2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Not to be confused with 2020 Iowa House of Representatives election.

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 1 3 Seats won 3 1 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 859,418 762,271 Percentage 52.42% 46.5% Swing 5.88% 4.02%
Results by party gains Election results by district Election results by county      Democratic hold      Republican hold      Republican gain Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Democratic   40–50%   50–60%   70–80%

Overview

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Republican Party	4	859,418	52.42%	3	2	75.00%
	Democratic Party	4	762,271	46.5%	1	2	25.00%
	Libertarian Party	1	15,361	0.94%	0		0.00%
	Write-in		2,413	0.15%	0		0.00%
Total		9	1,639,463	100.0%	4		100.00%

Popular vote Republican   52.42% Democratic   46.5% Other   1.09%

House seats Republican   75.00% Democratic   25.00%

By district

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	212,088	51.25%	201,347	48.65%	434	0.10%	413,869	100%	Republican gain
District 2	196,964	49.912%	196,958	49.910%	703	0.178%	394,625	100%	Republican gain
District 3	212,997	47.55%	219,205	48.94%	15,745	3.51%	447,947	100%	Democratic hold
District 4	237,369	61.97%	144,761	37.80%	892	0.23%	383,022	100%	Republican hold
Total	859,418	52.42%	762,271	46.50%	17,774	1.08%	1,639,463	100%

District 1

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Ashley Hinson Abby Finkenauer Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 212,088 201,347 Percentage 51.2% 48.7%

County results Hinson:      50–60%      60–70% Finkenauer:      50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election Abby Finkenauer Democratic Elected U.S. Representatives Ashley Hinson Republican

See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. representative^[2]

Endorsements

Abby Finkenauer

Former US Executive Branch officials

• Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)^[3]

Federal officials

• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013-present), 2020 candidate for President^[4]

Organizations

• EMILY's List^[5]
• End Citizens United^[6]
• J Street PAC^[7]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund^[8]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[9]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[10]
• Sierra Club^[11]

Results

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Finkenauer—100%
•   Finkenauer—≥90%

Democratic primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)	72,474	99.3
	Write-in		482	0.7
Total votes			72,956	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ashley Hinson, state representative^[13]

Defeated in primary

• Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman^[14]

Declined

• Rod Blum, former U.S. representative^[15]

Endorsements

Ashley Hinson

State and local politicians

• Adam Gregg, Lieutenant Governor of Iowa^[16]
• Kim Reynolds, Governor of Iowa^[16]

Organizations

• Maggie's List^[17]
• Susan B. Anthony List^[18]

Results

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Hinson—80–90%
•   Hinson—70–80%
•   Hinson—60–70%
•   Hinson—50–60%

Republican primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ashley Hinson	38,552	77.8
	Republican	Thomas Hansen	10,845	21.9
	Write-in		152	0.3
Total votes			49,549	100.0

General election

Debate

2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Abby Finkenauer	Ashley Hinson
1	Sep. 7, 2020	Iowa PBS		[19]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[20]	Tossup	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21]	Lean D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Politico[23]	Tossup	September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[24]	Lean D	October 15, 2020
RCP[25]	Tossup	October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26]	Lean D	July 26, 2020
The Economist[27]	Likely D	October 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Abby Finkenauer (D)	Ashley Hinson (R)	Other/ Undecided
Monmouth University[28]	October 15–20, 2020	352 (RV)	± 5.2%	52%	44%	4%[b]
		352 (LV)[c]		54%	44%	–
		352 (LV)[d]		56%	42%	–
Basswood Research (R)[29][A]	September 26–28, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%[e]
Monmouth University[30]	July 25 – August 3, 2020	391 (RV)	± 5%	51%	41%	9%[f]
		391 (LV)[c]		52%	41%	8%[g]
		391 (LV)[d]		52%	40%	8%[g]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[31][B]	March 3–5, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	–
Harper Polling (R)[32][C]	January 11–12, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%[h]	40%	15%
				40%[i]	48%	–

