From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in a landslide,[1] and defeated the Democratic Party nominee, Charlie Crist, who served as governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican and later as an independent. No Democrat has been elected governor of Florida since 1994.[2][3][4]
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 53.6% 9.0 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
  DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
With 59.4 percent of the vote, DeSantis won the largest margin of victory in a Florida gubernatorial election since 1982.[5] Significantly, DeSantis won Miami-Dade County, which had been considered a Democratic stronghold and had last voted Republican in 2002, and Palm Beach County, which had not voted Republican since 1986.[6][7] Crist conceded the election shortly after DeSantis was projected as the winner.[8]
According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans.[9] DeSantis's large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006. This was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His 19.4% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history, compared to 0.4% four years earlier. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over a million votes.[10][11]
Significantly, Crist's 39.9% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won all other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters.[9][12] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all-time record for a gubernatorial candidate.[13]
The election was described as marking the transition from Florida being a swing state into a solid red state.[14][15]
To qualify for the ballot in Florida, partisan candidates must first file with the Division of Elections of the Florida Department of State. After filing, a candidate must then qualify for the ballot by a deadline by either paying qualifying fees totaling 6% of the salary of the position sought, or obtaining sufficiently many signatures. Not all candidates who filed to run for governor subsequently qualified to appear on the ballot.[16]
U.S. senators
Organizations
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Individuals
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Charlie Crist |
Nikki Fried |
Other [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[125] | February 7 – June 17, 2022 | June 20, 2022 | 40.0% | 23.3% | 36.7% | Crist +16.7 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist |
Nikki Fried |
Annette Taddeo |
Other | Undecided | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[126] | August 20–21, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 59% | 30% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Change Research (D)[127][A] | August 12–14, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| University of North Florida[128] | August 8–12, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 43% | 47% | – | 5%[c] | 6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[129][B] | August 8–9, 2022 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | – | – | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pete Polls[130] | August 2–3, 2022 | 1,361 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 24% | – | – | 20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GBAO (D)[131][A] | July 27–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | – | – | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kaplan Strategies[132] | July 6, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 39% | – | – | 22% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GBAO (D)[133][A] | June 23–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 34% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pete Polls[134] | June 16–17, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 24% | – | – | 27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Global Strategy Group (D)[135][B] | June 8–13, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Taddeo withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pete Polls[136] | May 2–3, 2022 | 1,859 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 19% | 5% | – | 24% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sachs Media Group[137] | April 8–10, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 35% | 20% | 4% | – | 41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| University of North Florida[138] | February 7–20, 2022 | 271 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 8%[d] | 44% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon[139] | February 7–10, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 27% | 3% | – | 26% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alvarado Strategies (R)[140][C] | February 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 25% | 6% | 10% | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GBAO (D)[141][A] | January 26–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 28% | 7% | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 56% | 33% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[142][B] | January 26–27, 2022 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[143][B] | August 10–11, 2021 | 274 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 33% | 36% | – | – | 31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[144] | August 4–10, 2021 | 245 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 38% | 27% | – | 5% | 30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Political Matrix (R)[145] | June 9–11, 2021 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 31% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pete Polls[146] | May 24–26, 2021 | 2,752 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 55% | 22% | – | 11% | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Victory Insights (R)[147] | May 4, 2021 | 232 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 53% | 30% | – | 17%[e] | – | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SEA Polling (D)[148][D] | April 15–20, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 26% | 13% | – | 34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Crist | 904,524 | 59.71% | |
| Democratic | Nicole "Nikki" Fried | 535,480 | 35.35% | |
| Democratic | Cadance Daniel | 38,198 | 2.52% | |
| Democratic | Robert L. Willis | 36,786 | 2.43% | |
| Total votes | 1,513,180 | 100.0% | ||
In June 2022, Politico released a shortlist of 18 people who Crist was considering as his running mate.[150] On August 26, four days after Crist won the gubernatorial primary, CBS News reported that he had selected Karla Hernández-Mats, one of the people on the Politico shortlist.[151]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Ron DeSantis | Charlie Crist | |||||
| 1 | October 24, 2022 | WPEC-TV | Liz Quirantes | YouTube[167] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[168] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[169] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[170] | Safe R | October 31, 2022 |
| Politico[171] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[172] | Lean R | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[173] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[174] | Solid R | October 18, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[175] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Individuals
