 140,590 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 35th district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Fontana, Ontario, and Pomona. Democrat Joe Baca, who represented the 43rd district from 2003 to 2013 and the 42nd district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election here.
Baca was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Baca (incumbent) | 15,388 | 45.0 | |
| Democratic | Gloria Negrete McLeod | 12,425 | 36.3 | |
| Green | Anthony W. Vieyra | 6,372 | 18.6 | |
| Total votes | 34,185 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gloria Negrete McLeod | 79,698 | 55.9 | |
| Democratic | Joe Baca (incumbent) | 62,982 | 44.1 | |
| Total votes | 142,680 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 36th district is based in eastern Riverside County and includes Palm Springs. Republican Mary Bono Mack, who represented the 45th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 44th district from 1998 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[202]
Ruiz received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Bono Mack was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) | 52,474 | 58.1 | |
| Democratic | Raul Ruiz | 37,847 | 41.9 | |
| Total votes | 90,321 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mary Bono Mack (R) |
Raul Ruiz (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Ruiz)[205] | October 20–22, 2012 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[206] | October 12–14, 2012 | 1,364 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Ruiz)[207] | October 2–4, 2012 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America)[208] | September 12–13, 2012 | 1,281 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Raul Ruiz | 110,189 | 52.9 | |
| Republican | Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) | 97,953 | 47.1 | |
| Majority | 12,236 | 5.8 | ||
| Total votes | 208,142 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
The 37th district is based in West Los Angeles and includes Crenshaw and Culver City. Democrat Karen Bass, who represented the 33rd district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Bass was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 54,345 | 99.9 | |
| Republican | Morgan Osborne (write-in) | 36 | 0.1 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Adam Shbeita (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
| Libertarian | Sean P. McGray (write-in) | 4 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 54,393 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 207,039 | 86.4 | |
| Republican | Morgan Osborne | 32,541 | 13.6 | |
| Total votes | 239,580 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 38th district is based in the eastern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Norwalk and Whittier. Democrat Linda Sánchez, who represented the 39th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Sánchez received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 33,223 | 56.0 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Campos | 13,363 | 22.5 | |
| Republican | Jorge Robles | 12,713 | 21.4 | |
| Total votes | 59,299 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 145,280 | 67.5 | |
| Republican | Benjamin Campos | 69,807 | 32.5 | |
| Total votes | 215,087 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 39th district straddles the Los Angeles–Orange county border and includes Chino Hills, Diamond Bar, and Fullerton. Republican Ed Royce, who represented the 40th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 39th district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[213]
Chen was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Royce (incumbent) | 62,874 | 66.3 | |
| Democratic | Jay Chen | 28,457 | 30.0 | |
| No party preference | D'Marie Mulattieri | 3,561 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 94,892 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Royce (incumbent) | 145,607 | 57.8 | |
| Democratic | Jay Chen | 106,360 | 42.2 | |
| Majority | 39,247 | 15.6 | ||
| Total votes | 251,967 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Jay Chen did much better than previous Royce opponents among the Asian American community, earning 62% of the overall Asian American vote, and 95% of the Chinese American vote.[215]
The 40th district is based in central Los Angeles County and includes Downey and East Los Angeles. Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard, who represented the 34th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 33rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[216]
No Republicans filed.
Roybal-Allard received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 16,596 | 65.4 | |
| Democratic | David Sanchez | 8,777 | 34.6 | |
| Total votes | 25,373 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 73,940 | 58.9 | |
| Democratic | David Sanchez | 51,613 | 41.1 | |
| Total votes | 125,553 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 41st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Moreno Valley, Perris, and Riverside. This new district had no incumbent.
Takano was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Tavaglione received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Tavaglione | 25,379 | 44.6 | |
| Democratic | Mark Takano | 20,860 | 36.7 | |
| Democratic | Anna Nevenic | 4,991 | 8.8 | |
| Republican | Vince Sawyer | 4,723 | 8.3 | |
| Republican | George Pearne | 956 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 56,909 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Takano (D) |
John Tavaglione (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMC Research (D-Takano)[220] | August 8–12, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Lean D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Takano | 103,578 | 59.0 | ||
| Republican | John Tavaglione | 72,074 | 41.0 | ||
| Majority | 31,504 | 18.0 | |||
| Total votes | 175,652 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
The 42nd district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Corona and Murrieta. Republican Ken Calvert, who represented the 44th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 43rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[221]
Calvert was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 35,392 | 51.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael Williamson | 9,860 | 14.3 | |
| Democratic | Cliff Smith | 7,377 | 10.7 | |
| Republican | Clayton Thibodeau | 6,374 | 9.2 | |
| Republican | Eva Johnson | 5,678 | 8.2 | |
| No party preference | Curt Novak | 4,254 | 6.2 | |
| Total votes | 68,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 130,245 | 60.6 | |
| Democratic | Michael Williamson | 84,702 | 39.4 | |
| Total votes | 214,947 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 43rd district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Hawthorne and Inglewood. Democrat Maxine Waters, who represented the 35th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 29th district from 1991 to 1993, ran for re-election here.