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33]	October 26–29, 2020	– (LV)[j]	± 7.1%	36%	51%	9%[k]	5%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34]	September 14–17, 2020	– (LV)[m]	± 7.8%	47%	41%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35]	June 7–10, 2020	– (LV)[n]	<= ± 7.7%	48%	42%	–	–
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[36][B]	March 3–5, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4%	37%	44%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37]	March 2–5, 2020	– (LV)[o]	–	46%	49%	–	–
Harper Polling (R)[32][C]	January 11–12, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4%	43%[h]	44%	–	–

Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Results

Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020^[38]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ashley Hinson	212,088	51.2
	Democratic	Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)	201,347	48.7
	Write-in		434	0.1
Total votes			413,869	100.0
	Republican gain from Democratic

District 2

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018  () 2022 →

Nominee Mariannette Miller-Meeks Rita Hart Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 196,964 196,958 Percentage 49.91% 49.91%

County results Miller-Meeks:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Hart:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Dave Loebsack Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Mariannette Miller-Meeks Republican

See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018.^[1] On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election.^[39]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018^[40]

Withdrawn

• Newman Abuissa, engineer^[41]

Declined

• Ken Croken, member of the Scott County Board of Supervisors^[42]
• Cathy Glasson, union leader, nurse, and candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2018^[43]
• Kevin Kinney, state senator^[44]
• Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. representative^[39]
• Ian Russell, attorney^[45]
• Veronica Tessler, businesswoman^[46] (endorsed Hart)^[47]
• Zach Wahls, state senator^{[48][non-primary source needed][49]}

Endorsements

Rita Hart

Former US Executive Branch officials

• Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)^[3]

Federal politicians

• Cindy Axne, U.S. representative (IA-3)^[50]
• Abby Finkenauer, U.S. representative (IA-1)^[50]
• Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota^{[51][non-primary source needed]}
• Dave Loebsack, U.S. representative (IA-2)^[52]

Statewide politicians

• Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa, former Iowa Secretary of Agriculture and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
• Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor^[53]

State Senators

• Joe Bolkcom, state senator, District 43
• Chris Brase, former state senator, District 46
• Tom Courtney, former state senator, District 44
• Bob Dvorsky, former state senator, District 37
• Kevin Kinney, state senator, District 39
• Jim Lykam, state senator, District 45
• Rich Taylor, state senator, District 42
• Zach Wahls, state senator, District 37

State representatives

• Wes Breckenridge, state representative, District 29
• Mary Gaskill, state representative, District 81
• David Jacoby, state representative, District 74
• Monica Kurth, state representative, District 89
• Mary Mascher, state representative, District 86
• Phil Miller, former state representative, District 82
• Amy Nielsen, state representative, District 77
• Sally Stutsman, former state representative, District 77
• Phyllis Thede, state representative, District 93
• Mary Wolfe, state representative, District 98
• Frank Wood, former state representative, District 92, and former State Senator, District 42

Local politicians

• Ken Croken, Scott County Supervisor^[54]
• Cindy Drost, former Mahaska County Recorder
• Bill Gluba, former mayor of Davenport
• Thom Hart, former Mayor of Davenport
• Nasseem Hesler, former mayor of Keosauqua
• Rick Larkin, Lee County Supervisor
• Rick Lincoln, Clinton County Sheriff
• Janet Lyness, Johnson County Attorney
• Megan Suhr, Knoxville City Councillor
• Eric Van Lancker, Clinton County Auditor

Party officials

• Sue Dvorsky, former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party^[55]

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee^[56]
• EMILY's List^[57]
• End Citizens United^[58]
• Giffords PAC^[59]
• Human Rights Campaign^[60]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund^[61]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[62]

Results

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Hart—100%
•   Hart—≥90%

Democratic primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Rita Hart	67,039	99.6
	Write-in		271	0.4
Total votes			67,310	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mariannette Miller-Meeks, state senator; nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010, and 2014^[63]

Defeated in primary

• Tim Borchardt, retail worker^[64]
• Steven Everly, electrician^[65]
• Rick Phillips, businessman^[66]
• Bobby Schilling, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013)^[67]

Withdrawn

• Thomas Kedley, mayor of Osceola^[68]

