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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012.[1]
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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2012[2] | ||||||
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| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 1,560,984 | 55.48% | 4 | 5 | +1 | |
| Republican | 1,210,409 | 43.02% | 4 | 3 | -1 | |
| Independence | 36,433 | 1.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Others | 5,557 | 0.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Totals | 2,813,383 | 100.00% | 8 | 8 | — | |
A redistricting plan was proposed by Republicans in the Minnesota Legislature on May 9, 2011.[3] The plan was passed by the Minnesota House of Representatives on May 13[4] and the Minnesota Senate on May 18,[5] but was vetoed by Democratic Governor Mark Dayton on May 19.[6]
In February 2012, a state court panel redrew Minnesota's congressional boundaries with the effect of enacting a "least-change" map.[7]
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 Precinct results Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Quist: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented Minnesota's 1st congressional district since 2007, sought re-election. In redistricting, Murray County, Pipestone County and half of Cottonwood County were moved from the 1st district to the 7th, and Wabasha County was moved from the 1st district to the 2nd, while Le Sueur County and most of Rice County were moved from the 2nd district to the 1st. The 1st district was expected to continue to slightly favor Republicans.[7]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 15,697 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 15,697 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allen Quist | 12,540 | 54.1 | |
| Republican | Mike Parry | 10,622 | 45.9 | |
| Total votes | 23,162 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Walz handily dispatched Quist in the election, garnering 58% of the vote.[29]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 193,211 | 57.5 | |
| Republican | Allen Quist | 142,164 | 42.3 | |
| Write-in | 505 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 335,880 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Kline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Obermueller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican John Kline, who had represented Minnesota's 2nd congressional district since 2003, sought re-election.
In redistricting, Le Sueur County and Rice County were moved from the 2nd district to the 1st, and Carver County was moved from the 2nd district to the 3rd and 6th, while West St. Paul and parts of South St. Paul were moved from the 4th district to the 2nd. The 2nd district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats, but continues to favor Republicans.[7]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kline (incumbent) | 15,859 | 85.1 | |
| Republican | David Gerson | 2,772 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 18,631 | 100.0 | ||
Patrick Ganey, a member of the Northfield City Council;[31] Kathleen Gaylord, a member of the Dakota County Commission;[32] former state Representative Mike Obermueller;[33] and Dan Powers, a former small business owner who unsuccessfully sought the DFL nomination in the 2nd district in 2010,[34] sought the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination to challenge Kline. At the congressional district convention, the party endorsed Mike Obermueller.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Mike Obermueller | 11,628 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 11,628 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[38] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[39] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[41] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[42] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[43] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Despite a strong challenge from Obermueller, Kline prevailed.[44]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kline (incumbent) | 193,587 | 54.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Mike Obermueller | 164,338 | 45.9 | |
| Write-in | 521 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 358,446 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Barnes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented Minnesota's 3rd congressional district since 2009 sought re-election.
In redistricting, the 3rd district was expanded to include eastern Carver County, while part of the northeastern Minneapolis–Saint Paul metro area was moved to the 5th. The district was made more favorable to Republicans.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 18,672 | 90.2 | |
| Republican | John W. Howard III | 2,032 | 9.8 | |
| Total votes | 20,704 | 100.0 | ||
Brian Barnes, an Edina businessman and former Navy Reserve officer[45] and Sharon Sund, a Plymouth scientist and small-business owner[46] sought the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination to challenge Paulsen. In the third district Democratic convention, Barnes won the party endorsement and Sund backed his candidacy.[47] Sund was subsequently elected Chair of the Hennepin County Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party.[48]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Brian Barnes | 11,786 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 11,786 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 222,335 | 58.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Brian Barnes | 159,937 | 41.8 | |
| Write-in | 433 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 382,705 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
Paulsen received 58% of the vote, defeating Barnes who received 42%.[50][51]
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 Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hernandez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented Minnesota's 4th congressional district since 2001, sought re-election. In redistricting, the 4th district was made slightly more favorable to Republicans, but continues to strongly favor Democrats.[7]
The home of Republican U.S. Representative Michele Bachmann, who had represented Minnesota's 6th congressional district since 2007, was drawn into the 4th district in redistricting; however, Bachmann sought re-election in the 6th district.[7]
McCollum retained her seat, defeating Hernandez.[50]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 27,291 | 84.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Diana Longrie | 3,212 | 9.9 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Brian Stalboerger | 1,913 | 5.9 | |
| Total votes | 32,416 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tony Hernandez | 6,876 | 64.1 | |
| Republican | Ron Seiford | 3,856 | 35.9 | |
| Total votes | 10,732 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Steve Carlson | 545 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 545 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 216,685 | 62.3 | |
| Republican | Tony Hernandez | 109,659 | 31.5 | |
| Independence | Steve Carlson | 21,135 | 6.1 | |
