2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determine Mississippi's four members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on June 1, 2010, and primary runoff elections on June 22.^[1]

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

← 2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012 →
All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 1 3 Seats won 3 1 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 423,579 350,695 Percentage 53.71% 44.47% Swing 12.02% 13.39%
Republican   50–60%   60–70% Democratic   60–70%

Of the four elections, the 1st district was rated as competitive by Sabato's Crystal Ball,^[2] and the 1st and 4th districts were rated as competitive by The Cook Political Report,^[3] CQ Politics^[4] and The Rothenberg Political Report.^[5]

The Republican Party flipped the 1st and 4th districts, defeating incumbent Democrats Travis Childers and Gene Taylor, respectively. Two incumbents were re-elected; Democrat Bennie Thompson of the 2nd district and Republican Gregg Harper of the 3rd district.^[6] In total, three Republicans and one Democrat were elected, marking the first time since 1996 that the Republican Party won a majority of Mississippi's congressional districts, and only the second time since Reconstruction.^[7] A total of 788,549 votes were cast, of which 423,579 (54 percent) were for Republican candidates, 350,695 (44 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 6,560 (1 percent) were for an independent candidate, 4,292 (1 percent) were for Reform Party candidates, 2,188 (0.3 percent) were for Libertarian Party candidates and 1,235 (0.2 percent) were for a Constitution Party candidate.^[8]

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by district:^[9]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	121,074	55.26%	89,388	40.80%	8,631	3.94%	219,093	100%	Republican gain
District 2	64,499	37.64%	105,327	61.47%	1,530	0.89%	171,356	100%	Democratic hold
District 3	132,393	67.99%	60,737	31.19%	1,586	0.82%	194,716	100%	Republican hold
District 4	105,613	51.93%	95,243	46.83%	2,528	1.24%	203,384	100%	Republican gain
Total	423,579	53.72%	350,695	44.47%	14,275	1.81%	788,549	100%

District 1

Mississippi's 1st congressional district in 2010

Alan Nunnelee, who was elected to represent the 1st district

Travis Childers, who unsuccessfully sought re-election in the 1st district

See also: Mississippi's 1st congressional district

In 2010 the 1st district included Horn Lake, Olive Branch, Southaven and Tupelo.^[10] The district's population was 69 percent white and 27 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,944.^[11] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.^[10] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14.^[3]

Democrat Travis Childers, who was elected in a 2008 special election, was the incumbent. Childers was re-elected in the regularly-scheduled 2008 election with 55 percent of the vote.^[10] In May 2009 Childers denied planning to switch parties and seek re-election as a Republican, describing himself as a "Southern Democrat".^[12] In 2010 the Republican nominee was Alan Nunnelee, a member of the Mississippi State Senate.^[13] A. G. Baddley, an electrician;^[14] Les Green, a teacher;^[15] Rick "Rico" Hoskins; and Wally Pang, a retired restaurateur,^[16] ran as independent candidates. Gail Giaramita, a nurse, ran as the Constitution Party nominee.^[17] Harold Taylor, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Mississippi, ran as the Libertarian Party nominee.^[18] Barbara Dale Washer, a teacher, ran as the Reform Party nominee.^[19]

Angela McGlowan, a Fox News political analyst;^[20] and Henry Ross, a former mayor of Eupora,^[21] also ran for the Republican nomination. Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven who ran unsuccessfully in both 2008 elections, said in March 2009 that he would not run again in 2010.^[22] Merle Flowers, a member of the Mississippi Senate, met with the National Republican Congressional Committee in June 2009, but ultimately decided not to run.^[23]

Childers raised $1,817,037 and spent $1,796,376. Nunnelee raised $1,739,384 and spent $1,617,120. Green raised $40,296 and spent the same amount. Pang raised no money and spent $6,900. Giaramita raised $12,730 and spent $12,913.^[24]

In a poll of 303 likely voters, conducted in June 2010 by the Tarrance Group for Nunnelee's campaign, 50 percent of respondents supported Nunnelee while 42 percent favored Childers and 8 percent were undecided.^[25] In an Anzalone-Liszt poll of 400 likely voters, conducted in August and September 2010, Childers led with 46 percent to Nunnelee's 41 percent.^[26] Republican internal polls of 300 likely voters by Tarrance, conducted in September and October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 48 percent to 41 percent and by 51 percent to 40 percent respectively.^[27] A poll of 603 likely voters, conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 44 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided.^[28]

Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Republican".^[2] In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up"^[3] and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup".^[4] In November 2010The Rothenberg Political Report rated it as "Toss-up/Tilt Republican".^[5] FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Nunnelee an 82 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Childers's 45 percent.^[27]

On election day Nunnelee was elected with 55 percent of the vote to Childers's 41 percent.^[29] Nunnelee was re-elected in 2012^[30] and 2014.^[31] Childers unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014.^[32]

Republican primary results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010^[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Alan Nunnelee	20,236	51.82
	Republican	Henry Ross	12,894	33.02
	Republican	Angela McGlowan	5,924	15.17
Total votes			39,144	100.00