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other [f] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[196] | October 17 – November 6, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.4% | 42.2% | 3.4% | DeSantis +12.2 |
| FiveThirtyEight[197] | October 30, 2022 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.5% | 42.4% | 3.0% | DeSantis +12.1 |
| 270 to win[198] | November 4–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.0% | 41.8% | 4.2% | DeSantis +12.2 |
| Average | 54.3% | 42.1% | 3.6% | DeSantis +12.2 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[199] | November 6–7, 2022 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| Research Co.[200] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 41% | 2%[g] | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D)[201] | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,436 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 42% | 2%[h] | – |
| Amber Integrated (R)[202] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 40% | 4%[i] | 4% |
| Civiqs[203] | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1%[j] | 1% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[204][E] | November 1, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 43% | 1%[k] | 3% |
| Siena College[205] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 42% | – | 3% |
| Victory Insights[206] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 41% | – | 5% |
| Florida State University/YouGov[207] | October 20–31, 2022 | 1,117 (RV) | – | 53% | 43% | – | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[208] | October 27–28, 2022 | 633 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
| University of North Florida[209] | October 17–24, 2022 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 55% | 41% | 2%[l] | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D)[210] | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,251 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | 1%[m] | 2% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[211][F] | October 13–23, 2022 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
| Stetson University[212] | October 16–20, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 45% | – | 2% |
| Florida Atlantic University[213] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 40% | 4%[n] | 5% |
| YouGov[214][G] | October 11–16, 2022 | 832 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 43% | 4% | – |
| Sachs Media[215] | October 15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
| RMG Research (R)[216][H] | October 10–13, 2022 | 685 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
| African American Research Collaborative (D)[217][I] | October 4–11, 2022 | 1,250 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[218] | September 26–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[219][J] | September 22–27, 2022 | 2,860 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[220] | September 21, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
| Siena College[221] | September 18–25, 2022 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2%[o] | 7% |
| Civiqs[222] | September 17–20, 2022 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 45% | 1%[p] | 2% |
| Suffolk University[223] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 5%[q] | 7% |
| Sachs Media[224] | September 10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | – | 4% |
| Survey Monkey (D)[225][K] | September 9–10, 2022 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| 563 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% | ||
| Echelon Insights[226] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 42% | – | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[227][E] | September 5–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[228] | August 29 – September 4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[229] | August 29 – September 2, 2022 | 362 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 41% | – | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[230] | August 24–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[231][J] | August 25–30, 2022 | 3,017 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Impact Research (D)[232][L] | August 12–18, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[233][F] | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
| University of North Florida[234] | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 42% | 6% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[235][J] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[236] | May 27 – June 4, 2022 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[237][M] | Mid-May 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
| Phillips Academy[238] | May 7–9, 2022 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 36% | 35% | – | 30% |
| Saint Leo University[239] | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[240] | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
| University of North Florida[241] | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 34% | – | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[139] | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
| Suffolk University[242] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 8% |
| St. Pete Polls[243] | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 45% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244] | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 5% | 9% |
| 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 40% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Saint Leo University[245] | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 35% | – | 18% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[246][N] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 39% | 2% | 12% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[247] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[248] | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
| RMG Research[249] | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[250] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 5% | 9% |
| 977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 5% | 8% | |||
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[251] | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 57% | – | – |
| Change Research (D)[252][O] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[144] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[253][F] | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
| St. Pete Polls[254] | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[255] | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[256][F] | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
| Victory Insights (R)[147] | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[257] | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Nikki Fried (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Communications (R)[233][F] | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
| University of North Florida[258] | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | 5% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[235][J] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| Saint Leo University[259] | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 27% | – | 22% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[240] | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
