2016 United States presidential election in Kansas

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Kansas

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout	59.70%[1]
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 6 0 Popular vote 671,018 427,005 Percentage 56.16% 35.74%
County results Congressional district results Municipality results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90-100% Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

Trump carried the state with 56.16 percent of the vote, while Clinton received 35.74 percent.^[3] Kansas was among eleven states (and the District of Columbia) in which Clinton improved on Barack Obama's margin from 2012 (though her vote share was lower than Obama's 38 percent), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.^[4][5]

This was the final election of Riley County's 104-year streak of voting Republican, as in the next election Joe Biden would become the first Democrat to win the county in its history. It is also the most recent election as of the 2024 election where Riley County, Johnson County, or Shawnee County has voted Republican.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Main article: 2016 Kansas Democratic presidential caucuses

Results of the Democratic caucuses by Congressional District

  Bernie Sanders

Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate	District delegates		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	26,637	67.90%	23	0	23
Hillary Clinton	12,593	32.10%	10	4	14
Uncommitted	—		0	0	0
Total	39,230	100%	33	4	37
Source: [6]

Bernie Sanders visited Kansas during the primary season, while Hillary Clinton did not herself and instead sent her daughter Chelsea Clinton to hold a rally in Johnson County.

Republican caucuses

2016 Kansas Republican presidential caucuses

← 2012 March 5, 2016 (2016-03-05) 2020 →

← VA ME →

Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump Home state Texas New York Delegate count 24 9 Popular vote 37,512 18,443 Percentage 47.50% 23.35%   Candidate Marco Rubio John Kasich Home state Florida Ohio Delegate count 6 1 Popular vote 13,295 8,741 Percentage 16.83% 11.07%

Results by congressional districts   Ted Cruz   40–50%   50–60%

Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Ted Cruz	37,512	47.50%	24	0	24
Donald Trump	18,443	23.35%	9	0	9
Marco Rubio	13,295	16.83%	6	0	6
John Kasich	8,741	11.07%	1	0	1
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	582	0.74%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	279	0.35%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	84	0.11%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	42	0.05%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	78,978	100.00%	40	0	40
Source: The Green Papers

Delegates were awarded to candidates at the statewide and congressional district level who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally. The 3 RNC delegates were awarded to the winner.

General election

Voting history

Main article: Political party strength in Kansas

Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. At the time, all current statewide officials were Republicans, as were all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60 percent to 38 percent in 2012. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June. In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district. This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in national polls, caused Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.^[7]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times[8]	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN[9]	Safe R	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[10]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[11]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[12]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[14]	Likely R	November 8, 2016
Fox News[15]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Kansas

Candidates

Minor candidates

The following received write-in status:^[16]

• President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
• President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
• President: "Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
• President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
• President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
• President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
• President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
• President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
• President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
• President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
• President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
• President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
• President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
• President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
• President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
• President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White
• President: Timothy Cook; Vice President: John Stein

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Kansas^[17]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Donald Trump	671,018	56.65%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	427,005	36.05%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	55,406	4.68%
	Green	Jill Stein	23,506	1.98%
	Independent	Evan McMullin (write-in)	6,520	0.55%
	Write-in		947	0.08%
Total votes			1,184,402	100.00%

