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The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek re-election for a third consecutive term.
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| Turnout | 57.52%  17.30pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeWine: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Cordray: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Tie: 40–50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. senator Mike DeWine, while Democrats nominated former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio attorney general Richard Cordray. This was the second contest between DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 attorney general election, which DeWine won, 47.5% to 46.3%.
In 2018, DeWine defeated Cordray 50.4% to 46.7%, in what was considered a minor upset. Despite Cordray's loss, he became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win Cincinnati's Hamilton County since Dick Celeste in 1982. Likewise, DeWine became the first Republican to win in the historically Democratic Monroe County in a gubernatorial election since 2002 as the county took a sharp turn to the right. With Democratic senator Sherrod Brown winning re-election in the same year, this was the first election since 1974 in which Ohio simultaneously voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of opposite parties.
DeWine and Husted took office on January 14, 2019.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine |
Mary Taylor |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 323 | – | 52% | 24% | – | 25% |
| Remington Research Group (R-Taylor) | April 10, 2018 | 1,064 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 32% | – | 26% |
| Fallon Research | April 4–7, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 26% | – | 31% |
| SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 541 | ± 5.8% | 50% | 18% | – | 31% |
| TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Archived 2018-03-03 at the Wayback Machine | February 17, 2018 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
| 35% | 16% | 15% | 33% | ||||
| Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 286 | – | 54% | 14% | – | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine |
Jon Husted |
Jim Renacci |
Mary Taylor |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axis Research (R-Taylor) | August 13–15, 2017 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 36% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 19% |
| The Tarrance Group (R) | July 24–26, 2017 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 18% | 5% | 11% | 24% |
| 49% | 29% | – | – | 21% | ||||
| Luntz Global | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 27% | 13% | 3% | 8% | – |
| Gravis Marketing | April 27 – May 2, 2017 | 686 | ± 2.7% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 40% |
| The Tarrance Group (R) | January 23–26, 2017 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 18% | 4% | 10% | 22% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike DeWine | 494,766 | 59.8 | |
| Republican | Mary Taylor | 332,273 | 40.2 | |
| Total votes | 827,039 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Cordray |
Dennis Kucinich |
Bill O'Neill |
Connie Pillich |
Joe Schiavoni |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 333 | – | 31% | 15% | 6% | – | 6% | – | 41% |
| Fallon Research | April 4–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 28% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 1%[upper-alpha 1] | 51% |
| SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.3% | 21% | 21% | 4% | 5% | – | 3%[upper-alpha 2] | 46% |
| Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 248 | – | 23% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 4% | – | 52% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Cordray |
Connie Pillich |
Joe Schiavoni |
Betty Sutton |
Nan Whaley |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luntz Global | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 21% | 10% | – |
| Gravis Marketing | April 27 – May 2, 2017 | 558 | ± 2.7% | – | 8% | 12% | 13% | – | 67% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Richard Cordray | 423,264 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | Dennis Kucinich | 155,694 | 22.9 | |
| Democratic | Joe Schiavoni | 62,315 | 9.2 | |
| Democratic | Bill O'Neill | 22,196 | 3.3 | |
| Democratic | Paul Ray | 9,373 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Larry Ealy | 6,896 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 679,738 | 100.0 | ||
| Host network/sponsors |
Location | Date | Link(s) | Possible Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Cordray (D) |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Travis Irvine (L) | Constance Gadell-Newton (G) | ||||
| WHIO-TV | University of Dayton | September 19, 2018 | [184] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
| WCMH-TV | Marietta College | October 1, 2018 | [185] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
| Ohio Debate Commission | Cleveland State University | October 8, 2018 | [186] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[188] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[189] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[190] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[191] | Tossup | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[192] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[193] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[194] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[195][lower-alpha 1] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[196] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[197] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Richard Cordray (D) |