Declined

• Chris Cournoyer, state senator^[69]
• Bob Gallagher, mayor of Bettendorf^[70]
• Bobby Kaufmann, state representative^[71]
• Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK Construction and member of the National Women's Business Council^[72]
• Mark Lofgren, state senator^[73]
• Chris Peters, surgeon and nominee for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018^[74]
• Brad Randolph, mayor of Fort Madison^[69]
• Roby Smith, state senator^[70]

Endorsements

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Federal officials

• Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa^[75]

Statewide politicians

• Terry Branstad, former governor of Iowa^[76]
• Mike Naig, Iowa Secretary of Agriculture^[77]
• Kim Reynolds, Governor of Iowa^[78]

Organizations

• Maggie's List^[17]

Bobby Schilling

Federal politicians

• Jim Jordan, U.S. representative^[79]

Results

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Miller-Meeks—70–80%
•   Miller-Meeks—60–70%
•   Miller-Meeks—50–60%
•   Miller-Meeks—40–50%
•   Miller-Meeks—30–40%
•   Schilling—40–50%
•   Schilling—50–60%

Republican primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mariannette Miller-Meeks	23,052	47.6
	Republican	Bobby Schilling	17,582	36.3
	Republican	Steven Everly	2,806	5.8
	Republican	Rick Phillips	2,444	5.1
	Republican	Tim Borchardt	2,370	4.9
	Write-in		161	0.3
Total votes			48,415	100.0

General election

Debate

2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Rita Hart	Mariannette Miller-Meeks
1	Oct. 8, 2020	The Gazette KCRG-TV KYOU-TV	Chris Earl James Lynch	[80]	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[20]	Tossup	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21]	Lean D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Politico[23]	Tossup	September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[24]	Lean D	September 25, 2020
RCP[25]	Tossup	October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26]	Likely D	July 26, 2020
The Economist[27]	Likely D	October 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Rita Hart (D)	Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)	Other/ Undecided
Monmouth University[28]	October 15–20, 2020	355 (RV)	± 5.2%	49%	43%	8%[p]
		355 (LV)[c]		51%	42%	–
		355 (LV)[d]		54%	41%	–
Monmouth University[30]	July 25 – August 3, 2020	374 (RV)	± 5.1%	47%	44%	9%[f]
		374 (LV)[c]		44%	48%	8%[g]
		374 (LV)[d]		45%	48%	7%[q]
Harper Polling (R)[81][D]	July 26–28, 2020	406 (LV)	± 4.9%	41%	41%	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33]	October 26–29, 2020	– (LV)[j]	± 6.9%	40%	41%	11%[r]	8%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34]	September 14–17, 2020	– (LV)[s]	± 8.7%	50%	46%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35]	June 7–10, 2020	– (LV)[t]	<= ± 7.7%	53%	35%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37]	March 2–5, 2020	– (LV)[u]	–	41%	49%	–	–

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Results

Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020^[38]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mariannette Miller-Meeks	196,964	49.912
	Democratic	Rita Hart	196,958	49.910
	Write-in		703	0.178
Total votes			394,625	100.0
	Republican gain from Democratic

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes.^[82] On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act.^[83] On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021, with the rest of the incoming new Congress members.^[84] Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.^[85] Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021.^[86] This was the closest House race in 2020 and one of the closest House races in a century.

District 3

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Cindy Axne David Young Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 219,205 212,997 Percentage 48.9% 47.6%

County results Axne:      50–60% Young:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Cindy Axne Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Cindy Axne Democratic

See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Axne—100%
•   Axne—≥90%

Democratic primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cindy Axne (incumbent)	76,681	99.2
	Write-in		623	0.8
Total votes			77,304	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Young, former U.S. representative^[87]

Defeated in primary

• Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran^[88]

Declined

• Jon Jacobsen, state representative^[89]
• Zach Nunn, state senator^[90]
• Brad Zaun, state senator^[91]

Results

2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Young—70–80%
•   Young—60–70%
•   Young—50–60%

Republican primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Young	39,103	69.5
	Republican	Bill Schafer	16,904	30.1
	Write-in		227	0.4
Total votes			56,234	100.0