General election results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district general election, November 2, 2010^[29]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Alan Nunnelee	121,074	55.26
	Democratic	Travis Childers (incumbent)	89,388	40.80
	Independent	Wally Pang	2,180	1.00
	Independent	Les Green	2,020	0.92
	Independent	A. G. Baddley	1,882	0.86
	Constitution	Gail Giaramita	1,235	0.56
	Independent	Rick "Rico" Hoskins	478	0.22
	Libertarian	Harold M. Taylor	447	0.20
	Reform	Barbara Dale Washer	389	0.18
Total votes			219,093	100.00

External links

• "Travis Childers campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Gail Giaramita campaign website". Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Les Green campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Angela McGlowan campaign website". Archived from the original on February 9, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Alan Nunnelee campaign website". Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Henry Ross campaign website". Archived from the original on July 4, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

District 2

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district in 2010

Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 2nd district

"Bill Marcy" redirects here. Not to be confused with Bill Macy.

See also: Mississippi's 2nd congressional district

In 2010 the 2nd district included Clinton, Greenville and parts of Jackson.^[34] The district's population was 66 percent black and 32 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 75 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $30,578.^[35] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 66 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 33 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.^[34]

Democrat Bennie Thompson, who took office in 1993, was the incumbent. Thompson was re-elected in 2008 with 69 percent of the vote.^[34] In 2010 the Republican nominee was Bill Marcy, a former police officer.^[36] George Bailey and Richard Cook, a teacher, also ran in the Republican primary.^[37] Ashley Norwood ran as the Reform Party nominee.^[36]

Thompson raised $1,808,681 and spent $1,343,456. Marcy raised $47,933 and spent $40,847.^[38] In a poll of 442 registered voters and likely voters, conducted by JMC Enterprises in September 2010, 35 percent of respondents intended to vote for Thompson while 34 percent intended to vote for Marcy and 31 percent were undecided.^[39] A JMC poll of 441 registered voters and likely voters conducted in October 2010 found Thompson leading with 42 percent to Marcy's 41 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.^[40] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Thompson a 99 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 57 percent of the vote to Marcy's 40 percent.^[41]

On election day Thompson was re-elected with 61 percent of the vote to Marcy's 38 percent.^[42] Thompson was re-elected in 2012^[43] and 2014.^[31] Marcy ran again in the 2nd district in 2012 and sought the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate in 2014.^[44]

Republican primary results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010^[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Richard Cook	2,232	34.77
	Republican	Bill Marcy	2,231	34.75
	Republican	George Bailey	1,957	30.48
Total votes			6,420	100.00

Republican primary runoff results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary runoff, June 22, 2010^[45]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Marcy	3,126	58.36
	Republican	Richard Cook	2,230	41.64
Total votes			5,356	100.00

General election results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010^[42]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bennie Thompson (incumbent)	105,327	61.47
	Republican	Bill Marcy	64,499	37.64
	Reform	Ashley Norwood	1,530	0.89
Total votes			171,356	100.00

External links

• "Richard Cook campaign website". Archived from the original on March 27, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Bill Marcy campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Bennie Thompson campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

District 3

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district in 2010

Gregg Harper, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 3rd district

"James D. Jackson" redirects here. For other people with the same name, see James Jackson.

See also: Mississippi's 3rd congressional district

In 2010 the 3rd district included Meridian, Pearl and parts of Jackson.^[46] The district's population was 62 percent white and 34 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 23 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,777.^[47] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 39 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.^[46]

Republican Gregg Harper, who was first elected in 2008, was the incumbent. In 2008 Harper received 63 percent of the vote.^[46] In 2010 the Democratic nominee was Joel Gill, the mayor of Pickens.^[48] James D. Jackson, a sociology professor; and Shawn O'Hara, a frequent candidate for office, also sought the Democratic nomination.^[49] O'Hara's sister, Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill, also ran as the Reform Party nominee.^[50]

Harper raised $715,014 and spent $688,959.^[51] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Harper a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 70 percent of the vote to Gill's 28 percent.^[52] On election day Harper was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Gill's 31 percent.^[53] Gill unsuccessfully ran for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner in 2011, and died in a car accident in October 2012.^[54] Harper was again re-elected in 2012^[55] and 2014.^[31]

Democratic primary results

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary, June 1, 2010^[56]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Joel Gill	3,805	52.33
	Democratic	James D. Jackson	2,138	29.40
	Democratic	Shawn O'Hara	1,328	18.26
Total votes			7,271	100.00

General election results

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010^[57]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gregg Harper (incumbent)	132,393	67.99
	Democratic	Joel Gill	60,737	31.19
	Reform	Tracella Lou O’Hara Hill	1,586	0.81
Total votes			194,716	100.00

External links

• "Joel Gill campaign website". Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Gregg Harper campaign website". Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved June 25, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

District 4

Mississippi's 4th congressional district in 2010

Steven Palazzo, who was elected to represent the 4th district

Gene Taylor, who unsuccessfully sought re-election in the 4th district

See also: Mississippi's 4th congressional district

In 2010 the 4th district included Gulfport and Hattiesburg.^[58] The district's population was 71 percent white and 23 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,245.^[59] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 67 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 32 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.^[58] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20.^[3]

