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The 2006 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Governor Jeb Bush was term-limited, and could not run for reelection to a third consecutive term. The election was won by then-Republican Charlie Crist, the state's Attorney General. The election was notable in that for the first time, the state elected a Republican governor in three consecutive elections.
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Turnout | 46.8%8.5[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout for the 2006 election was down 8.5% from 2002 and down 2.7% from 1998.[2] With Republicans holding the seat, the state's governorship avoided being part of the wave in which Democrats netted a gain of six governorships across the nation.[3] This remains the last time that Charlie Crist won a statewide election in Florida as well as the last election that he ran as a Republican. This was the last time until 2022 that anyone was elected governor with a majority of the vote. As of 2024, this is the last time Florida simultaneously elected a United States Senate candidate and a gubernatorial candidate of different political parties.
Jim Davis won the Democratic primary on September 5. Davis was the Congressman from Florida's 11th congressional district and served in the Florida House of Representatives, where he also served as the Majority Leader. On September 13, Davis selected former state senator and 2002 gubernatorial candidate Daryl Jones of Miami as his running mate.
The Democratic primary turned heated as it approached primary day. Rod Smith attacked Jim Davis for a 1990 legislative vote denying restitution for two black men wrongfully imprisoned for murder.[4] Davis countered that Smith was a "pawn" of the sugar industry, and that "big business" and special interests were funding many of Smith's attack ads.[4]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Davis | 405,879 | 47.32% | |
Democratic | Rod Smith | 353,161 | 41.17% | |
Democratic | Carol Castagnero | 45,161 | 5.267% | |
Democratic | Glenn Burkett | 32,984 | 3.85% | |
Democratic | John M. Crotty | 20,629 | 2.40% | |
Total votes | 857,814 | 100.00% |
Charlie Crist, the Republican candidate, won the primary on September 5 with 64% of the vote.[20] Crist was Florida's Attorney General at the time. Previously he was elected State Education Commissioner, and has served in the Florida Senate. He faced Bob Graham for his seat in the United States Senate in 1998. On September 13, 2006, Crist announced that State Representative Jeff Kottkamp of Cape Coral would be his running mate.
The GOP primary did not end up being very competitive. Crist touted experience in statewide offices, and a strong fundraising capability. He portrayed himself as relatively moderate on social issues, which created some misgivings among conservative Republicans in the state, but not nearly enough to sway the vote to Tom Gallagher.[4]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Charlie Crist | 630,816 | 63.98% | |
Republican | Tom Gallagher | 330,165 | 33.49% | |
Republican | Vernon Palmer | 13,547 | 1.37% | |
Republican | Michael W. St. Jean | 11,458 | 1.16% | |
Total votes | 985,986 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[37] | Lean R | November 6, 2006 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[38] | Lean R | November 6, 2006 |
Rothenberg Political Report[39] | Likely R | November 2, 2006 |
Real Clear Politics[40] | Lean R | November 6, 2006 |
Source | Date | Crist (R) | Davis (D) |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA[41] | November 6, 2006 | 49% | 47% |
Strategic Vision[42] | November 6, 2006 | 51% | 44% |
Orlando Sentinel[43] | November 3, 2006 | 50% | 43% |
Mason-Dixon[44] | November 3, 2006 | 50% | 43% |
Strategic Vision[45] | November 2, 2006 | 50% | 44% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | October 31, 2006 | 49.9% | 45.1% |
St. Petersburg Times[47] | October 28, 2006 | 48% | 42% |
Rasmussen[48] | October 26, 2006 | 52% | 41% |
Strategic Vision[49] | October 25, 2006 | 51% | 42% |
Quinnipiac[50] | October 23, 2006 | 46% | 44% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | October 19, 2006 | 50.2% | 41% |
Rasmussen[48] | October 18, 2006 | 46% | 41% |
Rasmussen[51] | October 2, 2006 | 54% | 38% |
Strategic Vision[52] | September 28, 2006 | 50% | 40% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | September 25, 2006 | 50.1% | 36.6% |
Rasmussen[53] | September 19, 2006 | 45% | 40% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | September 11, 2006 | 50.6% | 36.4% |
Rasmussen[54] | September 5, 2006 | 45% | 41% |
Strategic Vision[55] | August 30, 2006 | 49% | 41% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | August 28, 2006 | 52.4% | 38.5% |
Rasmussen[56] | August 1, 2006 | 47% | 42% |
Quinnipiac[57] | July 26, 2006 | 44% | 38% |
Strategic Vision[58] | July 26, 2006 | 49% | 39% |
Mason-Dixon[59] | July 24, 2006 | 48% | 32% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | July 24, 2006 | 42.8% | 39.0% |
Quinnipiac[60] | June 29, 2006 | 41% | 39% |
Rasmussen[61] | June 29, 2006 | 49% | 35% |
Strategic Vision[62] | June 28, 2006 | 49% | 41% |
Zogby/WSJ[46] | June 21, 2006 | 42.5% | 39.8% |
Strategic Vision[63] | May 25, 2006 | 48% | 40% |
Quinnipiac[64] | May 24, 2006 | 37% | 40% |
Rasmussen[65] | May 22, 2006 | 44% | 39% |
Rasmussen[66] | April 21, 2006 | 44% | 33% |
Quinnipiac[67] | April 19, 2006 | 37% | 39% |
Quinnipiac[68] | February 22, 2006 | 40% | 36% |
Rasmussen[69] | January 6, 2006 | 36% | 35% |
Rasmussen[70] | November 16, 2005 | 38% | 41% |
Quinnipiac[71] | November 15, 2005 | 39% | 40% |
Charlie Crist won by over 7 points, winning all Republican-leaning areas of Florida, as well as the notable "swing" region along the I-4 corridor (Daytona Beach, Orlando, Tampa/St. Petersburg). Davis performed well in the Democrat-leaning south Florida, Gainesville, and Tallahassee areas. Crist under-performed compared to his predecessor Jeb Bush, but still outpaced Davis, despite the low turnout. Reform Party candidate Max Linn received nearly 2% of the vote, but his sizeable haul of over 92,500 votes was still not enough to sway the election. Crist also won 18% of the African-American electorate, which outpaced previous Republicans' efforts in attracting this voting bloc in statewide elections.
Also on the ballot the same day was a constitutional amendment to raise the requirement for all future ballot initiatives to a supermajority (60%). Previously, constitutional amendments put on the ballot required only a simple majority (50% +1) to be approved, and led to some controversial amendments being put on the ballot. Support and opposition for the amendment fell loosely along party lines with Democrats generally opposing its passage. Both Crist and Davis publicly opposed the measure,[72] but it was passed anyway by the voters with a 55% margin - a higher margin than either candidate received.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Charlie Crist/Jeff Kottkamp | 2,519,845 | 52.20% | −3.81% | |
Democratic | Jim Davis/Daryl Jones | 2,178,289 | 45.10% | +1.94% | |
Reform | Max Linn | 92,595 | 1.90% | +1.90% | |
Independent | John Wayne Smith | 15,987 | 0.30% | ||
Independent | Richard Paul Dembinsky | 11,921 | 0.20% | ||
Independent | Karl C.C. Behm | 10,487 | 0.20% | ||
Write-ins | 147 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
Majority | 341,556 | 7.10% | −5.75% | ||
Turnout | 4,829,271 | ||||
Republican hold | Swing |
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