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The 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma.[1] Incumbent senator James Lankford won re-election to a second full term, defeating cybersecurity professional Madison Horn (no relation to former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn, who ran for the concurrent special election to the Class II seat) in a landslide, winning all 77 counties with more than 50% of the vote in each.
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  Lankford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Horn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Lankford was first elected in 2014 special election with 68% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Tom Coburn.[2] He won re-election to a first full term in 2016 with 68% of the vote.[3]
The primary elections for the Republican, Democratic, and Libertarian parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022, with runoffs taking place on August 23, 2022.[1] All candidates had to file between the days of April 13–15, 2022.[1]
Despite his comfortable victory, with slightly over 64% of the vote received this was Lankford's worst performance in his career, as in each of his previous two elections he won nearly 68%. This also marked the best performance by a Democratic candidate since 2004 in the Class III seat.
On March 16, 2021, Jackson Lahmeyer announced his campaign for the Republican nomination for United States Senate seat held by James Lankford. While Lankford had not formally announced, he was expected to run for reelection.[4] On April 6, Lankford officially announced he would seek reelection in an interview with the Tulsa World.[5] The Oklahoman reported that Joan Farr announced her candidacy for the Oklahoma and Kansas U.S. Senate seats sometime in August.[6] On September 28, state senator Nathan Dahm announced his campaign for Lankford's seat.[6] In November the Tulsa World reported that Jessica Jean Garrison, the daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison, would also campaign in the contested Republican primary.[7] On February 28, 2022, Nathan Dahm announced he had switched his campaign to the special election in the Class 2 seat.[8] Jessica Jean Garrison also switched her campaign to the special election when filing. Lankford won the June primary with 67% of the vote.[9]
James Lankford and Jackson Lahmeyer courted the endorsement of Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States, but Trump did not endorse a candidate prior to the primary.[10][11]
On June 29, 2021, Lankford's campaign published its supposed endorsement by state representative Kevin McDugle. McDugle later went on social media claiming to have never made the endorsement; Lankford's campaign subsequently removed his name from their endorsement list.[12]
The Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma offered to host a debate for the Republican primary. Invitations were extended to candidates Jackson Lahmeyer and James Lankford, but Lankford refused the invitation.[52]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Joan Farr |
Jackson Lahmeyer |
James Lankford | |||||
| 1 | Cancelled | Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma | - | - | N | I | I |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joan Farr |
Jackson Lahmeyer |
James Lankford |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amber Integrated (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 12% | 68% | – | 15% |
| SoonerPoll | April 25 – May 11, 2022 | 306 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | 8% | 74% | – | 16% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | March 24–27, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 10% | 63% | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | 24% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | December 15–19, 2021 | 253 (RV) | ± 6.2% | – | 8% | 56% | 12%[lower-alpha 3] | 24% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 29 – October 3, 2021 | 253 (RV) | ± 6.2% | – | 21% | 62% | 4%[lower-alpha 4] | 12% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Lankford (incumbent) | 243,132 | 67.83% | |
| Republican | Jackson Lahmeyer | 94,572 | 26.38% | |
| Republican | Joan Farr | 20,761 | 5.79% | |
| Total votes | 358,465 | 100.0% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madison Horn | 60,691 | 37.19% | |
| Democratic | Jason Bollinger | 27,374 | 16.77% | |
| Democratic | Dennis Baker | 22,467 | 13.77% | |
| Democratic | Jo Glenn | 21,198 | 12.99% | |
| Democratic | Brandon Wade | 19,986 | 12.25% | |
| Democratic | Arya Azma | 11,478 | 7.03% | |
| Total votes | 163,194 | 100.0% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madison Horn | 60,929 | 65.48% | |
| Democratic | Jason Bollinger | 32,121 | 34.52% | |
| Total votes | 93,050 | 100.0% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[62] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[63] | Solid R | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] | Safe R | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico[65] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[66] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[67] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[68] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[69] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[70] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
James Lankford (R) |
Madison Horn (D) |
Other [lower-alpha 5] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | September 15 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 56.9% | 34.9% | 8.2% | Lankford +22.0 |
| 270towin | October 11 - November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 54.3% | 36.8% | 8.9% | Lankford +17.5 |
| Average | 55.6% | 35.8% | 8.6% | Lankford +19.8 | ||
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
James Lankford (R) |
Madison Horn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascend Action (R) | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 56% | 36% | 3%[lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 38% | 7%[lower-alpha 7] | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 33% | 3%[lower-alpha 8] | 8% |
| 62% | 34% | 4%[lower-alpha 9] | – | ||||
| Ascend Action (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 35% | 5%[lower-alpha 10] | 9% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 36% | 7%[lower-alpha 11] | 4% |
| Ascend Action (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 37% | 3%[lower-alpha 12] | 9% |
| SoonerPoll | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 2%[lower-alpha 13] | 6% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 34% | – | 14% |
| –(L)[lower-alpha 14] | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 27% | 11%[lower-alpha 15] | 13% |
| SoonerPoll | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 35% | 4%[lower-alpha 16] | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 59% | 29% | – | 12% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Lankford (incumbent) | 739,960 | 64.30% | −3.44% | |
| Democratic | Madison Horn | 369,370 | 32.10% | +7.52% | |
| Independent | Michael Delaney | 20,907 | 1.82% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Kenneth Blevins | 20,495 | 1.78% | −1.22% | |
| Total votes | 1,150,732 | 100.0% | |||
| Turnout | 1,150,732 | 50.12% | |||
| Registered electors | 2,295,906 | ||||
| Republican hold | |||||
Lankford won all 5 congressional districts.[82]
| District | Lankford | Horn | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59.0% | 37.6% | Kevin Hern |
| 2nd | 73.3% | 23.3% | Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) |
| Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
| 3rd | 70.1% | 26.2% | Frank Lucas |
| 4th | 63.1% | 33.0% | Tom Cole |
| 5th | 57.6% | 38.9% | Stephanie Bice |
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