Waters received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 36,062 | 65.4 | |
| Democratic | Bob Flores | 19,061 | 34.6 | |
| Total votes | 55,123 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 143,123 | 71.2 | |
| Democratic | Bob Flores | 57,771 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 200,894 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 44th district is based in south Los Angeles County and includes Carson, Compton, and San Pedro. Democrat Janice Hahn, who represented the 36th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election against fellow Democrat Laura Richardson, who represented the 37th district from 2007 to 2013.[222]
In February 2012, Hahn became the officially endorsed candidate of the California Democratic Party.[223]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Janice Hahn (incumbent) | 24,843 | 60.1 | |
| Democratic | Laura Richardson (incumbent) | 16,523 | 39.9 | |
| Total votes | 41,366 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Janice Hahn (incumbent) | 99,909 | 60.2 | |
| Democratic | Laura Richardson (incumbent) | 65,989 | 39.8 | |
| Total votes | 165,898 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 45th district is based in inland Orange County and includes Irvine and Mission Viejo. Republican John Campbell, who represented the 48th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Kang was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Campbell received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Campbell (incumbent) | 54,346 | 51.0 | |
| Democratic | Sukhee Kang | 35,182 | 33.0 | |
| Republican | John Webb | 17,014 | 16.0 | |
| Total votes | 106,542 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Campbell (incumbent) | 171,417 | 58.5 | |
| Democratic | Sukhee Kang | 121,814 | 41.5 | |
| Majority | 49,603 | 17.0 | ||
| Total votes | 293,231 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 46th district is based in central Orange County and includes Anaheim and Santa Ana. Democrat Loretta Sanchez, who represented the 47th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 46th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Jorge Rocha, tax accountant[213]
Sanchez received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Hayden was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Labor unions
Organizations
| Primary election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) | 25,706 | 52.1 | |
| Republican | Jerry Hayden | 14,571 | 29.5 | |
| Republican | John J. Cullum | 5,251 | 10.6 | |
| No party preference | Jorge Rocha | 1,969 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Pat Garcia | 1,852 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 49,349 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) | 95,694 | 63.9 | |
| Republican | Jerry Hayden | 54,121 | 36.1 | |
| Total votes | 149,815 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 47th district includes Long Beach and parts of Orange County. This new district had no incumbent.
Lowenthal was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Delong received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[122]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Lowenthal | 27,356 | 33.8 | |
| Republican | Gary DeLong | 23,831 | 29.4 | |
| Republican | Steven T. Kuykendall | 8,769 | 10.8 | |
| Democratic | Peter Mathews | 7,951 | 9.8 | |
| Republican | Steve Foley | 5,848 | 7.2 | |
| Republican | Sanford W. Kahn | 2,563 | 3.2 | |
| Democratic | Usha Shah | 2,350 | 2.9 | |
| Democratic | Jay Shah | 2,273 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 80,941 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Lowenthal (D) |
Gary DeLong (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwin Simon Strategic Research[233] | August 16–18, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| DCCC (D)[234] | July 18, 2012 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Probolsky Research (R-DeLong)[235] | June 28–July 3, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Likely D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alan Lowenthal | 130,093 | 56.6 | ||
| Republican | Gary DeLong | 99,919 | 43.4 | ||
| Majority | 30,174 | 13.2 | |||
| Total votes | 230,012 | 100.0 | |||
| Democratic win (new seat) | |||||
The 48th district is based in coastal Orange County and includes Huntington Beach. Republican Dana Rohrabacher, who represented the 46th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 42nd and 45th districts from 1989 to 1993 and 1993 to 2003 respectively, ran for re-election here.[236]
Rohrabacher was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 73,302 | 66.3 | |
| Democratic | Ron Varasteh | 31,912 | 28.9 | |
| No party preference | Alan Schlar | 5,355 | 4.8 | |
| Total votes | 110,569 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 177,144 | 61.0 | |
| Democratic | Ron Varasteh | 113,358 | 39.0 | |
| Total votes | 290,502 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 49th district is based in northern San Diego County and includes Carlsbad and Oceanside. Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the 49th district since 2003 and the 48th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election.[237]
Tetalman received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Issa was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[213]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 71,329 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Tetalman | 35,816 | 30.7 | |
| No party preference | Dick Eiden | 7,988 | 6.8 | |
| No party preference | Albin Novinec | 1,626 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 116,759 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 159,725 | 58.2 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Tetalman | 114,893 | 41.8 | |
