Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus in 2025 under the terms of the constitution. The president is directly elected to serve a five-year term.
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Background
Mass protests erupted following the disputed outcome of the 2020 presidential elections in which incumbent Alexander Lukashenko claimed victory. Opposition candidate Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya subsequently claimed to have received between 60 and 70% of the vote and asked the international community to recognise her as the winner of the election.[1][2][3]
On 17 August 2020 Lukashenko stated that the next presidential election could be held earlier than 2025 if a new constitution were to be adopted.[4] Tsikhanouskaya stated that she was ready to lead a transitional government and to hold early elections under international supervision.[5][6] Lukashenko also said that he will resign if a new constitution is adopted.[7]
On 15 August 2024 independent media reported (citing BELPOL, an NGO consisting of ex-police and military personnel) that the government was planning to hold the next presidential election on 23 February 2025.[8]
Candidates
On 25 February 2024, on the day of parliamentary elections, Alexander Lukashenko announced his intention of running for a seventh term in 2025.[9] However, in July of that same year, Lukashenko said that he would probably step down that year.[10]
Opinion polls
| Date | Agency | Viktar Babaryka | Alexander Lukashenko | Pavel Latushko | Valery Tsepkalo | Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | Syarhey Rumas | Sergei Tikhanovsky | Maria Kalesnikava | Vladimir Makei | Zianon Pazniak | Andrey Dmitriyeu | Anatol Liabedzka | Vladimir Karanik | Maxim Znak | Veranika Tsapkala | Natalya Kochanova | Yury Karayeu | Kirill Rudy | Ivonka Survilla | Mikola Statkevich | Paval Sieviaryniec | Roman Golovchenko | Oleg Gaidukevich | Maksim Bogrecov |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-10 Nov 2021 | Chatham House | 19% | 27% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 30% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 4% | |||||||||||||||||
| 23 Jul - 3 Aug 2021 | Chatham House | 22% | 27% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | - | - | - | - |
| 33% | 28% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ||||||||||||||
| 20-30 Apr 2021 | Chatham House | 25% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | - | - | - | - |
| 33% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | ||||||||||||||
| 12 Jan - 8 Feb 2021 | Ecoom | 2.5% | 66.5% | 1.3% | - | 1.5% | 0.4% | - | - | 2.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4.4% | - | - | - | - | - | 3.8% | 1.9% | - |
| 14-20 Jan 2021 | Chatham House | 28.8% | 27.4% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | - | - | 2.1% | 1.0% | - | - | - |
| 35.3% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |||||
| 13-18 Nov 2020 | Chatham House | 31.7% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | - | - | - | - | - |
| 38.2% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
See also
References
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