Third parties

Candidates

• Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian)^[92]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[20]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21]	Lean D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Politico[23]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[24]	Lean D	October 15, 2020
RCP[25]	Tossup	October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26]	Lean D	July 26, 2020
The Economist[27]	Lean D	October 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Cindy Axne (D)	David Young (R)	Bryan Holder (L)	Other/ Undecided
Monmouth University[28]	October 15–20, 2020	426 (RV)	± 4.8%	52%	43%	–	2%[v]
		426 (LV)[c]		53%	42%	–	–
		426 (LV)[d]		55%	41%	–	–
Monmouth University[30]	July 25 – August 3, 2020	507 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	42%	2%	8%[p]
		507 (LV)[c]		50%	42%	–	8%[w]
		507 (LV)[d]		52%	41%	–	7%[x]
The Tarrance Group (R)[93][B]	July 7–9, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	44%	6%	7%[y]
The Tarrance Group (R)[94][B]	March 10–12, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	–	5%[z]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33]	October 26–29, 2020	– (LV)[j]	± 6.6%	45%	39%	8%[aa]	9%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34]	September 14–17, 2020	– (LV)[ab]	± 7.7%	48%	42%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35]	June 7–10, 2020	– (LV)[ac]	<= ± 7.7%	52%	36%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37]	March 2–5, 2020	– (LV)[ad]	–	42%	43%	–	–

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Results

Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020^[38]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cindy Axne (incumbent)	219,205	48.9
	Republican	David Young	212,997	47.6
	Libertarian	Bryan Jack Holder	15,361	3.4
	Write-in		384	0.1
Total votes			447,947	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

← 2018 2022 →

Nominee Randy Feenstra J. D. Scholten Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 237,369 144,761 Percentage 62.0% 37.8%

County results Feenstra:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Scholten:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Steve King Republican Elected U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra Republican

See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Randy Feenstra, state senator^[95]

Defeated in primary

• Steve King, incumbent U.S. representative^[96]
• Steve Reeder, businessman^[97]
• Bret Richards, U.S. Army veteran and former businessman^[98]
• Jeremy Taylor, Woodbury County supervisor and former state representative^[99]

Declined

• Rick Bertrand, state senator and candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2016^[100]
• Cyndi Hanson, candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018^[101]
• Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce^[102]
• Rick Sanders, Story County supervisor^[103]
• Linda Upmeyer, Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives^[104]

Endorsements

Randy Feenstra

State senators

• Annette Sweeney, state senator, District 25^[105]

State representatives

• Dan Huseman, state representative, District 3^[105]
• Megan Jones, state representative, District 2^[105]
• Tim Kraayenbrink, state representative, District 5^[106]

Individuals

• Ben Shapiro, conservative commentator and host of The Daily Wire^[107]
• Bob Vander Plaats, president and CEO of The Family Leader, candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2002, 2006 and 2010 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2006^[108]

Organizations

• Republican Jewish Coalition^[109]
• Republican Main Street Partnership PAC^[110]
• U.S. Chamber of Commerce^[111]

Newspapers

• Sioux City Journal^[112]

Steve King

State representatives

• Ralph Klemme, former state representative (District 3)^[113]

Individuals

• Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014^[114]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Steve King	Randy Feenstra	Steve Reeder	Jeremy Taylor	Other	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[115][E]	May 16–18, 2020	400 (V)	± 4.9%	39%	41%	1%	4%	3%[F]	–
				41%[ae]	48%	–	–	–	–
American Viewpoint[116][G]	May 7–8, 2020	350 (LV)	± 5.2%	39%	36%	–	–	9%[af]	10%
American Viewpoint[117][G]	April 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	41%	34%	–	–	8%[ag]	15%
American Viewpoint[117][G]	January 27–29, 2020	– (V)[j]	–	53%	22%	–	–	–	–[j]
G1 Survey Research[118]	October 1–3, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.89%	59%	15%	6%	0%	2%[ah]	17%
				64%[ai]	24%	–	–	–	12%[aj]
				64%[ai]	–	–	19%	–	17%[ak]

Results

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Feenstra—80–90%
•   Feenstra—60–70%
•   Feenstra—50–60%
•   Feenstra—40–50%
•   Feenstra—30–40%
•   King—30–40%
•   King—40–50%
•   King—50–60%