| Majority | 44,832 | 16.4 | ||
| Total votes | 274,618 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The 50th district is based in inland San Diego County and includes Escondido and Santee. Republican Duncan D. Hunter, who represented the 52nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[237]
Hunter received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 76,818 | 67.4 | |
| Democratic | David B. Secor | 19,142 | 16.8 | |
| Democratic | Connie Frankowiak | 8,553 | 7.5 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Benoit | 6,160 | 5.4 | |
| Republican | Terri Linnell | 3,275 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 113,948 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 174,838 | 67.7 | |
| Democratic | David B. Secor | 83,455 | 32.3 | |
| Total votes | 258,293 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
The new 51st district runs along the border with Mexico and includes Imperial County and San Diego. Democrat Bob Filner, who represented the 51st district from 2003 to 2013 and the 50th district from 1993 until 2003, retired to run for mayor of San Diego.[242]
Vargas was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Gionis received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Vargas was predicted to face fellow Democratic state senator Denise Moreno Ducheny in the general election, but he spent some of his funds on mailers to help Republican Michael Crimmins, who he preferred to face in the general election in this heavily Democratic seat. Vargas spent $40–50,000 helping Crimmins, at least eight times more than Crimmins spent himself.[246] The effort was successful as Crimmins finished 2,909 votes ahead of Ducheny.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Juan Vargas | 30,143 | 46.0 | |
| Republican | Michael Crimmins | 13,016 | 19.9 | |
| Democratic | Denise Moreno Ducheny | 10,107 | 15.4 | |
| Republican | Xanthi Gionis | 4,487 | 6.8 | |
| Democratic | John Brooks | 3,290 | 5.0 | |
| Democratic | Daniel C. "Danny" Ramirez | 2,794 | 4.3 | |
| Republican | Bernard Portley | 1,667 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 65,504 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
Vargas won the general election in a landslide.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Juan Vargas | 113,934 | 71.5 | |
| Republican | Michael Crimmins | 45,464 | 28.5 | |
| Total votes | 159,398 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
The 52nd district is based in coastal San Diego and includes La Jolla and Poway. Republican Brian Bilbray, who represented the 50th district from 2006 to 2013 and previously served from 1995 until 2001, ran for re-election here.[244]
At its February 2012 convention, the California Democratic Party declined to endorse a candidate for the 52nd district.[10] Bilbray was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Bilbray (incumbent) | 61,930 | 41.0 | |
| Democratic | Scott Peters | 34,106 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Lori Saldaña | 33,387 | 22.1 | |
| No party preference | Jack Doyle | 6,138 | 4.1 | |
| Republican | John K. Stahl | 5,502 | 3.6 | |
| Republican | Wayne Iverson | 4,476 | 3.0 | |
| Democratic | Shirley Decourt-Park | 2,368 | 1.6 | |
| No party preference | Ehab T. Shehata | 1,156 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | John L. Subka | 1,091 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Gene Hamilton Carswell | 828 | 0.5 | |
| Total votes | 150,982 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Brian Bilbray | Scott Peters | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2012 | San Diego Union-Tribune | Michael Smolens | [253] | P | P |
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Bilbray (R) |
Scott Peters (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[254] | October 28–30, 2012 | 628 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Grove Insight (D-Peters)[255] | October 19–21, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Glover Park Group/University of San Diego/U-T San Diego[256] | October 14–17, 2012 | 374 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 38% | 13% |
| Grove Insight (D-Peters)[257] | July 16–18, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 40% | 19% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[50] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[51] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[53] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[55] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Scott Peters | 151,451 | 51.2 | |
| Republican | Brian Bilbray (incumbent) | 144,495 | 48.8 | |
| Majority | 6,956 | 2.4 | ||
| Total votes | 295,946 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
The 53rd district is based in Central San Diego and includes La Mesa and Lemon Grove. Democrat Susan Davis, who had represented the 53rd district since 2003 and previously represented the 49th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[155]
Davis received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 70,462 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Nick Popaditch | 51,423 | 42.2 | |
| Republican | Joel A. Marchese (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
| Republican | John R. Edwards (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 121,895 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 164,825 | 61.4 | |
| Republican | Nick Popaditch | 103,482 | 38.6 | |
| Total votes | 268,307 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
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