User:RandomP/Hubbert 1
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This is a draft article containing those bits of the Hubbert peak theory pertaining to Hubbert's use of a logistic curve in predicting future oil production only. It is not an official Wikipedia article.
The geophysicist Marion King Hubbert proposed (implicitly?) to use the derivative of the logistic curve, the Hubbert curve, to predict future oil production based on past empirical data. This results in a bell-shaped production curve. Early in the curve (pre-peak), production increases quickly. At some point, a single production peak is reached, after which production decreases.
While Hubbert proposed similar-looking production curves as early as a paper he presented to the American Petroleum Institute in 1956 , the Hubbert curve was not introduced by him until much later (when?).