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Gary Johnson Libertarian		Jill Stein Green		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Allen	3,651	66.27%	1,433	26.01%	229	4.16%	121	2.20%	76	1.36%	2,218	40.26%	5,509
Anderson	2,435	72.69%	672	20.06%	151	4.51%	81	2.42%	11	0.33%	1,763	52.63%	3,350
Atchison	4,049	61.58%	1,989	30.25%	316	4.81%	163	2.48%	58	0.88%	2,060	31.33%	6,575
Barber	1,850	81.82%	286	12.65%	78	3.45%	28	1.24%	19	0.84%	1,564	69.17%	2,261
Barton	7,888	76.29%	1,839	17.79%	347	3.36%	157	1.52%	108	1.05%	6,049	58.50%	10,339
Bourbon	4,424	71.64%	1,336	21.64%	205	3.32%	108	1.75%	102	1.66%	3,088	50.00%	6,175
Brown	2,906	71.35%	863	21.19%	158	3.88%	97	2.38%	49	1.20%	2,043	50.16%	4,073
Butler	19,073	68.96%	6,573	23.77%	1,415	5.12%	395	1.43%	201	0.73%	12,500	45.19%	27,657
Chase	969	70.78%	316	23.08%	45	3.29%	31	2.26%	8	0.58%	653	47.70%	1,369
Chautauqua	1,236	83.46%	197	13.30%	25	1.69%	23	1.55%	0	0.00%	1,039	70.16%	1,481
Cherokee	6,182	70.91%	2,005	23.00%	296	3.40%	130	1.49%	105	1.20%	4,177	47.91%	8,718
Cheyenne	1,173	83.37%	181	12.86%	29	2.06%	20	1.42%	4	0.28%	992	70.51%	1,407
Clark	825	81.52%	120	11.86%	36	3.56%	20	1.98%	11	1.09%	705	69.66%	1,012
Clay	2,891	74.94%	677	17.55%	150	3.89%	85	2.20%	55	1.42%	2,214	57.39%	3,858
Cloud	2,919	73.81%	761	19.24%	161	4.07%	74	1.87%	40	1.01%	2,158	54.57%	3,955
Coffey	3,050	74.98%	727	17.87%	189	4.65%	70	1.72%	32	0.79%	2,323	57.11%	4,068
Comanche	715	82.47%	102	11.76%	40	4.61%	10	1.15%	0	0.00%	613	70.71%	867
Cowley	8,270	65.53%	3,551	28.14%	479	3.80%	275	2.18%	46	0.36%	4,719	37.39%	12,621
Crawford	8,624	57.21%	5,199	34.49%	672	4.46%	314	2.08%	265	1.76%	3,425	22.72%	15,074
Decatur	1,210	83.05%	178	12.22%	42	2.88%	20	1.37%	7	0.48%	1,032	70.83%	1,457
Dickinson	6,029	73.43%	1,609	19.60%	369	4.49%	169	2.06%	34	0.42%	4,420	53.83%	8,210
Doniphan	2,606	76.76%	587	17.29%	125	3.68%	56	1.65%	21	0.72%	2,019	59.47%	3,395
Douglas	14,688	28.78%	31,195	61.13%	2,429	4.76%	1,555	3.05%	1,164	2.28%	-16,507	-32.35%	51,031
Edwards	1,037	78.62%	212	16.07%	33	2.50%	34	2.58%	3	0.23%	825	62.55%	1,319
Elk	1,048	83.24%	160	12.71%	35	2.78%	16	1.27%	0	0.00%	888	70.53%	1,259
Ellis	8,466	70.19%	2,742	22.73%	464	3.85%	237	1.96%	153	1.27%	5,724	47.46%	12,062
Ellsworth	1,969	72.76%	521	19.25%	107	3.95%	74	2.73%	35	1.30%	1,448	53.51%	2,706
Finney	6,350	61.74%	3,195	31.06%	424	4.12%	180	1.75%	136	1.33%	3,155	30.68%	10,285
Ford	5,114	65.78%	2,149	27.64%	281	3.61%	136	1.75%	94	1.21%	2,965	38.14%	7,774
Franklin	7,185	64.83%	2,892	26.10%	568	5.13%	265	2.39%	172	1.55%	4,293	38.73%	11,082
Geary	4,274	56.33%	2,722	35.87%	312	4.11%	156	2.06%	124	1.63%	1,552	20.46%	7,588
Gove	1,140	84.88%	149	11.09%	41	3.05%	13	0.97%	0	0.00%	991	73.79%	1,343
Graham	1,025	79.83%	188	14.64%	38	2.96%	30	2.34%	3	0.23%	837	65.19%	1,284
Grant	1,804	75.51%	441	18.46%	101	4.23%	33	1.38%	10	0.42%	1,363	57.05%	2,389
Gray	1,698	82.19%	263	12.73%	75	3.63%	30	1.45%	0	0.00%	1,435	69.46%	2,066
Greeley	534	82.15%	83	12.77%	25	3.85%	8	1.23%	0	0.00%	451	69.38%	650
Greenwood	2,160	76.06%	485	17.08%	122	4.30%	59	2.08%	14	0.49%	1,675	58.98%	2,840
Hamilton	705	80.48%	121	13.81%	31	3.54%	14	1.60%	5	0.57%	584	66.67%	876
Harper	1,996	77.16%	393	15.19%	117	4.52%	60	2.32%	21	0.81%	1,603	61.97%	2,587
Harvey	8,668	57.34%	5,068	33.53%	684	4.53%	370	2.45%	326	2.15%	3,600	23.81%	15,116
Haskell	1,040	76.81%	245	18.09%	41	3.03%	22	1.62%	6	0.44%	795	58.72%	1,354
Hodgeman	855	84.07%	124	12.19%	21	2.06%	17	1.67%	0	0.00%	731	71.88%	1,017