Democrat Gene Taylor, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. Taylor was re-elected in 2008 with 75 percent of the vote.^[58] In 2010 Taylor's opponent in the general election was Steven Palazzo, a member of the Mississippi House of Representatives.^[60] Joe Tegerdine, a businessman, also sought the Republican nomination.^[61] Tim Hampton, the Libertarian Party nominee, and Anna Jewel Revies, the nominee of the Reform Party, also ran.^[62]

Taylor raised $855,983 and spent $968,943. Palazzo raised $1,079,453 and spent $1,026,476.^[63] Tegerdine raised $74,586 and spent $74,500.^[64]

In a poll by the Tarrance Group, conducted for Palazzo's campaign in September 2010, 45 percent of respondents supported Taylor while 41 percent favored Palazzo.^[65] In October 2010 Taylor said his own internal polling showed him leading Palazzo by eight percentage points.^[66] Another poll by Tarrance for Palazzo's campaign, conducted later in October 2010 with a sample size of 300 likely voters, Palazzo led with 43 percent to Taylor's 41 percent, while 3 percent supported other candidates and 12 percent were undecided.^[67]

In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up"^[3] and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup".^[4] In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Pure Toss-up".^[5] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Palazzo a 59 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 50 percent of the vote to Taylor's 48 percent.^[68]

On election day Palazzo was elected with 52 percent of the vote to Taylor's 47 percent.^[69] Palazzo was re-elected in 2012^[70] and 2014.^[31] In 2014 Taylor unsuccessfully challenged Palazzo in the Republican primary in the 4th district.^[71]

Republican primary results

Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary, June 1, 2010^[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steven Palazzo	15,556	57.15
	Republican	Joe Tegerdine	11,663	42.85
Total votes			27,219	100.00

General election results

Mississippi's 4th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010^[69]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steven Palazzo	105,613	51.93
	Democratic	Gene Taylor (incumbent)	95,243	46.83
	Libertarian	Tim Hampton	1,741	0.86
	Reform	Anna Jewel Revies	787	0.39
Total votes			203,384	100.00

Further reading

• Lansford, Tom (2011). "Mississippi District 4 Race (Palazzo v. Taylor): A Conservative Democrat Loses to a More Conservative Republican". In Foreman, Sean D.; Dewhirst, Robert (eds.). The Roads to Congress 2010. Lanham, Maryland: Lexington Books. pp. 55–66.

External links

• "Tim Hampton campaign website". Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Steve Palazzo campaign website". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved June 25, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Gene Taylor campaign website". Archived from the original on October 30, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
• "Joe Tegerdine campaign website". Archived from the original on February 12, 2010. Retrieved January 3, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

See also

• List of United States representatives from Mississippi
• United States congressional delegations from Mississippi

References

1. "2010 elections calendar" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. November 10, 2009. Retrieved December 31, 2013.
2. "Mississippi (01) House 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
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4. "Race Ratings Chart: House". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 5, 2014.
5. "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. November 1, 2010. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
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9. Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
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14. Long, Robert Lee (October 28, 2010). "A.G. Baddley". Desoto Times Tribune. Retrieved December 30, 2013.
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54. "Pickens Mayor Joel Gill Dies in Car Crash". Jackson Free Press. October 19, 2012. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
55. "Harper re-elected in Miss. 3rd US House district". WAPT. November 7, 2012. Retrieved December 31, 2013.
56. "Statewide Democratic results" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. June 11, 2010. Retrieved December 31, 2013.
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58. "Mississippi – 4th District". Roll Call. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
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60. Wilkinson, Kaija (June 2, 2010). "Full Report: Steven Palazzo wins Republican primary, will face Taylor in Nov. 2 election". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
61. Ward, Cherie (January 22, 2010). "Joe Tegerdine to run for Congress". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
62. Wilkinson, Kaija (May 26, 2010). "Republicans vie for chance to run against incumbent Taylor to represent fourth district". gulflive.com. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
63. "Mississippi District 04 Race". OpenSecrets. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
64. "Joe Tegerdine (R)". OpenSecrets. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
65. Burns, Alexander (September 27, 2010). "GOP up 4 in House battle – Poll: 32% would consider Bloomberg – DLCC names 20 top targets – Dem poll: Denish tied in N.M. – AFL-CIO hits Raese, McMahon – Gene Taylor in danger zone?". Politico. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
66. Farrell, David A. (October 9, 2010). "Taylor polls show 8 point lead; Palazzo claims race is in a dead heat". Picayune Item. Archived from the original on October 17, 2010. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
67. Goeas, Ed; Thompson, Nicholas (October 20, 2010). "Findings from survey of MS 4 voters". Tarrance Group. Retrieved January 1, 2013.
68. "Mississippi 4th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
69. "Official Recapitulation" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. November 15, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2014.
70. "Palazzo, Wicker among incumbents re-elected in MS". WLOX. November 7, 2012. Retrieved January 1, 2013.
71. "Gene Taylor Defeated By Steven Palazzo In GOP Primary For Congress In Mississippi". The Huffington Post. June 4, 2014. Retrieved November 17, 2014.