Travis Irvine (L) |
Constance Gadell- Newton (G) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 923 | – | 43% | 48% | 5% | 1% | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,948 | ± 2.2% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R) | October 30–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2018 | 789 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 48% | – | – | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 566 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 3% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | October 19–27, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 2% | – | 16% |
| 41% | 42% | – | – | – | 17% | ||||
| Suffolk University Archived 2018-11-07 at the Wayback Machine | October 4–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0%[upper-alpha 3] | 10% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | September 8 – October 8, 2018 | 1,017 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 37% | 4% | 3% | – | 15% |
| 42% | 39% | – | – | – | 19% | ||||
| University of Akron | September 10 – October 4, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 36% | – | – | – | 27% |
| Ipsos | September 13–21, 2018 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | September 18–20, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
| Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 6% |
| 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
| 796 RV | ± 4.2% | 42% | 43% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 6% | ||
| 47% | 47% | – | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
| Baldwin Wallace University | September 5–15, 2018 | 1,048 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 37% | – | – | – | 21% |
| Morning Consult | September 2–11, 2018 | 1,592 | ± 2.0% | 39% | 38% | – | – | – | 23% |
| Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) | August 31 – September 4, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 6% | 3% | – | – |
| 43% | 43% | – | – | – | 14% | ||||
| TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) Archived 2018-07-16 at the Wayback Machine | June 30 – July 10, 2018 | 1,485 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | – | – | 3% | 17% |
| Marist College | June 17–22, 2018 | 778 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | – | 2% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2018 | 1,082 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | – | – | 2% | 14% |
| Suffolk University Archived 2018-07-29 at the Wayback Machine | June 6–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 43% | – | 3% | 2% | 16% |
| America First Action (R) | May 29–31, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 38% | – | – | – | 10% |
| Fallon Research | May 21–25, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 34% | – | 1% | 3%[upper-alpha 4] | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | May 6–7, 2018 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 44% | – | – | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | April 25–26, 2018 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 47% | – | – | – | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 39% | – | – | – | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | January 22–23, 2018 | 585 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | 11% |
| Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 801 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 28% | – | – | – | 23% |
| Luntz Global | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 31% | – | – | – | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Dennis Kucinich (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 38% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | January 22–23, 2018 | 585 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 37% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike DeWine (R) |
Connie Pillich (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | January 22–23, 2018 | 585 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jon Husted (R) |
Richard Cordray (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luntz Global | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin Wallace University | February 28 – March 9, 2018 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 32% | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike DeWine | 2,235,825 | 50.39% | −13.25% | |
| Democratic | Richard Cordray | 2,070,046 | 46.68% | +13.65% | |
| Libertarian | Travis Irvine | 79,985 | 1.81% | N/A | |
| Green | Constance Gadell-Newton | 49,475 | 1.12% | −2.21% | |
| Write-in | Renea Turner (write-in) | 185 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Write-in | Richard Duncan (write-in) | 132 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Write-in | Rebecca Ayres (write-in) | 41 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 4,429,582 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
DeWine won 12 of 16 congressional districts.[198]
| District | DeWine | Cordray | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52.15% | 45.14% | Steve Chabot |
| 2nd | 54.33% | 42.65% | Brad Wenstrup |
| 3rd | 27.46% | 70.09% | Joyce Beatty |
| 4th | 62.14% | 34.23% | Jim Jordan |
| 5th | 58.32% | 38.31% | Bob Latta |
| 6th | 64.34% | 32.81% | Bill Johnson |
| 7th | 59.45% | 37.16% | Bob Gibbs |
| 8th | 64.37% | 32.45% | Warren Davidson |
| 9th | 35.31% | 61.33% | Marcy Kaptur |
| 10th | 52.11% | 44.87% | Mike Turner |
| 11th | 18.43% | 79.5% | Marcia Fudge |
| 12th | 52.41% | 45.24% | Troy Balderson |
| 13th | 40.37% | 56.56% | Tim Ryan |
| 14th | 51.98% | 45.18% | David Joyce |
| 15th | 52.64% | 44.64% | Steve Stivers |
| 16th | 53.71% | 43.38% | Anthony Gonzalez |
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