| University of North Florida[260] | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 32% | – | 12% |
| Mason-Dixon[139] | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
| Suffolk University[242] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 0% | 9% |
| St. Pete Polls[243] | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244] | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 35% | 4% | 8% |
| 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 37% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Saint Leo University[245] | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 33% | – | 21% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[246][N] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 36% | 5% | 11% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[248] | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| RMG Research[249] | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 38% | – | 21% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[250] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
| 977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 3% | 10% | |||
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[251] | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Change Research (D)[252][O] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[144] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
| Cherry Communications (R)[253][F] | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| St. Pete Polls[254] | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[255] | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[256][F] | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
| Victory Insights (R)[147] | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls[261] | March 22–24, 2021 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Mason-Dixon[257] | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis (R) |
Annette Taddeo (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Leo University[262] | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 30% | 22% |
| Mason-Dixon[139] | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| Saint Leo University[245] | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat
Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ron DeSantis (incumbent) Jeanette Nuñez (incumbent) |
4,614,210 | 59.37% | +9.78% | |
| Democratic | Charlie Crist Karla Hernandez |
3,106,313 | 39.97% | −9.22% | |
| Independent | Carmen Jackie Gimenez Kyle "KC" Gibson |
31,577 | 0.41% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Hector Roos Jerry "Tub" Rorabaugh |
19,299 | 0.25% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 7,771,399 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Turnout | 7,796,916 | 53.76% | |||
| Registered electors | 14,503,978 | ||||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DeSantis won 22 of 28 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[267]
| District | DeSantis | Crist | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 73% | 26% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 61% | 38% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 64% | 35% | Kat Cammack |
| 4th | 60% | 39% | Aaron Bean |
| 5th | 65% | 34% | John Rutherford |
| 6th | 68% | 31% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 60% | 39% | Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress) |
| Cory Mills (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 65% | 35% | Bill Posey |
| 9th | 50% | 49% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 41% | 58% | Val Demings (117th Congress) |
| Maxwell Frost (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 63% | 37% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 69% | 30% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 58% | 41% | Anna Paulina Luna |
| 14th | 47% | 52% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 59% | 40% | Laurel Lee |
| 16th | 61% | 38% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 64% | 35% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 69% | 30% | Scott Franklin |
| 19th | 69% | 30% | Byron Donalds |
| 20th | 30% | 69% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
| 21st | 62% | 37% | Brian Mast |
| 22nd | 48% | 51% | Lois Frankel |
| 23rd | 50% | 49% | Jared Moskowitz |
| 24th | 31% | 68% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 47% | 52% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 26th | 70% | 29% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 27th | 58% | 41% | María Elvira Salazar |
| 28th | 64% | 36% | Carlos A. Giménez |
| Demographic subgroup | Crist | DeSantis | % of voters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 35 | 64 | 49 | |
| Women | 46 | 53 | 51 | |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 54 | 44 | 7 | |
| 25–29 years old | 56 | 41 | 4 | |
| 30–39 years old | 52 | 47 | 13 | |
| 40–49 years old | 38 | 60 | 12 | |
| 50–64 years old | 36 | 63 | 32 | |
| 65 and older | 36 | 64 | 32 | |
| Race | ||||
| White | 34 | 65 | 64 | |
| Black | 86 | 13 | 11 | |
| Latino | 40 | 58 | 21 | |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 27 | 72 | 32 | |
| White women | 40 | 58 | 32 | |
| Black men | 81 | 19 | 5 | |
| Black women | 91 | 9 | 6 | |
| Latino men | 41 | 57 | 10 | |
| Latina women | 39 | 60 | 11 | |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 33 | 67 | 15 | |
| Some college education | 41 | 58 | 25 | |
| Associate degree | 40 | 59 | 19 | |
| Bachelor's degree | 43 | 56 | 24 | |
| Advanced degree | 44 | 55 | 17 | |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 95 | 5 | 28 | |
| Republicans | 2 | 97 | 42 | |
| Independents | 45 | 53 | 30 | |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 90 | 10 | 20 | |
| Moderates | 53 | 45 | 39 | |
| Conservatives | 6 | 94 | 42 | |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 38 | 62 | 59 | |
| Unmarried | 50 | 50 | 41 | |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 32 | 68 | 30 | |
| Married women | 44 | 55 | 29 | |
| Unmarried men | 49 | 51 | 18 | |
| Unmarried women | 50 | 49 | 23 | |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 41 | 59 | 11 | |
| No | 43 | 57 | 89 | |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Crime | 35 | 63 | 10 | |
| Inflation | 26 | 74 | 39 | |
| Gun policy | 62 | 36 | 10 | |
| Immigration | 12 | 88 | 10 | |
| Abortion | 80 | 19 | 24 | |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 43 | 56 | 46 | |
| Suburban | 40 | 58 | 44 | |
| Rural | 30 | 70 | 10 | |
| Source: CNN[268] | ||||
According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans.[269] DeSantis' large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006; this was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His near 20% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over one million votes.
Significantly, Crist's 40% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won the other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters.[269][270] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all-time record for a gubernatorial candidate.[271]
Partisan clients
Seamless Wikipedia browsing. On steroids.
.jpg)
.jpg)