Republican primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Randy Feenstra	37,329	45.5
	Republican	Steve King (incumbent)	29,366	35.9
	Republican	Jeremy Taylor	6,418	7.8
	Republican	Bret Richards	6,140	7.5
	Republican	Steve Reeder	2,528	3.1
	Write-in		176	0.2
Total votes			81,957	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• J. D. Scholten, former paralegal, former professional baseball player, and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018^[119]

Endorsements

J.D. Scholten

Organizations

• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund^[61]
• Sierra Club^[11]

Results

2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

Map legend

•   Scholten—100%
•   Scholten—≥90%

Democratic primary results^[12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	J. D. Scholten	46,370	99.6
	Write-in		166	0.4
Total votes			46,536	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[20]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21]	Safe R	October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Politico[120]	Likely R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[24]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
RCP[25]	Lean R	October 13, 2020
Niskanen[26]	Likely R	July 26, 2020
The Economist[27]	Likely R	October 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Randy Feenstra (R)	J.D. Scholten (D)	Other/ Undecided
Monmouth University[28]	October 15–20, 2020	414 (RV)	± 4.8%	48%	42%	10%[al]
		414 (LV)[c]		48%	43%	–
		414 (LV)[d]		47%	44%	–
Change Research (D)[121][H]	October 13–15, 2020	603 (LV)	± 4%	50%	45%	–
American Viewpoint (R)[122][G]	October 6–8, 2020	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	54%	31%	11%[am]
Monmouth University[30]	July 25 – August 3, 2020	374 (RV)	± 5.1%	54%	34%	12%[an]
		374 (LV)[c]		55%	34%	10%[ao]
		374 (LV)[d]		56%	33%	10%[ao]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Steve King (R)	J.D. Scholten (D)	Undecided
20 Insight (D)[123][I]	January 16–17, 2019	472 (LV)	± 4.5%	39%	44%	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Steve King (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
20/20 Insight (D)[123][I]	January 16–17, 2019	472 (LV)	± 4.5%	37%	45%	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[a]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[33]	October 26–29, 2020	– (LV)[j]	± 6.9%	50%	33%	10%[ap]	8%[l]
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[34]	September 14–17, 2020	– (LV)[aq]	± 7.5%	49%	44%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[35]	June 7–10, 2020	– (LV)[ar]	<= ± 7.7%	57%	35%	–	–
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[37]	March 2–5, 2020	– (LV)[as]	–	51%	40%	–	–

Hypothetical polling

with Steve King and J.D. Scholten

with Steve King and Generic Democrat

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Results

Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2020^[38]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Randy Feenstra	237,369	62.0
	Democratic	J. D. Scholten	144,761	37.8
	Write-in		892	0.2
Total votes			383,022	100.0
	Republican hold

See also

• 2020 Iowa elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
3. With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
4. With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
5. Undecided with 10%
6. "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
7. "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
8. Standard VI response
9. Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
10. Not yet released
11. "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
12. Includes "Do not remember"
13. Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658
14. Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
15. Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
16. "Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
17. "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
18. "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
19. Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658
20. Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
21. Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
22. "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
23. "Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
24. "Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
25. Undecided with 7%
26. Undecided with 5%
27. "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
28. Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658
29. Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
30. Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
31. If only King and Feenstra were candidates
32. "Another candidate" with 9%
33. "Another candidate" with 8%
34. Bret Richards with 2%
35. If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
36. "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
37. "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
38. "Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%
39. Undecided with 11%
40. "Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
41. "Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
42. "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
43. Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658
44. Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
45. Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667

Partisan clients

1. This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.
2. This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
3. The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
4. Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
5. American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
6. Richards with 3%
7. Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
8. Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.
9. Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC

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External links

• "League of Women Voters of Iowa". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Iowa 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Abby Finkenauer (D) for Congress
• Ashley Hinson (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Rita Hart (D) for Congress Archived July 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
• Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) for Congress Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Cindy Axne (D) for Congress Archived May 1, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
• David Young (R) for Congress Archived June 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Randy Feenstra (R) for Congress
• J. D. Scholten (D) for Congress