Jackson	3,919	67.70%	1,512	25.99%	213	3.66%	143	2.46%	11	0.19%	2,427	41.71%	5,818
Jefferson	5,213	61.77%	2,518	29.83%	384	4.55%	185	2.19%	140	1.66%	2,695	31.94%	8,440
Jewell	1,223	81.86%	180	12.05%	48	3.21%	41	2.74%	2	0.13%	1,043	69.81%	1,494
Johnson	137,490	46.73%	129,852	44.14%	15,156	5.15%	5,022	1.71%	6,688	2.27%	7,638	2.59%	294,208
Kearny	1,075	81.69%	174	13.22%	41	3.12%	13	0.99%	13	0.99%	901	68.47%	1,316
Kingman	2,530	75.88%	599	17.97%	114	3.42%	69	2.07%	22	0.66%	1,931	57.91%	3,334
Kiowa	900	82.42%	114	10.44%	44	4.03%	16	1.47%	18	1.65%	786	71.98%	1,092
Labette	5,335	64.92%	2,291	27.88%	298	3.63%	166	2.02%	128	1.56%	3,044	37.04%	8,218
Lane	718	82.43%	106	12.17%	33	3.79%	14	1.61%	0	0.00%	612	70.26%	871
Leavenworth	17,638	57.57%	10,209	33.32%	1,611	5.26%	662	2.16%	519	1.69%	7,429	24.25%	30,639
Lincoln	1,179	80.53%	215	14.69%	41	2.80%	29	1.98%	0	0.00%	964	65.84%	1,464
Linn	3,484	78.22%	736	16.52%	119	2.67%	65	1.46%	50	1.12%	2,748	61.70%	4,454
Logan	1,132	83.17%	149	10.95%	47	3.45%	28	2.06%	5	0.36%	983	72.22%	1,361
Lyon	6,552	52.53%	4,649	37.28%	670	5.37%	331	2.65%	270	2.17%	1,903	15.25%	12,472
Marion	4,003	70.60%	1,204	21.23%	227	4.00%	143	2.52%	93	1.64%	2,799	49.37%	5,670
Marshall	3,307	70.77%	1,072	22.94%	204	4.37%	73	1.56%	17	0.36%	2,235	47.83%	4,673
McPherson	8,549	67.09%	3,226	25.32%	574	4.50%	295	2.32%	98	0.77%	5,323	41.77%	12,742
Meade	1,415	81.70%	210	12.12%	62	3.58%	18	1.04%	27	1.56%	1,205	69.58%	1,732
Miami	10,003	65.92%	3,991	26.30%	683	4.50%	259	1.71%	239	1.58%	6,012	39.62%	15,175
Mitchell	2,308	78.45%	477	16.21%	89	3.03%	55	1.87%	13	0.44%	1,831	62.24%	2,942
Montgomery	8,679	72.30%	2,637	21.97%	407	3.39%	210	1.75%	71	0.59%	6,042	50.33%	12,004
Morris	1,820	69.36%	601	22.90%	138	5.26%	62	2.36%	3	0.11%	1,219	46.46%	2,624
Morton	995	82.92%	147	12.25%	33	2.75%	14	1.17%	11	0.92%	848	70.67%	1,200
Nemaha	4,124	80.52%	725	14.15%	164	3.20%	82	1.60%	27	0.53%	3,399	66.37%	5,122
Neosho	4,431	70.18%	1,501	23.77%	240	3.80%	120	1.90%	22	0.35%	2,930	46.41%	6,314
Ness	1,228	84.46%	162	11.14%	42	2.89%	21	1.44%	1	0.07%	1,066	73.32%	1,454
Norton	1,840	82.36%	281	12.58%	67	3.00%	41	1.84%	5	0.22%	1,559	69.78%	2,234
Osage	4,826	67.47%	1,753	24.51%	302	4.22%	165	2.31%	107	1.50%	3,073	42.96%	7,153
Osborne	1,460	81.66%	233	13.03%	46	2.57%	41	2.29%	8	0.45%	1,227	68.63%	1,788
Ottawa	2,283	78.08%	424	14.50%	144	4.92%	42	1.44%	31	1.06%	1,859	63.58%	2,924
Pawnee	1,904	71.55%	579	21.76%	131	4.92%	34	1.28%	13	0.49%	1,325	49.79%	2,661
Phillips	2,233	83.82%	300	11.26%	87	3.27%	29	1.09%	15	0.57%	1,933	72.56%	2,664
Pottawatomie	7,612	71.19%	2,225	20.81%	543	5.08%	193	1.80%	120	1.12%	5,387	50.38%	10,693
Pratt	2,838	73.87%	771	20.07%	164	4.27%	50	1.30%	19	0.50%	2,067	53.80%	3,842
Rawlins	1,220	82.88%	163	11.07%	55	3.74%	26	1.77%	8	0.56%	1,057	71.81%	1,472
Reno	15,513	63.23%	6,837	27.87%	1,280	5.22%	456	1.86%	450	1.83%	8,676	35.36%	24,536
Republic	2,024	80.03%	375	14.83%	83	3.28%	43	1.70%	4	0.16%	1,649	65.20%	2,529
Rice	2,837	74.58%	695	18.27%	194	5.10%	69	1.81%	9	0.24%	2,142	56.31%	3,804
Riley	10,107	46.00%	9,341	42.51%	1,468	6.68%	399	1.82%	659	3.00%	766	3.49%	21,974
Rooks	2,031	83.96%	275	11.37%	80	3.31%	29	1.20%	4	0.17%	1,756	72.59%	2,419
Rush	1,197	79.64%	233	15.50%	55	3.66%	18	1.20%	0	0.00%	964	64.14%	1,503
Russell	2,574	80.61%	461	14.44%	111	3.48%	44	1.38%	3	0.09%	2,113	66.17%	3,193
Saline	13,828	62.80%	6,317	28.63%	1,378	6.25%	461	2.09%	80	0.37%	7,511	34.04%	22,064
Scott	1,865	84.70%	236	10.72%	69	3.13%	27	1.23%	5	0.23%	1,629	73.98%	2,202