| Write-in | 512 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 347,991 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Fields: 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Minnesota's 5th congressional district has been represented by Democrat Keith Ellison since 2007. Gary Boisclair, an anti-abortion activist, and Gregg Iverson unsuccessfully challenged Ellison in the Democratic primary.[58] In redistricting, the 5th district was expanded to include parts of Brooklyn Center, Edina and Minnetonka, and continued to strongly favor Democrats.[7]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (incumbent) | 30,609 | 89.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Gregg A. Iverson | 2,143 | 6.3 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Gary Boisclair | 1,397 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 34,149 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chris Fields | 5,966 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 5,966 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
Ellison easily defeated Fields, carrying about 75% of the vote.[62]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (incumbent) | 262,102 | 74.5 | |
| Republican | Chris Fields | 88,753 | 25.2 | |
| Write-in | 1,114 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 351,969 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Bachmann: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Graves: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Michele Bachmann, who had represented Minnesota's 6th congressional district since 2007 and unsuccessfully sought the Republican presidential nomination in 2012,[63] sought re-election.[64]
In redistricting, the 6th district was expanded to include Carver County and was made more favorable to Republicans.[7]
Ron Seiford, an adjunct business instructor at Woodbury's Globe College,[65] and Aubrey Immelman unsuccessfully challenged her in the Republican nomination, though Bachmann won by the lowest margin of any incumbent Republican congressional candidate in 50 years.[53][66][67]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michele Bachmann (incumbent) | 14,569 | 80.3 | |
| Republican | Stephen Thompson | 2,322 | 12.8 | |
| Republican | Aubrey Immelman | 1,242 | 6.9 | |
| Total votes | 18,133 | 100.0 | ||
Jim Graves, a hotel executive,[68] won the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination at the party's convention in April 2012.[47]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Jim Graves | 8,600 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 8,600 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michele Bachmann (R) |
Jim Graves (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Opinion Research[74] | October 16, 2012 | 1,000 | ±3.0% | 51% | 45% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[75] | October 9–11, 2012 | 598 | ±4.1% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[76] | October 4–5, 2012 | 403 | ±4.9% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[77] | August 29–30, 2012 | 401 | ±?% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[78] | June 12–14, 2012 | 505 | ±4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[38] | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[39] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[41] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[42] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[43] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Bachmann narrowly retained the seat, receiving 4,298 more votes than Graves.[79]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michele Bachmann (incumbent) | 179,240 | 50.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jim Graves | 174,944 | 49.3 | |
| Write-in | 969 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 355,153 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Peterson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Byberg: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented Minnesota's 7th congressional district since 1991, sought re-election.[80] In redistricting, the 7th district was expanded to include rural counties in southern Minnesota, while cities were moved from the 6th and 8th districts into the 7th.[7]
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[38] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[39] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[41] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[42] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[43] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin C. Peterson (incumbent) | 197,791 | 60.4 | |
| Republican | Lee Byberg | 114,151 | 34.8 | |
| Independence | Adam Steele | 15,298 | 4.7 | |
| Write-in | 336 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 327,576 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Nolan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cravaack: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Chip Cravaack, who was first elected to represent Minnesota's 8th congressional district in 2010, sought re-election.
In redistricting, the 8th district was not significantly changed and remained competitive.[7]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chip Cravaack (incumbent) | 20,471 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 20,471 | 100.0 | ||
Nolan was victorious in a February 2012 caucus, receiving 1,537 votes to Anderson's 1,008 and Clark's 408. 269 uncommitted votes were cast.
Delegates to a convention held in May 2012 could endorse one candidate, but candidates who did not receive the party's endorsement were nonetheless able to run in the August 2012 primary.[93]
Labor unions
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Richard Nolan | 20,840 | 38.3 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tarryl L. Clark | 17,554 | 32.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jeff Anderson | 16,035 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 54,429 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chip Cravaack (R) |
Rick Nolan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[98] | November 1–3, 2012 | 585 | ±4.1% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[99] | October 25–26, 2012 | 1,020 | ±3.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| OnMessage (R-Cravaack)[100] | October 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Pulse Opinion Research[101] | October 16, 2012 | 1,000 | ±3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Victoria Research (D-Nolan)[102] | October 7–8, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Global Strategy (D-DCCC)[103] | October 4–7, 2012 | 405 | ±4.9% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| SurveyUSA[104] | September 6–9, 2012 | 578 | ±4.3% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)[105] | August 26–27, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Global Strategy (D-DCCC)[106] | August 21–29, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[38] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[39] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[41] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[42] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[43] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Nolan triumphed over Cravaack, receiving 54% of the vote.[107]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Rick Nolan | 191,976 | 54.3 | |
| Republican | Chip Cravaack (incumbent) | 160,520 | 45.4 | |
| Write-in | 1,167 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 353,663 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican | ||||
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