Sedgwick	104,353	54.41%	69,627	36.30%	9,214	4.80%	4,042	2.11%	4,562	2.38%	34,726	18.11%	191,798
Seward	3,159	62.70%	1,628	32.31%	186	3.69%	58	1.15%	7	0.14%	1,531	30.39%	5,038
Shawnee	35,934	46.81%	33,926	44.19%	3,412	4.44%	1,752	2.28%	1,742	2.27%	2,008	2.62%	76,766
Sheridan	1,197	87.12%	127	9.24%	38	2.77%	12	0.87%	0	0.00%	1,070	77.88%	1,374
Sherman	2,089	79.58%	347	13.22%	111	4.23%	47	1.79%	31	1.18%	1,742	66.36%	2,625
Smith	1,661	81.34%	297	14.54%	55	2.69%	29	1.42%	0	0.00%	1,364	66.80%	2,042
Stafford	1,490	78.59%	304	16.03%	62	3.27%	34	1.79%	6	0.31%	1,186	62.56%	1,896
Stanton	492	77.24%	115	18.05%	19	2.98%	7	1.10%	4	0.63%	377	59.19%	637
Stevens	1,599	84.56%	220	11.63%	49	2.59%	23	1.22%	0	0.00%	1,379	72.93%	1,891
Sumner	6,984	71.84%	2,076	21.35%	420	4.32%	205	2.11%	37	0.38%	4,908	50.49%	9,722
Thomas	2,908	81.32%	473	13.23%	131	3.66%	56	1.57%	8	0.22%	2,435	68.09%	3,576
Trego	1,227	82.79%	198	13.36%	40	2.70%	17	1.15%	0	0.00%	1,029	69.43%	1,482
Wabaunsee	2,372	70.18%	776	22.96%	143	4.23%	69	2.04%	20	0.59%	1,596	47.22%	3,380
Wallace	721	90.35%	46	5.76%	15	1.88%	8	1.00%	8	1.00%	675	84.59%	798
Washington	2,194	79.35%	387	14.00%	124	4.48%	45	1.63%	15	0.54%	1,807	65.35%	2,765
Wichita	769	80.44%	140	14.64%	18	1.88%	12	1.26%	17	1.78%	629	65.80%	956
Wilson	2,788	77.64%	594	16.54%	135	3.76%	60	1.67%	14	0.39%	2,194	61.10%	3,591
Woodson	1,082	74.98%	273	18.92%	64	4.44%	24	1.66%	0	0.00%	809	56.06%	1,443
Wyandotte	15,806	32.10%	30,146	61.22%	1,725	3.50%	947	1.92%	619	1.26%	-14,340	-29.12%	49,243
Totals	671,018	56.03%	427,005	35.66%	55,406	4.63%	23,506	1.96%	20,635	1.72%	244,013	20.37%	1,197,570

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +12.5-15%
•   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

Trump won 3 of 4 congressional districts. Clinton won 1 district, which elected a Republican.^[18]

District	Clinton	Trump	Representative
1st	24.32%	69.29%	Roger Marshall
2nd	37.4%	55.8%	Lynn Jenkins
3rd	47.2%	46.0%	Kevin Yoder
4th	32.98%	60.2%	Mike Pompeo

See also

• United States presidential elections in Kansas
• First presidency of Donald Trump
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. "Voter turnout in United States elections". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 26, 2022.
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
3. "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved November 11, 2016.
4. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data".
5. Martin, David (November 22, 2016). "Why did Hillary Clinton do relatively well in Johnson County? College diplomas". Kansas City Pitch. Retrieved January 28, 2019.
6. The Green Papers
7. Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2016.
8. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
9. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
10. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
11. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
12. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
13. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
14. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
15. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
16. "2016 General Election Write-In Candidates for President and Vice President" (PDF). Office of the Kansas Secretary of State.
17. Federal Election Commission
18. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.

External links

• Kansas Department of Elections
• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Kansas